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28 April 2024 - 09:00 

- Day 35

England - Premier League

Bournemouth
VS
Brighton

Prediction :

Bournemouth wins the match

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Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Ian John | in Premier League Prediction

10th-place Bournemouth host 11th-placed Brighton in Sunday afternoon’s early kick off in the Premier League. The two south coast teams have had conflicting fortunes over the course of the season. Bournemouth started the season slowly, but have had three excellent runs of good form which has propelled Andoni Iraola’s team into mid-table safety. Bournemouth have won five, drawn two and lost two of their last nine games, both defeats coming away from home. Only Liverpool and Manchester City have beaten Iraola’s team at their Vitality Stadium in their last 12 home games and they are unbeaten in five on home soil. The home side came into this game following a two-game trip to the Midlands that saw them lose 3-1 to Aston Villa last weekend, but then earn a fine 1-0 win away to Wolves in midweek. 

Roberto De Zerbi’s Brighton have struggled for form over the last few weeks. They have not won a game in five matches, losing three, although those three defeats have come against Liverpool, Arsenal and most recently a 4-0 home defeat to Manchester City on Thursday night. In between those two games the Seagulls have landed two draws away from home, a 0-0 at Brentford then a 1-1 draw away to Burnley. It is fair to point out that De Zerbi’s team have been decimated by injuries over recent times and that has certainly not helped them in any of their most recent performances. After a great start to the season, Brighton’s form has tailed off somewhat of late and with their four remaining games after this one against Aston Villa, Newcastle, Chelsea and Manchester United, things don’t get any easier for them.

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The Best Betting Odds for Bournemouth v Brighton Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.03 17 51
Ladbrokes
2.15 3.7 3
NetBet
1.87 3.8 3.3
Check all Bournemouth vs Brighton odds
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Who will win the Bournemouth vs Brighton Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Bournemouth and Brighton of Premier League on 4/28/24 :

  • There is a probability of 50.12% ⭐ for Bournemouth to win this match against Brighton ⚽ with odds of 2.15 found at Ladbrokes.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 17 which implies a probability of 25.34%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Brighton to win the match are about 51 at Bet365. That means a probability of 24.54%.

Bournemouth vs Brighton Form

Bournemouth and Brighton's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
48 36 13 9 14 -11
11
Brighton
Brighton
47 35 12 11 12 -4

Bournemouth and Brighton Last Matches

Bournemouth
Bournemouth Last matches
W W L D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

24 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  1
Bournemouth

21 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  1
Bournemouth

13 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Manchester United

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Luton Town
2 :  1
Bournemouth

2 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  0
Crystal Palace

30 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  1
Everton
Brighton
Brighton Last matches
W L D L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

25 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  4
Manchester City

13 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Brighton

6 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Arsenal

3 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  0
Brighton

31 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  1
Brighton

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Brighton
1 :  0
Roma

Bournemouth against Brighton : Head to Head (H2H)

Bournemouth

33 %

Draw

0 %

Brighton

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

24 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  1
Bournemouth

4 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  2
Brighton

4 Feb 2023 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  0
Bournemouth

21 Jan 2020 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  1
Brighton

28 Dec 2019 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  0
Bournemouth

13 Apr 2019 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  5
Bournemouth
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Bournemouth against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11

Bournemouth

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

42
M. Travers
15
A. Smith
5
L. Kelly
25
M. Senesi
11
D. Ouattara
4
L. Cook
14
A. Scott
26
E. Unal
19
J. Kluivert
24
A. Semenyo
9
D. Solanke
9
J. Pedro
40
B. Facundo
42
O. Offiah
24
S. Adingra
55
M. O'Mahony
11
B. Gilmour
19
V. Barco
5
L. Dunk
3
Igor
13
P. Gross
1
B. Verbruggen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Brighton

Missing players

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Defender

R. Fredericks

C. Mepham

Midfielder

T. Adams

M. Tavernier

M. Kerkez

Forward

L. Sinisterra

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

P. Estupinan

T. Lamptey

J. Van Hecke

Midfielder

S. March

J. Milner

J. Hinshelwood

K. Mitoma

A. Lallana

Forward

E. Ferguson

Bournemouth - Brighton Key Points

  1. Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last five games at the Vitality Stadium, winning three, drawing two.
  2. Brighton have won just one of their last 11 away games and that was against bottom side Sheffield United.
  3. The home side have won five, drawn two and lost just one of their eight home games against teams ranked lower than them in the Premier League table at present.
  4. 15 of Brighton’s 24 away goals came in just the first seven away games of the season. Since then, they have scored just nine goals in the next ten away games.
  5. Bournemouth have won five of the last seven home games they have played against Brighton.
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Our Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction

Even just a quick look at the data reveals a strong trend towards a home win in this game. Bournemouth’s form of late (five wins, two draws in nine) is so much better than Brighton’s (one win, three draws in eight). Factor in that Brighton are without eight first-team players, many of whom would be regular starters, and you can see why the odds seem to favour Bournemouth here, So our prediction for Bournemouth vs Brighton is for another positive home win for Bournemouth.

Prediction :

Bournemouth wins the match

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Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction

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