Watford vs Wrexham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

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England - Championship

Watford
17/03/2026 15:45
Wrexham

Prediction :

 

Wrexham wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions

Can Wrexham win yet another promotion? The Welsh Dragons are sixth in the Championship, the final promotion play-off position. Tuesday sees them travel to tenth-placed Watford. Read our match prediction below.

Wrexham bounced back from a couple of defeats with a 2-0 home win over Swansea City on Friday. They can move up to fifth in the table with an away win at Vicarage Road. However, they'd still be seven points adrift of the final automatic promotion place.

On the road, Wrexham have won eight away league games this season. They have won five of the last six with a couple of clean sheets in their last three. The reverse fixture against Watford ended 2-2.

Watford still have faint hopes of making it into the play-offs. The Hornets are seven points behind Wrexham with nine games to play in the main season. A win here would boost their chances but losing would all but end them.

Saturday saw Watford lose 3-1 at Stoke and they only have a single point from their last two league fixtures. Only one of their last four league matches has been won.

Home form has seen them win nine league games this term but three of the last five have been lost.

We tip Wrexham to win this.

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Watford v Wrexham Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.31 3.35 3.05
Melbet
2.26 3.32 3.09
Betwinner
2.3 3.3 3.03
Bet365
2.15 3.4 3.2
Roobet
2.22 3.25 3.25
Check all Watford vs Wrexham odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Wrexham?

Our prediction for the Watford vs Wrexham match is: Wrexham wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/03/2026 between Watford and Wrexham in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.5% for a win of Watford against Wrexham with odds of 2.35 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Wrexham is 27.42% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 49.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Wrexham vs Watford with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.

Watford - Wrexham Prediction and Best Odds:

Watford Wrexham Prediction Probability Odds
Wrexham wins 49.09% 3.5 at LSbet
Under 2.5 52.65% 2.35 at LSbet
Both Team To Score: No 52.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Wrexham 19.05% 8 at LSbet

Watford vs Wrexham Form

Watford and Wrexham's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Wrexham
71 46 19 14 13 +4
16 Watford
57 46 14 15 17 -12

Watford and Wrexham Last Matches

Watford
Watford Last matches
D W L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Watford

10 Mar 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Watford

27 Feb 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  2
Watford

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Ipswich Town

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  0
Derby County

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  2
Watford
W L D L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Ipswich Town

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  0
Derby County

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Swansea

21 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Portsmouth

17 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
0 :  2
Millwall

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Watford
3 :  0
Birmingham
D L D W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Mar 2026 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Watford

10 Mar 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Watford

27 Feb 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  2
Watford

14 Feb 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  2
Watford

7 Feb 2026 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  0
Watford

3 Feb 2026 - Championship

Hull
0 :  0
Watford
Wrexham
Wrexham Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Mar 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  0
Swansea

10 Mar 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  2
Hull

7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup

Wrexham
2 :  4
Chelsea

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
0 :  1
Wrexham

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  1
Portsmouth

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
5 :  3
Ipswich Town
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Mar 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  0
Swansea

10 Mar 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  2
Hull

7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup

Wrexham
2 :  4
Chelsea

24 Feb 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  1
Portsmouth

21 Feb 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
5 :  3
Ipswich Town

13 Feb 2026 - FA Cup

Wrexham
1 :  0
Ipswich Town
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
0 :  1
Wrexham

17 Feb 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  2
Wrexham

31 Jan 2026 - Championship

Sheffield Wednesday
0 :  1
Wrexham

24 Jan 2026 - Championship

QPR
2 :  3
Wrexham

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Wrexham

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  2
Wrexham

Watford vs Wrexham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Watford

0 %

Draw

100 %

Wrexham

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  2
Watford

Watford against Wrexham Lineups: Starting 11

Watford

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
E. Selvik
25
J. Abankwah
3
S. Goglichidze
6
M. Pollock
16
M. Bola
66
N. Irankunda
10
I. Louza
17
P. Ekwah
8
G. Chakvetadze
39
E. Kayembe
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
28
S. Smith
33
N. Broadhead
20
O. Rathbone
14
G. Thomason
27
L. O'Brien
26
Z. Vyner
47
R. Longman
2
C. Doyle
5
D. Hyam
4
M. Cleworth
1
A. Okonkwo

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Wrexham

Substitutes

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

N. Baxter

Defender

A. Eames

F. Mendy

G. Chakvetadze 83'

K. Keben

J. Abankwah 90'

Midfielder

E. Bove

E. Kayembe 83'

T. Ince

N. Mendy

P. Ekwah 71'

Forward

M. Doumbia

N. Irankunda 72'

A. Nabizada

Wrexham
Wrexham
Goalkeeper

D. Ward

Defender

I. Kabore

R. Longman 64'

D. Scarr

Midfielder

L. Brunt

R. Barnett

J. Windass

N. Broadhead 46'

Forward

J. Rodriguez

Z. Vyner 88'

D. Keillor-Dunn

O. Rathbone 64'

B. Cadamarteri

S. Smith 75'

Missing players

Watford
Watford
Midfielder

H. Kyprianou

P. Dwomoh

R. Vata

Wrexham
Wrexham
Defender

A. James

Midfielder

B. Sheaf

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Watford
CD Huachipato Wrexham
Top Goalscorer
Denmark L. Kjerrumgaard (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Windass (16 Goals)
Best assists
Morocco I. Louza (9 Assists)
Best assists
Burkina Faso I. Kabore (8 Assists)

Watford - Wrexham Key Points

  1. Watford have lost three of their last five home league games.
  2. Watford failed to score in each of those three home losses.
  3. Wrexham have won five of their last six away league fixtures.
  4. Wrexham have kept two clean sheets in their last three away league matches.
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Our Watford vs Wrexham Prediction

Wrexham had a good win over Swansea on Friday to maintain their promotion challenge. They struggled on their travels earlier in the season but come into this game at Watford having won five of their last six away league fixtures.

Watford can't afford to lose this game if they want to retain any hope of finishing in a play-off position. The Hornets are struggling at present and especially at home and when playing sides above them in the table. Our Watford v Wrexham prediction is Wrexham wins.

Prediction :

 

Wrexham wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Watford Wrexham

Watford vs Wrexham Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Watford wins 2.14 2.35 +9.8%
Draw 3.35 3.5 +4.5%
Wrexham wins 3.3 3.5 +6.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Wrexham is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 6.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 30.3% and is now 28.6% (-1.7%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Watford vs Wrexham Prediction