Italy - Serie A
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AC Milan vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
AC Milan will return to the Serie A a rejuvenated side as they prepare to host Cagliari. Rossoneri come into this game placed eighth in the league standings, while Gli Isolani are 17th. Below we have the prediction for this matchday 20 encounter.
Milan are coming into this game fresh from winning the Italian Super Cup out in Saudi Arabia. They produced stunning comebacks in the two matches, beating Juventus (2-1), then arch rivals Inter (3-2) to clinch the gong.
The Super Cup matches served as a great introduction to new manager Sergio Conceicao, who will now get his first taste of the Serie A.
Cagliari will take inspiration from their latest performance where they came from a goal down to beat struggling Monza 2-1. With the two sides below them drawing, Cagliari leapt out of the drop zone.
They are only above the red zone by virtue of their goal difference and Cagliari will hope to produce a shock here and move further away from the drop zone.
In the first leg meeting, a stubborn Cagliari held Milan to a 3-3 draw and they will be keen to do better here. Unfortunately, they don’t have a strong run away to Milan.
In each of their last three visits, they conceded at least four goals.
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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Cagliari Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 9 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 8 |
|
|
1.6 | 3 | 6 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.41 | 9.08 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.41 | 9.08 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.25 | 9 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.05 | 8.1 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.05 | 8.1 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.6 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.2 | 8.3 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.6 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.2 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.25 | 5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.4 | 9.2 |
|
|
1.38 | 5 | 8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Cagliari?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Cagliari match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2025 between AC Milan and Cagliari in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.5% for a win of AC Milan against Cagliari with odds of 1.6 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Cagliari is 25.7% with odds of 5.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 8.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Cagliari vs AC Milan with odds of 10 at Vbet.
AC Milan - Cagliari Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Cagliari Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 65.5% | 1.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.42% | 1.8 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 57.92% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan | 32% | 4.2 at Betsson |
AC Milan vs Cagliari Form
AC Milan and Cagliari's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
31 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 8 |
|
14
|
21 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -11 |
AC Milan and Cagliari Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
3 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
20 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
15 Dec 2024 - Serie A
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
30 Nov 2024 - Serie A
23 Nov 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
3 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
20 Dec 2024 - Serie A
6 Dec 2024 - Serie A
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
9 Nov 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
17 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
14 Dec 2024 - Serie A
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2024 - Serie A
14 Dec 2024 - Serie A
29 Nov 2024 - Serie A
9 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
17 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
8 Dec 2024 - Serie A
24 Nov 2024 - Serie A
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
AC Milan vs Cagliari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2024 - Serie A
11 May 2024 - Serie A
2 Jan 2024 - Coppa Italia
27 Sep 2023 - Serie A
19 Mar 2022 - Serie A
29 Aug 2021 - Serie A
AC Milan against Cagliari Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Missing players
S. Chukwueze
R. Loftus-Cheek
Z. Luvumbo
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Cagliari
T. Reijnders
(8 Goals)
, 
C. Pulisic
(8 Goals)
R. Piccoli
(5 Goals)
,
N. Zortea
(5 Goals)
Y. Fofana
(6 Assists)
T. Augello
(3 Assists)
,
M. Felici
(3 Assists)
AC Milan - Cagliari Key Points
- Eight goals were scored in Milan’s last two matches.
- 15 goals were scored in Milan’s last five matches at home.
- Cagliari’s last five away matches averaged three goals per game.
- Cagliari conceded four or more goals in their last three visits to Milan.
- The last four meetings between these two sides produced over 2.5 goals.
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Our AC Milan vs Cagliari Prediction
Milan will come into this game as clear favorites, and will be boosted by their Super Cup win. Playing at home further adds to their advantage and they should be able to overcome Cagliari.
The visitors showed in the first leg of this fixture that they can be stubborn. As they are coming off a win, they’ll also be confident and will take the game to Milan. We will bet on the goals market here and our prediction for AC Milan v Cagliari is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Cagliari
| AC Milan vs Cagliari | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 1.36 | 1.33 | -2.2% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 5.25 | +10.5% |
| Cagliari wins | 9.5 | 9 | -5.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 75.2% (1.7%)
Use £30 free bets for the AC Milan vs. Cagliari game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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