AC Milan vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

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Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
22/02/2026 12:00
Parma

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

AC Milan will be looking to gain ground in the Serie A title race when they host Parma on Matchday 26. Back-to-back wins lifted Parma to 12th in the standings as second-place Milan lost ground in the title race. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Milan had to battle from behind to draw 1-1 with Como in their last outing. Rafael Leao was their savior as the Rossoneri avoided a second defeat in Serie A this season.

They, however, couldn’t escape a ninth draw, leaving them seven points behind leaders Inter Milan. One of those draws was registered in the reverse meeting with Parma, a 2-2 outcome.

Parma are in inspired form coming into the game. Twice in their last three meetings with Milan, I Crociati avoided defeat, winning once. They come into this game having won their latest two league outings for the first time this season.

Right ahead of this match, they beat Verona 2-1, after claiming a 1-0 win against Bologna. While Parma haven't won a majority of their league games, lately they’ve shown they are also tough to beat.

In their last 10 matches, they only lost three times and posted four wins. Eight of their 25 matches ended in draws, and they are here seeking an eighth league win of the campaign.

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AC Milan v Parma Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.39 5 8.4
Melbet
1.37 4.88 8.6
Betwinner
1.37 4.88 8.6
Bet365
1.38 4.75 8
Roobet
1.36 4.7 8.4
Check all AC Milan vs Parma odds

What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Parma?

Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Parma match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/02/2026 between AC Milan and Parma in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.33% for a win of AC Milan against Parma with odds of 1.41 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Parma is 36.08% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs AC Milan with odds of 9.25 at LSbet.

AC Milan - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:

AC Milan Parma Prediction Probability Odds
AC Milan wins 43.33% 1.41 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 53.23% 2.05 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 52.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan 19.29% 4 at Bet365

AC Milan vs Parma Form

AC Milan and Parma's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 AC Milan
70 38 20 10 8 +18
13 Parma
45 38 11 12 15 -18

AC Milan and Parma Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
W W D W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Como 1907

13 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  2
AC Milan

3 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  3
AC Milan

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
AC Milan

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lecce

15 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  3
AC Milan
W D W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Como 1907

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lecce

8 Jan 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio
W D W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  2
AC Milan

3 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  3
AC Milan

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
AC Milan

15 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  3
AC Milan

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

2 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan
Parma
Parma Last matches
D D L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  1
Parma

1 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  4
Juventus

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  0
Parma

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa

14 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Parma
L W L D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

1 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  4
Juventus

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Inter Milan

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio
W D W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  1
Parma

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  0
Parma

14 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Parma

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Parma

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  1
Parma

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Parma

AC Milan vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

50 %

Draw

33 %

Parma

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2.33
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan

26 Jan 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  2
Parma

24 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
AC Milan

10 Apr 2021 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
AC Milan

13 Dec 2020 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Parma

15 Jul 2020 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Parma

AC Milan against Parma Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

16
M. Maignan
23
F. Tomori
5
K. De Winter
33
D. Bartesaghi
56
A. Saelemaekers
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
14
L. Modric
12
A. Rabiot
2
P. Estupinan
10
R. Leao
11
C. Pulisic
9
M. Pellegrino
7
G. Strefezza
14
E. Valeri
24
C. Ordonez
16
M. Keita
10
A. Bernabe
27
S. Britschgi
5
L. Valenti
37
Troilo
15
E. Del Prato
40
E. Corvi

Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1

Parma

Substitutes

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

P. Terracciano

M. Pittarella

Defender

S. Pavlovic

P. Estupinan 62'

Z. Athekame

F. Tomori 86'

D. Odogu

M. Gabbia

Midfielder

S. Ricci

Y. Fofana

A. Jashari

R. Loftus-Cheek 11'

Forward

N. Fullkrug

C. Pulisic 62'

C. Nkunku

A. Jashari 86'

Parma
Parma
Goalkeeper

G. Casentini

F. Rinaldi

Defender

M. Mena Martinez

F. Carboni

D. Drobnic

Midfielder

N. Estevez

M. Pellegrino 90'

G. Oristanio

J. Ondrejka

G. Strefezza 76'

B. Cremaschi

O. Sorensen

C. Ordonez 60'

Forward

H. Caviglia

A. Bernabe 60'

N. Elphege

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Parma
Parma
Defender

N. Ndiaye

A. Circati

Forward

M. Frigan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Parma
Top Goalscorer
Portugal R. Leao (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina M. Pellegrino (9 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (4 Assists) , 
USA C. Pulisic (4 Assists) , 
Italy S. Ricci (4 Assists)
Best assists
Italy H. Caviglia (4 Assists)

AC Milan - Parma Key Points

  1. Parma have drawn eight matches so far in Serie A.
  2. Half of Milan’s last eight home games ended in draws.
  3. AC Milan have drawn nine times in their league matches.
  4. Parma are winless in three of five away games, two being draws.
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Our AC Milan vs Parma Prediction

Parma aren’t known to give AC Milan an easy time, at least as per their recent meetings. In the reverse fixture, they came from behind to draw 2-2, avoiding defeat against Milan for the second time in three matchups.

Milan haven't been at their best in recent times, and an inconsistent run sees them trail leaders Inter in the title race. Only relegation threatened Pisa have drawn more matches than Milan, yet they face another draw specialist. Our prediction for AC Milan v Parma is for the match to end in a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Parma

AC Milan vs Parma Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
AC Milan wins 1.33 1.41 +6.0%
Draw 5.69 5.2 -8.6%
Parma wins 11.3 9.25 -18.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AC Milan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 6.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 70.9% (-4.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Parma Prediction