Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Beijing Open

Prediction published on 24/09/2025, 11:41  by Geoffrey Ejiga | Modified on 24/09/2025 at 11:56 in Tennis Predictions

Alejandro Fokina might be involved in one of the most exciting RO32 Beijing Open games when he faces Camilo Carabelli on Thursday. See our best pick in the Alejandro Fokina vs Camilo Carabelli match prediction below.

We're backing Fokina, the favourite and higher-ranked player, to come out on top, but it's how he does so that offers the value bet. Specifically, we're picking Fokina to beat Carabelli in two sets, and our stats back this bet.

Fokina is 12-7 in his most recent games, which is impressive, but more interestingly, nine of those 12 wins came in straight sets. Now consider that consistency against Carabelli, who has failed to register a single set in 12 losses. If we're not counting retired games, then this bet has won for his opponents in his last ten losses.

Even in victory, this pattern has been prominent as only one player has won sets in 16 of his last 17 singles. Carabelli is even just coming off another straight-sets defeat at the hands of Rinky Hijikata at the Hangzhou Open. Meanwhile, Fokina just beat Alexander Shevchenko 3-0 before tasting a 3-2 defeat at the hands of Arthur Rinderknech in the US Open.