Ajax vs Groningen Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Ian John | in Eredivisie Predictions
Ajax hosts Groningen in the Eredivisie this week, with the Sons of the Gods not enjoying the best of seasons, languishing 28 points behind leaders PSV. Visiting Groningen may be the Pride of the North, and they are just four places and eight points adrift of their hosts in the table. Ajax's poor home run of two defeats and a draw in the last three is exacerbated by them playing three of the top six in that run, which is why we're giving them the thumbs up in our match prediction for the game.
Ajax sit fifth in the table on 56 points from 34 games, two points behind Twente and three behind NEC in third. They are three ahead of Utrecht. Groningen are ninth in the table with 48 points, three behind Heerenveen in eighth but five ahead of Sparta Rotterdam in tenth.
Ajax come into this game with just one win in four. That came in a 2-0 win away to NAC Breda. A 2-2 draw at home with PSV, though, was a good result, but they then lost 2-1 at home to Utrecht before last weekend's 0-0 draw at Heerenveen.
Groningen were beaten 3-1 at Feyenoord and then lost 3-2 at home to Excelsior. However, they righted the ship with a 2-1 home win over NEC and repeated that scoreline away to Heracles this past weekend.
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Ajax v Groningen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.89 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.82 | 3.86 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.82 | 3.78 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.7 | 4 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.6 | 3.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Groningen?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Groningen match is: Ajax wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/05/2026 between Ajax and Groningen in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.16% for a win of Ajax against Groningen with odds of 1.91 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Groningen is 25.35% with odds of 3.95 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Groningen vs Ajax with odds of 4 at Bet365.
Ajax - Groningen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ajax Groningen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 46.16% | 1.91 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.07% | 1.61 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 76.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ajax | 23.85% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Ajax vs Groningen Form
Ajax and Groningen Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Eredivisie
10 May 2026 - Eredivisie
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Eredivisie
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Eredivisie
25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Eredivisie
10 May 2026 - Eredivisie
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Eredivisie
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Eredivisie
25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
Ajax vs Groningen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
14 May 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
14 May 2023 - Eredivisie
14 Aug 2022 - Eredivisie
Ajax against Groningen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
V. van der Velde
P. Reverson
DefenderM. Muzungu
R. van de Pavert
K. Kasanwirjo
T. Tomiyasu
O. Gloukh
R. Bounida
Y. Regeer
M. Carrizo
D. Konadu
K. Dolberg
L. Stubljar
H. Jurjus
DefenderT. Mercera
S. Bouland
R. Kelder
W. Prins
E. Van der Laan
MidfielderJ. Dillema
B. Willumsson
M. Seuntjens
R. Metu
R. Mendes
Missing players
J. Heerkens
MidfielderK. Fitz-Jim
S. Resink
ForwardO. Zawada
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Groningen
M. Godts
(17 Goals)
T. Van Bergen
(9 Goals)
M. Godts
(12 Assists)
Y. Taha El Idrissi
(8 Assists)
Ajax - Groningen Key Points
- Ajax have won five of their last ten at home (D3, L2).
- Groningen have lost four of their last seven away games (W2, D1).
- Ajax have lost just four home games this season in the Eredivisie, winning 9, drawing 4.
- Ajax have won four of the last six games between the teams (D1, L1), scoring 16 goals.
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Our Ajax vs Groningen Prediction
Our prediction for the Ajax vs. Groningen match is: Ajax wins.
The status of both these clubs suggests Ajax should win this game, but the data doesn't bear out a huge amount of confidence in them. Their recent home form has been poor, but has come against teams ranked first, fourth and sixth in the table. Against lower-ranked opponents, Ajax have been more impressive and with Groningen's away form not consistent, we think Ajax will do just enough to claim the victory in the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax Groningen
| Ajax vs Groningen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 1.83 | 1.91 | +4.4% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.95 | -1.3% |
| Groningen wins | 3.6 | 4 | +11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ajax is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 52.4% (-2.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Ajax vs. Groningen game!
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Try your luck on this year's Eredivisie! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
