Adrian Mannarino vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Libema Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Alex de Minaur is the highest remaining seed in the Libema Open after the exit of Felix Auger-Aliassime. The second seed takes on unseeded Adrian Mannarino in the semi-finals and he has won his last three matches against the Frenchman. That leads us to make a prediction that de Minaur will win in straight sets.
De Minaur is two wins away from winning this grass court tournament for the second time in three years. The Australian won the title in 2024 with four straight sets victories. He is going well again this week with wins over Martin Damm and Benjamin Bonzi with no sets being dropped.
He is fifth in the live rankings, 39 places above Mannarino.
There have been five previous meetings with de Minaur leading 4-1 with two matches on grass shared.
The one win Adrian Mannarino has achieved was in this tournament four years ago. He won this tournament in 2019 but hasn't reached a grass court final in three years. Before this tournament, he had lost nine successive matches, eight on clay.
This week has seen him beat defending champion Gabriel Diallo, Arthur Rinderknech and in the last eight, Zhizhen Zhang. The first two of those wins required a deciding set. He is 78th in the ATP Live Race, 68 below de Minaur.
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Adrian Mannarino v Alex De Minaur Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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4.04 | 1.24 |
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4.04 | 1.24 |
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4.33 | 1.22 |
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3.85 | 1.23 |
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3.85 | 1.23 |
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Who will win the Adrian Mannarino vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Adrian Mannarino vs Alex De Minaur match is: Alex de Minaur wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Adrian Mannarino vs Alex De Minaur game on 13/06/2026 of the current ATP Libema Open season:
- Adrian Mannarino has a 33.91% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 4.33.
- Alex De Minaur has a 66.09% probability of winning facing Adrian Mannarino ⭐ with odds of 1.24 at Melbet.
Adrian Mannarino vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Adrian Mannarino has a 33.91 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | 33.91 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 66.09 % |
Adrian Mannarino vs Alex De Minaur Form
Adrian Mannarino and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
12 Jun 2026 - ATP Libema Open
11 Jun 2026 - ATP Libema Open
9 Jun 2026 - ATP Libema Open
25 May 2026 - ATP French Open
19 May 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
6 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
12 Jun 2026 - ATP Libema Open
10 Jun 2026 - ATP Libema Open
29 May 2026 - ATP French Open
25 May 2026 - ATP French Open
22 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
21 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
Adrian Mannarino vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
23 Jun 2023 - ATP London - Queen's
9 Jun 2022 - ATP Libema Open
Adrian Mannarino - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- De Minaur is 39 places above his opponent in the live rankings.
- De Minaur has won his last six matches in the Libema Open. all in straight sets.
- Mannarino hasn't reached a grass court final in three years.
- Mannarino has had to go to a deciding set in two of his three matches this week.
- De Minaur has won four of his previous five matches against Mannarino.
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Our Adrian Mannarino vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Alex de Minaur won this title a couple of years ago and he is the favorite to win it in 2026. The Australian is yet to drop a set in this tournament and was impressive when only losing six games against Benjamin Bonzi in his quarter-final.
Now he faces another Frenchman Adrian Mannarino. The return to grass courts has ended the poor run that Mannarino was enduring. He has had to play for nearly four hours longer than de Minaur to reach this semi-final. Our Adrian Mannarino v Alex de Minaur prediction is Alex de Minaur wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.