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Ajax vs NAC Breda Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Ajax
27/09/2025 10:30
NAC Breda

Prediction :

 

Ajax to win and under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Eredivisie Predictions

Ajax are set to host NAC Breda at the Johan Cruijff Arena on matchday seven of the Eredivisie. Ajax are in third place in the league standings, while NAC are in 13th place. Here's our match prediction.

Ajax is keeping close tabs on the top spot with just four points separating them from early pacesetters Feyenoord. However, one mistake could see them drop as low as sixth place.

The Amsterdammers' most recent league game was against defending champions PSV Eindhoven. They had to equalize twice to salvage a point in a thrilling 2-2 away draw.

John Heitinga's men are one of three sides in the Eredivisie who have yet to suffer defeat this season. They head into this clash boasting a six-match unbeaten run and are out to maintain this streak.

NAC Brea have won just two of their last six league games and have maintained a three-point cushion over the relegation zone. A win here could see them climb as high as seventh place. However, that depends on a lot of factors.

Parel van het Zuiden are in high spirits as they enter this clash. Their most recent league game saw them beat Heracles Almelo 2-1 at home. That result ended a three-match winless run.

Regarding their performance on the road, it has been a poor display. They are winless in their last three games, recording two losses and a solitary draw. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Ajax v NAC Breda Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.27 5.75 9.5
Betfred
1.25 6 11
William Hill
1.25 5 10
Betway
1.29 5.5 8.5
Unibet
1.25 6.25 9.5
Check all Ajax vs NAC Breda odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and NAC Breda?

Our prediction for the Ajax vs NAC Breda match is: Ajax to win and under 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2025 between Ajax and NAC Breda in Eredivisie :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.64% for a win of Ajax against NAC Breda with odds of 1.29 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs NAC Breda is 17.6% with odds of 6.4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 14.77% chance ⭐ for a win of NAC Breda vs Ajax with odds of 11 at Betfred.

Ajax - NAC Breda Prediction and Best Odds:

Ajax NAC Breda Prediction Probability Odds
Ajax wins 67.64% 1.29 at Betway
Over 2.5 goals 59.77% 1.46 at Bwin
Both Team To Score 47.92%
Half-time / Full-time : Ajax/Ajax 39.26% 1.8 at Bet365

Ajax vs NAC Breda Form

Ajax and NAC Breda's standings in the Eredivisie

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Ajax
Ajax
20 13 5 5 3 4
16
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
12 13 3 3 7 -7

Ajax and NAC Breda Last Matches

Ajax
Ajax Last matches
D W D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
Ajax

17 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  2
Inter Milan

13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
3 :  1
Zwolle

30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

Volendam
1 :  1
Ajax

24 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Heracles

17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles
2 :  2
Ajax
W D W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Ajax
0 :  2
Inter Milan

13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
3 :  1
Zwolle

24 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Heracles

10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Telstar

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ajax
2 :  2
Monaco

24 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ajax
5 :  1
Celtic
L D L D D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  2
Ajax

30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

Volendam
1 :  1
Ajax

17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles
2 :  2
Ajax

27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Como 1907
3 :  0
Ajax

14 May 2025 - Eredivisie

Groningen
2 :  2
Ajax

20 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
4 :  0
Ajax
NAC Breda
NAC Breda Last matches
L W L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
2 :  1
Heracles

13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  2
NAC Breda

31 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

24 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
3 :  0
NAC Breda

17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
2 :  1
Fortuna Sittard

9 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
2 :  0
NAC Breda
L W D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
2 :  1
Heracles

31 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
2 :  1
Fortuna Sittard

29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

NAC Breda
0 :  0
Volos NPS

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

NAC Breda
6 :  1
Volendam

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

NAC Breda
0 :  1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
L L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  2
NAC Breda

24 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
3 :  0
NAC Breda

9 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
2 :  0
NAC Breda

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Norwich
2 :  0
NAC Breda

14 May 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
3 :  0
NAC Breda

10 May 2025 - Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard
1 :  0
NAC Breda

Ajax vs NAC Breda Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ajax

50 %

Draw

0 %

NAC Breda

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (home team)
1.5
Goals scored (away team)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

6 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
3 :  1
NAC Breda

18 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie

NAC Breda
2 :  1
Ajax
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Ajax against NAC Breda Lineups: Starting 11

Ajax

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
V. Jaros
3
A. Gaaei
37
J. Sutalo
4
K. Itakura
5
O. Wijndal
18
D. Klaassen
8
K. Taylor
17
O. Edvardsen
10
O. Gloukh
11
M. Godts
19
D. Konadu
17
S. Van Hooijdonk
14
K. Sowah
10
M. Nassoh
32
J. Talvitie
16
M. Balard
90
L. Holtby
4
B. Kemper
22
R. Hillen
12
L. Greiml
2
B. Lucassen
99
D. Bielica

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

NAC Breda

Missing players

Ajax
Ajax
Midfielder

B. Van den Boomen

Forward

K. Dolberg

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
Forward

M. Soumano

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ajax
CD Huachipato NAC Breda
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands W. Weghorst (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands S. Van Hooijdonk (5 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium M. Godts (5 Assists)
Best assists
Canada C. Brym (3 Assists)
Germany L. Holtby (3 Assists)

Ajax - NAC Breda Key Points

  1. Ajax have seen four of their last seven matches end with under 3.5 goals.
  2. NAC Breda have seen five of their last six league games end with under 3.5 goals.
  3. Ajax are unbeaten in their last six league games.
  4. NA Breda have lost two of their last three away league games.
  5. Ajax are currently on a three-match winning streak at home in the Eredivisie.
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Our Ajax vs NAC Breda Prediction

Ajax have been a dominant team in front of their home crowd this season. One defeat has been recorded in their last four home matches across all competitions. It has to be pointed out that they are currently on a three-match winning streak in the league, with two of those outings producing under 3.5 goals.

NAC Breda have not been at their best on the road this season. They are winless in three league games and failed to score in two outings. Nothing much can be expected from them here. Our Ajax vs NAC Breda prediction: Ajax to win and under 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Ajax to win and under 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax NAC Breda

Ajax vs NAC Breda Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Ajax wins 1.13 1.27 +12.4%
Draw 8.5 5.75 -32.4%
NAC Breda wins 15 9.5 -36.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Ajax is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 12.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 88.5% and is now 78.7% (-9.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ajax vs NAC Breda Prediction

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