Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passaro Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Rio Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Francesco Passaro will attempt to become an unlikely Rio Open quarter-finalist. He lost in the qualifying rounds but was reinstated as a lucky loser. After a first round win, he now takes on unseeded Alejandro Tabilo. Time for our match prediction.
Passaro lost his only previous match against Tabilo. That was played on an outdoor hard court last year with Tabilo winning in straight sets. This time around, they are playing on an outdoor clay court.
It was in the final qualifying round that the 25-year-old lost to Vilius Gaubas in straight sets. Withdrawals saw him put into the main draw as a lucky loser. Round one saw him defeat Dino Prizmic 6-3 6-4. He's now 144th in the live rankings.
Alejandro Tabilo is playing in this tournament for the fourth time. This is the first time he's made it past round one. To achieve that feat, the 28-year-old defeated Emilio Nava in straight sets and is up to 64th in the live list.
The Chilean has made a good start to his clay court season. Eight out of ten matches have been won with a run to the final of a Challenger Tour event. Last week saw him reach the quarter-finals in Buenos Aires.
We tip him Tabilo to win set one and the match.
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Alejandro Tabilo v Francesco Passaro Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.55 | 2.46 |
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1.53 | 2.51 |
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1.53 | 2.5 |
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1.51 | 2.4 |
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1.51 | 2.4 |
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Who will win the Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passaro Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passaro match is: Alejandro Tabilo wins set one and the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passaro game on 18/02/2026 of the current ATP Rio Open season:
- Alejandro Tabilo has a 67.22% chance to win against Francesco Passaro according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.55.
- Francesco Passaro has a 32.78% probability of winning facing Alejandro Tabilo ⭐ with odds of 2.57 at Shangrila.
Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passaro Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alejandro Tabilo has a 67.22 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | 67.22 % |
| Francesco Passaro | 32.78 % |
Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passaro Form
Alejandro Tabilo and Francesco Passaro Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
13 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
11 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
10 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
6 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
15 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
14 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
10 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
8 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
7 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
Alejandro Tabilo - Francesco Passaro Key Points
- Tabilo is 80 places ahead of Passaro in the live rankings.
- Tabilo was a quarter-finalist in last week's Buenos Aires clay court tournament.
- Passaro has already lost one match this week.
- Tabilo has won eight of his ten clay court matches played this year.
- Tabilo has won the first set in four of his last five victories.
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Our Alejandro Tabilo vs Francesco Passaro Prediction
Alejandro Tabilo has already won more clay court matches this year than he did in all of 2025. A Challenger Tour final has been reached and the last eight in Buenos Aires followed that. He had a comfortable straight sets win in round one.
Francesco Passaro thought his Rio Open campaign had come to an end in the qualifying rounds. Back in the main draw as a lucky loser, he's now a win away from the last eight. Our Alejandro Tabilo v Francesco Passaro prediction is Alejandro Tabilo wins set one and the match.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.