AEK Athens vs NK Celje Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Conference League Predictions
It’s an uphill battle for Celje, as they need to overturn a 4-0 deficit against AEK Athens from the first leg in the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League last-16 round. This second leg match on Thursday between the ‘Yellow-blacks’ and the ‘Counts’ comes with our prediction of Celje +2 European Handicap.
AEK finished third in the league phase with 13 points (W4, D1, L1) and qualified directly to the last 16. Celje finished 13th (W3, D1, L2) and had to defeat Drita 6-4 by aggregate in the knockout phase playoffs to qualify for this round.
The Greek hosts followed the first leg win with a 2-2 away draw in the Greek Super League. That result kept AEK unbeaten in ten competitive games (W6, D4), and extending that record will be enough to progress.
Their home record is even more impressive, with ten wins from their last 13 competitive fixtures here (D2, L1), which included a run of W2, D1 in the Conference League.
Celje responded to the heavy defeat at home in the first leg with a 1-0 away win in the Slovenian league. The quality of opposition will be higher, as Celje found out in their last six Conference League games (W2, D1, L3). They also lost two of their last three away matches in the competition, underlining the tough task that awaits here.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
AEK Athens v NK Celje Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.28 | 6.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 6 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 6 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.25 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 6 | 10 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between AEK Athens and NK Celje?
Our prediction for the AEK Athens vs NK Celje match is: NK Celje +2 European Handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/03/2026 between AEK Athens and NK Celje in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.65% for a win of AEK Athens against NK Celje with odds of 1.28 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AEK Athens vs NK Celje is 16.37% with odds of 6.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.98% chance ⭐ for a win of NK Celje vs AEK Athens with odds of 11.5 at Melbet.
AEK Athens - NK Celje Prediction and Best Odds:
| AEK Athens NK Celje Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens wins | 58.65% | 1.28 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.44% | 1.54 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : AEK Athens/AEK Athens | 29.07% | 1.73 at Bet365 |
AEK Athens vs NK Celje Form
AEK Athens and NK Celje Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Superleague
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Superleague
1 Mar 2026 - Superleague
22 Feb 2026 - Superleague
15 Feb 2026 - Superleague
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Superleague
22 Feb 2026 - Superleague
1 Feb 2026 - Superleague
18 Jan 2026 - Superleague
14 Jan 2026 - Greece Cup
21 Dec 2025 - Superleague
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Superleague
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
1 Mar 2026 - Superleague
15 Feb 2026 - Superleague
8 Feb 2026 - Superleague
24 Jan 2026 - Superleague
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Prva Liga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Prva Liga
1 Mar 2026 - Prva Liga
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Prva Liga
4 Feb 2026 - Prva Liga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
7 Dec 2025 - Prva Liga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Prva Liga
5 Mar 2026 - Prva Liga
1 Mar 2026 - Prva Liga
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
8 Feb 2026 - Prva Liga
1 Feb 2026 - Prva Liga
AEK Athens vs NK Celje Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
AEK Athens against NK Celje Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Angelopoulos
A. Brignoli
DefenderJ. Penrice
M. Georgiev
D. Vida
MidfielderD. Kaloskamis
P. Mantalos
R. Pereyra
N. Eliasson
B. Varga
Zini
Z. Leban
L. Kolar
DefenderS. Gobec
Z. Karnicnik
D. Hrka
M. Avdyli
I. Vidovic
F. Jevsenak
A. Kotnik
M. Kvesic
A. Kucys
D. Suhovrsnik
Most goals and assists
AEK Athens
NK Celje
A. Koita
(4 Goals)
F. Kovacevic
(5 Goals)
O. Pineda
(2 Assists)
, 
S. Pilios
(2 Assists)
, 
R. Marin
(2 Assists)
M. Avdyli
(1 Assists)
, 
V. Lisakovich
(1 Assists)
, 
L. Bejger
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Kvesic
(1 Assists)
, 
R. Pozeg Vancas
(1 Assists)
,
D. Hrka
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Kucys
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Nieto
(1 Assists)
,
S. Seslar
(1 Assists)
AEK Athens - NK Celje Key Points
- Four of Athens’ last five Conference League games saw them fail to overcome a -1 European Handicap.
- Athens failed to win three of their last six competitive matches.
- Celje avoided a defeat by more than one-goal margin in five of their last six competitive away matches.
- Celje overcame a -2 European Handicap in seven of their last nine Conference League matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our AEK Athens vs NK Celje Prediction
AEK practically wrapped up the tie with a massive 4-0 win in the first leg. That was sweet revenge for the Yellow-Blacks as they were beaten away at Celje on matchday one in the league phase. They can now rotate the squad and still progress, although they have enough quality to win comfortably. The visitors will play for pride, which could bring goals into the equation. If nothing else, Celje will hope to avoid another heavy loss.
There’s good value in backing a stubborn away performance, and our AEK Athens vs NK Celje prediction is NK Celje +2 European Handicap.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AEK Athens NK Celje
| AEK Athens vs NK Celje | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens wins | 1.34 | 1.28 | -4.5% |
| Draw | 5.2 | 6.4 | +23.1% |
| NK Celje wins | 9.8 | 11.5 | +17.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AEK Athens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 74.6% and is now 78.1% (3.5%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the AEK Athens vs. NK Celje game
You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the battle between AEK Athens and NK Celje when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Conference League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
