07 May 2024 - 14:00

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Europe - Champions League

PSG

Borussia Dortmund

Prediction :

PSG wins the match

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PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Prediction published on 07/05/2024, 08:20 by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 07/05/2024 at 08:45 in Champions League Prediction

PSG host Borussia Dortmund in the second leg of their Champions League semi-final. The home side trail Dortmund 1-0 after the first leg of this tie. A goal in the first half by Niklas Fulkrug gave Dortmund the slender lead they take to Paris. The chances of an all-Bundesliga final are still alive with the other semi-final seeing Bayern Munich draw 2-2 at home with Real Madrid in the first leg of their tie. PSG will be hoping for a repeat of their home match against Dortmund in the group stages when they ran out 2-0 winners.

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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Borussia Dortmund Match

1	X	2
51	5.5	1.14
1.75	3.1	4.6
1.48	5	5.4

Check all PSG vs Borussia Dortmund odds

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Who will win the PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Football match?

The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between PSG and Borussia Dortmund of Champions League on 5/7/24 :

There is a probability of 44.99% ⭐ for PSG to win this match against Borussia Dortmund ⚽ with odds of 51 found at Bet365.
Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 5.5 which implies a probability of 17.89%.
Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Borussia Dortmund to win the match are about 5.4 at NetBet. That means a probability of 37.12%.

PSG - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:

PSG vs Borussia Dortmund prediction	Win Probability	Best Odds
PSG is favoured to win	44.99 %	51
Draw	17.89 %	5.5
Borussia Dortmund wins the game	37.12 %	5.4

PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Form

PSG and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches

PSG Last matches

L W W W D L

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals

4.5

BTTS

83%

Goals scored

2.83

Goals conceded

1.67

Over 2.5

83%

Under 2.5

17%

1 May 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 0

PSG

27 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG

3 : 3

Le Havre

24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lorient

1 : 4

PSG

21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG

4 : 1

Lyon

16 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Barcelona

1 : 4

PSG

10 Apr 2024 - Champions League

PSG

2 : 3

Barcelona

Borussia Dortmund Last matches

W W D L W W

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals

3.83

BTTS

83%

Goals scored

2.33

Goals conceded

1.5

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

4 May 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

5 : 1

Augsburg

1 May 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 0

PSG

27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig

4 : 1

Borussia Dortmund

21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 1

Bayer Leverkusen

16 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

4 : 2

Atletico Madrid

13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach

1 : 2

Borussia Dortmund

PSG against Borussia Dortmund : Head to Head (H2H)

PSG

40 %

Draw

20 %

Borussia Dortmund

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals

BTTS

40%

Goals scored (Team 1)

1.2

Goals scored (Team 2)

0.8

Over 2.5

20%

Under 2.5

80%

1 May 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 0

PSG

13 Dec 2023 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

1 : 1

PSG

19 Sep 2023 - Champions League

PSG

2 : 0

Borussia Dortmund

11 Mar 2020 - Champions League

PSG

2 : 0

Borussia Dortmund

18 Feb 2020 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 1

PSG

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PSG - Borussia Dortmund: Form Analysis

PSG have already retained their Ligue 1 title and now bid to reach only their second Champions League final. The first leg of this tie saw them lose by the only goal of the match. They haven't played since then so have had the chance to claw back the narrow deficit. This is the fourth match that the Parisians have played against Dortmund in this season's Champions League. They met in the group stages with PSG getting a 2-0 home win and a 1-1 draw in Germany. The Ligue 1 champions had gone four games without a defeat before losing the first leg. In the Champions League this season, PSG have won three of their five matches. They were unbeaten in the first four but lost to Barcelona in the first leg of their quarter-final. The French side also hosted Dortmund in this competition four years ago and that was also won 2-0. A third win by that scoreline would take them through to the final.

Borussia Dortmund are assured of a place in next season's Champions League. They are only fifth in the German Bundesliga but that league has been given an extra place for the 2024/25 season and they're 15 points clear of sixth spot. The Germans have played since the first leg and on Saturday had a convincing 5-1 home win over Augsburg. Home results have been strong for The Black and Yellows with only one loss in their last seven matches in all competitions. It's not been going so well on their travels with two of the last three being lost. They were beaten in the away leg of their quarter final against Atletico Madrid.and also lost 4-1 at Leipzig on April 27 after Sancho had given them an early lead. Only three of their last 11 away games in the Champions League have been won with six defeats. A PSG home win is our tip for this match.

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PSG against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11

PSG

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

G. Donnarumma

A. Hakimi

Marquinhos

L. Beraldo

N. Mendes

W. Zaire-Emery

Vitinha

F. Ruiz

O. Dembele

G. Ramos

K. Mbappe

N. Fullkrug

K. Adeyemi

J. Brandt

J. Sancho

M. Sabitzer

E. Can

I. Maatsen

N. Schlotterbeck

M. Hummels

J. Ryerson

G. Kobel

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Borussia Dortmund

Missing players

PSG

Defender

P. Kimpembe

L. Hernandez

Borussia Dortmund

Defender

R. Bensebaini

Forward

J. Duranville

PSG & Borussia Dortmund Squad Analysis

PSG will be without Lucas Hernandez who was injured in the first leg and won't play again this year. He's likely to be replaced by Lucas Beraldo as there are doubts over the form of Milan Skriniar. Dortmund have doubts over the fitness of right-back Julian Ryerson who missed their weekend game against Augsburg. Sebastian Haller also missed that Bundesliga match but is expected to be fit for this match. Karim Adeyami did play at the weekend and picked up an injury but could be ready for this match.

PSG - Borussia Dortmund Key Points

Borussia Dortmund have lost six of their last 11 away games in the Champions League.
PSG beat Borussia Dortmund 2-0 at home in this season's group stages.
Borussia Dortmund have lost two of their last three away fixtures.
PSG have only lost one of their last 22 home games in all competitions.
PSG have won nine of their last 13 home games in the Champions League.

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Our PSG vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

PSG have won Ligue 1 and can now fully concentrate on winning the Champions League. To keep their hopes alive, they have to win this match after losing the first leg 1-0. Home form has been strong this season with only one loss in Ligue 1 and defeat by Barcelona in this competition. Borussia Dortmund have that goal lead but the Prussians aren't always at their best on the road. Two of their last three away games have been lost with six goals conceded. They also lost 2-0 at PSG in the group stages of this season's Champions League. Our main PSG v Borussia Dortmund prediction is a home win for PSG.

Prediction :

PSG wins the match

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PSG vs Borussia Dortmund - Other Interesting Predictions

PSG to win and both teams to score

The last four PSG home games have seen both teams score. Dortmund have had two recent away losses in which both sides got on the scoresheet.

PSG to qualify after 90 minutes of play

We believe PSG will qualify for the final and not require either extra time or the dreaded penalty shoot-out. They beat Dortmund 2-0 at home earlier this season and a repeat of that would be good enough to see them through. 19 of their last 20 home wins have been by a margin that if repeated in this match would take them into the final after 90 minutes.

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PSG vs Borussia Dortmund match : Frequently asked questions

This match is being played on Tuesday May 7 with an 20:00 kick-off.

This is a home game for PSG so it will be played at the Parc de Princes in Paris.

UK viewers will need a subscription to TNT Sports. You can follow all the action on our Champions League livescore which will have live text commentary and updated statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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