AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Conference League Predictions
For the third time this season, AEK Larnaca take on Crystal Palace. This time it's in the second leg of the last 16 in the Conference League. Can the Eagles win away in Cyprus? Read our match prediction below.
The winners of this tie go into the quarter-finals where they will meet either Fiorentina or Rakow Czestochowa. The Italians lead that tie 2-1 after the first leg. The Larnaca Guardians will hope to reach their first ever European quarter-final and are in a good position to do so after drawing the first leg 0-0 in London last week. They had earlier won 1-0 at Palace in the league phase.
Crystal Palace are also attempting to reach their first ever European quarter-final. The Eagles aren't soaring high in the Premier League at present but at 14th still have an outside chance of European qualification. As you will read in the form section of this preview, they are not the most consistent side but not always an easy team to beat.
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AEK Larnaca v Crystal Palace Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.6 | 4.1 | 1.54 |
|
|
6.35 | 4.22 | 1.51 |
|
|
6.95 | 4.06 | 1.51 |
|
|
6.5 | 4 | 1.53 |
|
|
6.8 | 3.95 | 1.53 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between AEK Larnaca and Crystal Palace?
Our prediction for the AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/03/2026 between AEK Larnaca and Crystal Palace in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.49% for a win of AEK Larnaca against Crystal Palace with odds of 6.95 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace is 29.59% with odds of 4.22 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Crystal Palace vs AEK Larnaca with odds of 1.55 at Shangrila.
AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace Prediction and Best Odds:
| AEK Larnaca Crystal Palace Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca wins | 39.49% | 6.95 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 53.89% | 1.9 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AEK Larnaca | 15.84% | 13 at Bet365 |
AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace Form
AEK Larnaca and Crystal Palace Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2026 - Cypriot First Division
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
6 Mar 2026 - Cypriot First Division
1 Mar 2026 - Cypriot First Division
22 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division
14 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2026 - Cypriot First Division
1 Mar 2026 - Cypriot First Division
14 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division
31 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division
18 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division
4 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2026 - Cypriot First Division
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division
8 Feb 2026 - Cypriot First Division
25 Jan 2026 - Cypriot First Division
14 Jan 2026 - Cyprus Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace: Form Analysis
AEK Larnaca only conceded one goal in their six matches in the league phase and that was away at Hacken. Not surprisingly, that was the best defensive record in that phase of this season's Conference League.
However, the Yellow and Greens only scored seven goals themselves and four came in an opening home win over AZ Alkmaar. Only four goals have been scored in their last six European games, including the goalless away first leg in this tie.
The Cypriots are unbeaten in their last three games in all competitions and two saw them keep a clean sheet. They have only won one of their last five games though. Three of those saw under 2.5 goals scored.
A distinct lack of goals.
After the goalless draw at Selhurst Park last week, Crystal Palace drew another blank with a 0-0 home draw against Leeds United. Seven of their last ten matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
They have only lost one of their last seven games but won only two out of ten. In Europe this season, five of their nine games have failed to see three goals scored.
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AEK Larnaca against Crystal Palace Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
D. Dimitriou
A. Paraskevas
DefenderY. Garfunkel
V. Roger Roberge
R. Mudrazija
W. Rubio
E. Cabrera
C. Loukaidis
C. Kyriakou
M. Gonzalez Rivas
J. Izquierdo
R. Matthews
DefenderD. Munoz
C. Riad
B. Sosa
N. Clyne
MidfielderJ. Devenny
W. Hughes
J. Lerma
J. Mateta
Y. Pino
R. Cardines
Missing players
C. Doucoure
ForwardE. Nketiah
AEK Larnaca & Crystal Palace Squad Analysis
It's all to play for in the second leg of this Conference League last 16 tie. AEK Larnaca have an excellent defensive record in this competition and have no reason at all to fear the English Premier League side.
They do have some selection problems ahead of this second leg. Jorge Miramon picked up a calf injury at Selhurst Park and is a doubt for the return leg. If the right-back doesn't play, he's likely to be replaced by Petros Ionannu. A five-man defensive line-up is expected to be played by the home side who have only conceded one goal in this season's Conference League.
Larnaca have only scored seven goals in this competition. Two of those were scored by Riad Bajic and it was he who got the winner for his club away to Palace in the league phase.
When will Palace score again?
Crystal Palace have gone two games without scoring a goal. The most recent game for them saw the Eagles unable to take advantage of the fact Leeds were reduced to ten men.
They don't need to score to win this tie though. Another goalless draw would lead to extra time and then a penalty shootout. Palace will still be missing striker Eddie Nketah and there'll be no Cheick Doucoure.
The weekend saw them missing Daniel Munoz and goalkeeper Dean Henderson and they will be checked on before this match. Munoz is the one most likely to be absent.
Most goals and assists
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
R. Bajic
(2 Goals)
I. Sarr
(9 Goals)
M. Rohden
(2 Assists)
D. Kamada
(4 Assists)
AEK Larnaca - Crystal Palace Key Points
- Two previous matches between these clubs this season have only seen one goal scored.
- Larnaca have played seven games in this season's Conference League and only eight goals have been scored.
- Seven of the last ten Crystal Palace games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in three of the last five Larnaca matches.
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Our AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace Prediction
A tight match looks likely here. It's strange with Larnaca because plenty of goals were scored in their Europa League qualifiers. Since being in the Conference League though, there's been a series of low-scoring matches.
That includes two matches aganst Crystal Palace that have only seen a single goal scored. Crystal Palace have drawn their last two matches 0-0. Each of ther last three games in this competition have seen under 2.5 goals scored and another low-scoring match looks on the way here. Our main AEK Larnaca v Crystal Palace prediction is under 2.5 goals.
AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace Alternative Predictions
Draw
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AEK Larnaca Crystal Palace
| AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Larnaca wins | 6 | 6.95 | +15.8% |
| Draw | 4.22 | 4.22 | 0% |
| Crystal Palace wins | 1.54 | 1.55 | +0.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AEK Larnaca is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 16.7% and is now 14.4% (-2.3%)
AEK Larnaca vs Crystal Palace - FAQs
This Conference League game between AEK Larnaca and Crystal Palace kicks off at 17:45 UK time on Thursday March 19.
AEK Larnaca are the home side in this match. The game is going to be played at the AEK Arena in Larnaca, Cyprus.
TNT Sports are showing this match live and you will need to be a subscripton holder. Go to our Conference League livescore to read live text commentary and plenty of statistics to help you with your in-play bets.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
