Al Ahli vs Al-Riyadh SC Prediction & Betting Tips - Saudi Pro League

Saudi Arabia - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
04/09/2026 14:00
Al-Riyadh SC

Prediction :

 

Al Ahli to win and under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Saudi Pro League Predictions

The past few days have been humbling for Asian champions Al Ahli in the Saudi Pro League. On Friday, having dropped to seventh, they’ll hope to bounce back as they host 12th-placed Al Riyadh in the league. This encounter has had under three goals in the last three meetings, and our prediction goes for the same.

After winning their first four matches this season, Al Ahli’s bubble has been burst. They are coming off back-to-back defeats and only managed to score once in the two matches.

In their most recent outing, they lost 3-0 to Al Hilal, having earlier fallen 3-1 to Al Kholood. Home form favors them, though, and they come here on 14 straight home wins in the league.

Al Riyadh are injecting some stability into their season and come here hoping to turn the tide against this host. In the last two matches, the visitors have shown great improvement, avoiding defeat as they collected four points from a possible six.

After a 4-0 blanking by the champions, they were unfortunate not to claim a win in their 3-3 draw with Al Shabab. Al Riyadh lost the lead three times in the match.

In their most recent outing, though, they showed a better defensive side of their game as they beat Neom 1-0. That was their first win in the league this season, and they will also be gunning for a first in five against Al Ahli.

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Al Ahli v Al-Riyadh SC Best Betting Odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Al Ahli and Al-Riyadh SC?

Our prediction for the Al Ahli vs Al-Riyadh SC match is: Al Ahli to win and under 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/09/2026 between Al Ahli and Al-Riyadh SC in Saudi Pro League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.73% for a win of Al Ahli against Al-Riyadh SC with odds of 1.35 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Al Ahli vs Al-Riyadh SC is 20.37% with odds of 5.75 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Al-Riyadh SC vs Al Ahli with odds of 7.95 at 1xbet.

Al Ahli vs Al-Riyadh SC Form

Al Ahli and Al-Riyadh SC's standings in the Saudi Pro League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Al Ahli
6 4 2 0 2 0
12 Al-Riyadh SC
4 4 1 1 2 -5

Al Ahli and Al-Riyadh SC Last Matches

Al Ahli
Al Ahli Last matches
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Sept 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Hilal
3 :  0
Al Ahli

29 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Kholood
3 :  1
Al Ahli

26 Aug 2026 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

Al Ahli
1 :  0
Auckland FC

22 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
4 :  0
Abha Club

17 Aug 2026 - Kings Cup

AL Anwar
1 :  2
Al Ahli

13 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Diriyah Club
0 :  1
Al Ahli
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Aug 2026 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

Al Ahli
1 :  0
Auckland FC

22 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
4 :  0
Abha Club

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Al Ahli
1 :  1
Fulham

16 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
3 :  0
Al-Kholood

6 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
3 :  1
Al Fateh

3 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
4 :  0
Al-Okhdood Club
W L W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Sept 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Hilal
3 :  0
Al Ahli

29 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Kholood
3 :  1
Al Ahli

17 Aug 2026 - Kings Cup

AL Anwar
1 :  2
Al Ahli

13 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Diriyah Club
0 :  1
Al Ahli

15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Holstein Kiel
4 :  1
Al Ahli

20 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Khaleej Club
1 :  4
Al Ahli
Al-Riyadh SC
Al-Riyadh SC Last matches
W L W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
1 :  0
Neom SC

25 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Shabab
3 :  3
Al-Riyadh SC

21 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
0 :  4
Al Nasr

17 Aug 2026 - Kings Cup

Al-Zulfi FC
0 :  2
Al-Riyadh SC

14 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
4 :  2
Al-Riyadh SC

21 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
1 :  0
Al-Okhdood Club
D L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
1 :  0
Neom SC

21 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
0 :  4
Al Nasr

21 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
1 :  0
Al-Okhdood Club

10 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
1 :  0
Al Fateh

29 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
0 :  4
Al Qadsiah

5 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
1 :  1
Al Shabab
L L D L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al Shabab
3 :  3
Al-Riyadh SC

17 Aug 2026 - Kings Cup

Al-Zulfi FC
0 :  2
Al-Riyadh SC

14 Aug 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Ittifaq FC
4 :  2
Al-Riyadh SC

15 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Taawoun FC
1 :  1
Al-Riyadh SC

4 May 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Fayha FC
4 :  2
Al-Riyadh SC

24 Apr 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Hazm
2 :  1
Al-Riyadh SC

Al Ahli vs Al-Riyadh SC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Al Ahli

67 %

Draw

17 %

Al-Riyadh SC

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

26 Feb 2026 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
0 :  1
Al Ahli

30 Oct 2025 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
1 :  1
Al-Riyadh SC

26 May 2025 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
0 :  1
Al Ahli

26 Jan 2025 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
5 :  0
Al-Riyadh SC

25 Apr 2024 - Saudi Pro League

Al-Riyadh SC
2 :  1
Al Ahli

5 Nov 2023 - Saudi Pro League

Al Ahli
3 :  0
Al-Riyadh SC
Al Ahli vs Al-Riyadh SC Prediction

Al Ahli vs Al-Riyadh SC last Lineups

Al Ahli

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

16
E. Mendy
5
M. Sulaiman
3
R. Ibanez
28
M. Demiral
2
Z. Hawsawi
30
Z. Aljohani
6
V. Atangana
7
F. Trincao
8
E. Sperstian
13
W. Galeno
17
I. Toney
7
Trezeguet
77
L. Antunes
43
B. Mensah
22
V. Lekhal
79
F. Al-Jayzani
10
T. Lia Okou
12
H. Yahya
26
R. Abascal
67
M. Al-Kaibari
2
S. Al Essa
82
M. Borjan

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Al-Riyadh SC

Substitutes

Al Ahli
Al Ahli
Goalkeeper

A. Al-Sanbi

Defender

M. Yousef

R. Hamed

S. Yaslam

Midfielder

M. Al Mutairi

N. Masoud

Forward

A. Radif

F. Albrikan

S. Abu Al-Shamat

Al-Riyadh SC
Al-Riyadh SC
Goalkeeper

E. Al-Feda

Defender

H. Majrashi

E. Bahri

M. Tambakti

Midfielder

H. Al-Shurafa

F. Al-Sobhi

Forward

H. Al-Ali

S. Matar

H. Al-Raqwani

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Al Ahli
CD Huachipato Al-Riyadh SC
Top Goalscorer
England I. Toney (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France T. Lia Okou (3 Goals)
Best assists
Armenia E. Sperstian (1 Assists)
Best assists
Ghana B. Mensah (1 Assists)
Egypt Trezeguet (1 Assists)
Portugal L. Antunes (1 Assists)
Uruguay R. Abascal (1 Assists)
Saudi Arabia H. Al-Ali (1 Assists)

Al Ahli - Al-Riyadh SC Key Points

  1. Al Ahli are unbeaten in four meetings with Al Riyadh, winning three.
  2. The last three meetings between these sides had under 3.5 goals.
  3. Al Riyadh managed more than one goal once in the last 11 matches.
  4. Al Ahli scored more than twice in two of their last six matches.
  5. Al Ahli have won four of their last six matches this season.
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Our Al Ahli vs Al-Riyadh SC Prediction

Our prediction for Al Ahli v Al Riyadh is for Al Ahli to win and under 3.5 goals. There is a big possibility that this game will end in low scores. Al Ahli come as outright favorites but with their confidence beaten after losing their last two matches.

They haven’t been scoring a lot in a majority of their recent matches, and Al Riyadh may see this as a chance to add to their woes. Al Riyadh themselves aren’t having a great season, and neither have they won much of their recent meetings with Al Ahli. We’ll still back Al Ahli but with a slender win.

Prediction :

 

Al Ahli to win and under 3.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.