Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert Prediction & Betting Tips - Adelaide International

ATP - Adelaide International

ATP 15 Spain
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
16/01/2026 03:00
ATP 36 France
Ugo Humbert

Prediction :

 

Ugo Humbert wins

1.8
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Ugo Humbert is the only remaining unseeded player in the Adelaide International. The Frenchman takes on top seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the last four of this outdoor hard court tournament. Will Humbert reach the final? Read our match prediction below.

The winner will be up against either second seed Tommy Paul or eighth-seeded Tomas Machas in the final.

Ugo Humbert has made it to this semi-final without losing a set. Terence Atmane was beaten in round one and he then defeated the fourth seed Tallon Griekspoor. Only five games were lost to the seed.

It was even better in the quarter-finals as Humbert beat Alexander Shevchenko 6-0 6-3 and is 35th in the live rankings. He's unseeded in the Australian Open and plays eighth seed Ben Shelton in round one.

Davidovich-Fokina leads his opponent 3-2 in previous meetings. This is their first outdoor hard court match. He beat Humbert indoors last October but his opponent retired when a set and 3-1 down.

The top seed is 14th in the live rankings. His first match of the year saw him beaten in three sets by Cameron Norrie in Brisbane. Smoother progress has been made in Adelaide with two straight sets wins over Rinky Hijikata and fifth-seeded Valentin Vacherot.

We tip Humbert to win.

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The Best Betting Odds for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Ugo Humbert Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2 1.8
Melbet
2.11 1.73
BC Game
1.98 1.76
Tonybet
2.01 1.74
888Starz
2.05 1.78
Check all Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert odds

Who will win the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert match is: Ugo Humbert wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert game on 16/01/2026 of the current Adelaide International season:

  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 36.83% chance to win against Ugo Humbert according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.11.
  • Ugo Humbert has a 63.17% probability of winning facing Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ⭐ with odds of 1.8 at Bet365.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 36.83 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina36.83 %
Ugo Humbert63.17 %

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert Form

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Ugo Humbert Last Matches

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last matches
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

15 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Valentin Vacherot

14 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Rinky Hijikata

5 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Arthur Cazaux

28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  1
Valentin Royer
Ugo Humbert Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

15 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Alexander Shevchenko

13 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Tallon Griekspoor
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert

12 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Terence Atmane

6 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

Cameron Norrie
2 :  1
Ugo Humbert

24 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Reilly Opelka

23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

0 %

Ugo Humbert

100 %

9 Feb 2024 - ATP Marseille

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert Key Points

  1. Humbert has already beaten the fourth seed in this tournament.
  2. Humbert has only lost 11 games in the last five sets he's played in this Adelaide International.
  3. Humbert has reached at least the semi-final in three of his last four tournaments.
  4. Fokina's last win over Humbert was in October 2025 but his opponent retired injured.
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Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert Prediction

Ugo Humbert has been ranked much higher in the past and is making his way back up the rankings. Only one of his last four tournaments has seen the Frenchman fail to reach this stage. He's yet to drop a set this week and has already beaten one seed.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will be a difficult opponent for the unseeded player. He has also made it to the last four without dropping a set. A side bet on this going to a third set could win but our main Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Ugo Humbert prediction is Ugo Humbert wins.

Prediction :

 

Ugo Humbert wins

1.8
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Ugo Humbert Prediction