West Ham vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

West Ham
14/03/2026 16:00
Manchester City

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions

Manchester City will hope to put behind them the humiliation by Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabeu when they visit West Ham United next. Getting back to Premier League action is an opportunity for City to return to winning ways. Though having a shaky run, Pep Guardiola’s men remain in the hunt for four trophies. West Ham United, on the other hand, are only playing for survival in the league. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

West Ham United are faced with a daunting task; going into a match, either side will lose greatly if they drop points. The Hammers are in the eye of the relegation battle, sitting in the bottom three just by virtue of goal difference. Manchester City, on the other hand, are in the title fight, trailing the leaders by seven points.

They do have a game in hand and will hope to make the most of it to close the gap to just four points.

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West Ham v Manchester City Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.8 4.5 1.64
Melbet
4.68 4.44 1.63
Betwinner
4.68 4.44 1.63
Bet365
4.75 4.1 1.62
Roobet
4.8 4.4 1.6
Check all West Ham vs Manchester City odds

What is the prediction for the football match between West Ham and Manchester City?

Our prediction for the West Ham vs Manchester City match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2026 between West Ham and Manchester City in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.01% for a win of West Ham against Manchester City with odds of 4.9 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Ham vs Manchester City is 26.04% with odds of 4.62 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 46.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs West Ham with odds of 1.69 at 888Starz.

West Ham - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:

West Ham Manchester City Prediction Probability Odds
Manchester City wins 46.95% 1.69 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 72.47%
Both Team To Score 72.5%
Half-time : West Ham / Full-time : Manchester City 16.87% 19 at Bet365

West Ham vs Manchester City Form

West Ham and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Manchester City
78 38 23 9 6 +42
18 West Ham
39 38 10 9 19 -19

West Ham and Manchester City Last Matches

West Ham
West Ham Last matches
D W D L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2026 - FA Cup

West Ham
2 :  2
Brentford

4 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  1
West Ham

28 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
5 :  2
West Ham

21 Feb 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  0
Bournemouth

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Burton Albion
0 :  1
West Ham

10 Feb 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Manchester United
L W W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2026 - FA Cup

West Ham
2 :  2
Brentford

21 Feb 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  0
Bournemouth

10 Feb 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Manchester United

24 Jan 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  1
Sunderland

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

West Ham
2 :  1
QPR

6 Jan 2026 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  2
Nottingham Forest
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  1
West Ham

28 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
5 :  2
West Ham

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Burton Albion
0 :  1
West Ham

7 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
West Ham

31 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
West Ham

17 Jan 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
1 :  2
West Ham
Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
W W W D W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Manchester City

7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
1 :  3
Manchester City

4 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

28 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Manchester City

21 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Newcastle

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
Salford City
W W W W W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Nottingham Forest

21 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Newcastle

14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
Salford City

11 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Fulham

4 Feb 2026 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Newcastle

28 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Galatasaray
L D W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Manchester City

7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup

Newcastle
1 :  3
Manchester City

28 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  1
Manchester City

8 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Manchester City

1 Feb 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Manchester City

20 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Bodoe/Glimt
3 :  1
Manchester City

West Ham vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

West Ham

0 %

Draw

0 %

Manchester City

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
3.17
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
West Ham

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  1
West Ham

31 Aug 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  3
Manchester City

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
West Ham

16 Sept 2023 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  3
Manchester City

3 May 2023 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
West Ham

West Ham - Manchester City: Form Analysis

West Ham United have had some positive outcomes to prepare for this game. Through post-match penalties they overcame Brentford in the FA Cup on Monday after a 2-2 draw. The hosts will be looking to build on a two-game undefeated run, of which the first was a 1-0 win at Fulham.

That boosted their chances of survival as they remained within striking distance of the two sides above them. Nuno Espirito Santo will be urging his charges to keep their focus right, having lately dropped points in the dying embers of matches. In their last seven matches across all competitions, West Ham lost just once in regular time.

West Ham last beat City in 2016.

Manchester City returns to league action after focusing on cup competition in the last two games. They will be seeking some response here after a limp performance against Real Madrid, which ended in a 3-0 loss. Their first defeat in 12 matches doesn’t mark the end of the road for City, and they should be able to deal with West Ham easily.

The Cityzens have nine wins in their last 12 matches, but the most recent in the league saw them drop points in a 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest. Head-to-head, they have done really well in this fixture, not only dominating in terms of wins but also scoring a lot. City are unbeaten in 22 meetings with West Ham, and they won each of the last seven.

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West Ham against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11

West Ham

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

1
M. Hermansen
15
K. Mavropanos
4
A. Disasi
25
J. Todibo
29
A. Wan-Bissaka
28
T. Soucek
18
M. Fernandes
12
E. Diouf
20
J. Bowen
19
Pablo
11
T. Castellanos
9
E. Haaland
7
O. Marmoush
33
N. O'Reilly
20
B. Silva
42
A. Semenyo
16
Rodri
21
R. Ait-Nouri
15
M. Guehi
45
A. Khusanov
27
M. Nunes
25
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2

Manchester City

Substitutes

West Ham
West Ham
Goalkeeper

A. Areola

Defender

E. Mayers

M. Kilman

S. Magassa

Pablo 64'

K. Walker-Peters

Midfielder

F. Potts

M. Kante

J. Bowen 90'

Forward

A. Traore

T. Castellanos 74'

C. Wilson

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

J. Trafford

Defender

R. Dias

N. Ake

Midfielder

T. Reijnders

B. Silva 75'

N. Gonzalez

R. Cherki

O. Marmoush 60'

P. Foden

A. Semenyo 75'

M. Kovacic

Forward

J. Doku

R. Ait-Nouri 60'

Missing players

West Ham
West Ham
Goalkeeper

L. Fabianski

Forward

C. Summerville

Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

J. Gvardiol

West Ham & Manchester City Squad Analysis

West Ham United’s progression in the FA Cup on Monday came at a heavy cost. Dutch forward Crysencio Summerville suffered a calf injury in the match, and he will spend some time in the treatment room. Goalkeeper Lukasz Fabianski remains a long-term absentee as he nurses a back injury, while Oliver Scarles and Adama Traore are expected to recover from knocks.

Jarrod Bowen was the last of the current West Ham players to score against Manchester City, and that was in 2022. He netted a brace back then, and it was the last time they got a point off City. As he is a sure starter if fit, the forward will be hoping for the same here.

Antoine Semenyo has five league goals at City since joining in January.

Manchester City will hope to do the business early here and rest players ahead of the Real Madrid visit. One man who loves this game is Erling Haaland. The Norwegian has scored more league goals against West Ham United than any other team (11). Two of those came in the reverse match as City beat West Ham 3-0.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato West Ham
CD Huachipato Manchester City
Top Goalscorer
England J. Bowen (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (27 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Bowen (11 Assists)
Best assists
France R. Cherki (12 Assists)

West Ham - Manchester City Key Points

  1. Manchester City’s last five matches averaged three goals.
  2. Manchester City scored 3+ in the last six meetings with West Ham.
  3. 13 goals were netted in West Ham United’s last five games.
  4. Five of West Ham’s last 10 home games had over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our West Ham vs Manchester City Prediction

This fixture has all the makings of a possible high-scoring match. Manchester City have been dominant in the match not only in terms of wins but also goals. The last six meetings between these two saw City score three goals or more here.

They will want to carry on here as they seek to bounce back following a humiliating night in Spain. West Ham, however, aren’t expected to give in easily, being that they also want to rise from the relegation zone. As City are struggling defensively, our prediction for West Ham United v Manchester City is for more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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West Ham vs Manchester City Alternative Predictions

Manchester City wins

Odds 1.62

Manchester City’s record in this fixture is very clear. They have dominated this game for long, and we should see the same here. Our second prediction, based on that, is a win for Manchester City.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis West Ham Manchester City

West Ham vs Manchester City Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
West Ham wins 6 4.9 -18.3%
Draw 4.5 4.62 +2.7%
Manchester City wins 1.52 1.69 +11.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Manchester City is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 11.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 65.8% and is now 59.2% (-6.6%)

West Ham vs Manchester City - FAQs

The West Ham United v Manchester City match will be staged at the London Stadium.

The West Ham United v Manchester City match will be played on Saturday, 14th March.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

West Ham vs Manchester City Prediction