Vitoria vs Chapecoense Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
07/10/2026 18:00
Chapecoense

Prediction :

 

Vitoria wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

Chapecoense will be on the road to Vitoria in their next Brazilian Serie A match, both looking to return stronger after the international break. Vitoria arrive for the match four points above the drop zone, while Chapecoense are at the bottom of the standings. Having won 28 of their 33 points at home, our prediction backs Vitoria to prevail.

Before heading into the break, Vitoria posted a 3-1 defeat to sixth-placed Cruzeiro. This should be an easier assignment as they look to rise into the continental football spaces.

They’ve failed to beat Chapecoense in the last two meetings but are unbeaten the last three times they hosted this encounter. Home form is to be improved on, though, as Vitoria lost three times in the last four.

Chapecoense have found it tough in the top flight, failing to match their high-flying performances in Serie B last season. The visitors were promoted after finishing third, with 18 wins last season.

This term, they’ve already suffered three more defeats than they recorded all through last season. A poor run in the season has left Chapecoense 13 points below safety, having garnered 18 points from their 27 outings.

Having drawn 1-1 with Atletico-MG before the international break will offer some encouragement. However, they’ve only averaged 0.5 points per away game. In their last three visits here, Chapecoense failed to score, losing twice.

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Vitoria v Chapecoense Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.65 3.8 4.9
1xbet
1.7 3.87 5.1
Melbet
1.69 3.82 5.05
Betwinner
1.69 3.82 5.05
22bet
1.69 3.82 5.05
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What is the prediction for the football match between Vitoria and Chapecoense?

Our prediction for the Vitoria vs Chapecoense match is: Vitoria wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/10/2026 between Vitoria and Chapecoense in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.01% for a win of Vitoria against Chapecoense with odds of 1.72 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Vitoria vs Chapecoense is 20.27% with odds of 3.9 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 30.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Chapecoense vs Vitoria with odds of 5.25 at Bet365.

Vitoria vs Chapecoense Form

Vitoria and Chapecoense's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13 Vitoria
33 28 9 6 13 -14
20 Chapecoense
18 27 3 9 15 -24

Vitoria and Chapecoense Last Matches

Vitoria
Vitoria Last matches
L L L W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
1 :  3
Cruzeiro

13 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
2 :  2
Vitoria

7 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
1 :  0
Gremio

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vitoria
0 :  2
Vasco Da Gama

29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Vitoria

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vasco Da Gama
1 :  0
Vitoria
W W L L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
1 :  3
Cruzeiro

7 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
1 :  0
Gremio

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vitoria
0 :  2
Vasco Da Gama

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
0 :  2
Bahia

16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
1 :  0
Botafogo

6 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vitoria
4 :  0
Atletico Paranense
L L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
2 :  2
Vitoria

29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Vitoria

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Vasco Da Gama
1 :  0
Vitoria

9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
2 :  0
Vitoria

3 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico Paranense
2 :  0
Vitoria

26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
2 :  0
Vitoria
Chapecoense
Chapecoense Last matches
W L W L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atlético Nacional
1 :  1
Chapecoense

19 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Chapecoense

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
1 :  2
Internacional

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
1 :  2
Chapecoense

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
3 :  1
Chapecoense

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
1 :  0
SAO Paulo
W L D D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
1 :  2
Internacional

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
3 :  3
Bahia

2 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Chapecoense
0 :  0
Cruzeiro

22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
0 :  4
Flamengo

7 Jun 2026 - Copa Sul-Sudeste

Chapecoense
3 :  0
Avai
L L L W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atlético Nacional
1 :  1
Chapecoense

19 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Chapecoense

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
1 :  2
Chapecoense

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
3 :  1
Chapecoense

8 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Coritiba
2 :  1
Chapecoense

5 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Cruzeiro
2 :  0
Chapecoense

Vitoria vs Chapecoense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Vitoria

50 %

Draw

17 %

Chapecoense

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

5 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
1 :  1
Vitoria

25 Nov 2023 - Brasileirão Série B

Chapecoense
3 :  1
Vitoria

24 Jul 2023 - Brasileirão Série B

Vitoria
1 :  0
Chapecoense

14 Oct 2018 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
0 :  1
Vitoria

6 Jun 2018 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
1 :  0
Chapecoense

16 Nov 2017 - Brasileirão Serie A

Chapecoense
2 :  1
Vitoria
Vitoria vs Chapecoense Prediction

Missing players

Vitoria
Vitoria
Defender

C. de Menezes Junior

Riccieli

Camutanga

Edu

Claudinho

M. Duarte

Midfielder

Dudu

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
Goalkeeper

R. Santos

Defender

R. Thyere

Kauan

Midfielder

B. dos Santos

Forward

K. Ramirez

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Vitoria
CD Huachipato Chapecoense
Top Goalscorer
Brazil C. de Sousa Ferreira (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Marcinho (5 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Erick (4 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil G. Augusto (5 Assists)

Vitoria and Chapecoense Stats in Brasileirão Serie A

Vitoria
Vitoria
Chapecoense
Chapecoense
32%
Wins
11%
46%
Losses
56%
21%
Draws
33%
2.5
Average goals per match
3.04
1
Goals scored per match
1.07
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1.96
61%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
39%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
36%
No goals conceded
7%
39%
BTTS
67%

Vitoria - Chapecoense Key Points

  1. Chapecoense are winless in their last three visits to Vitoria.
  2. Vitoria have won nine of their 14 home matches in Serie A.
  3. Chapecoense lost nine of their 14 away league matches.
  4. Vitoria kept three clean sheets in their last three home games against Chapecoense.
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Our Vitoria vs Chapecoense Prediction

Chapecoense seem to be heading back to Serie B, having so far struggled to cope with the pace in the top league. They are 13 points adrift of safety, and even with 11 matches still to play, they’ve shown a lack of confidence.

Three wins only in their 27 league matches place them as serious underdogs, and a winless run in three visits to Vitoria doesn't help. The hosts also kept three clean sheets in three home games against Chapecoense. Our prediction for Vitoria v Chapecoense is that Vitoria wins.

Prediction :

 

Vitoria wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.