USA vs Germany Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
International - International Friendlies
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
The 2026 World Cup co-hosts, the USA, will be Germany’s final opponents before the global showpiece takes off. The two nations face off in a Saturday friendly that promises sparks as both have been involved in recent high-scoring games. At least four goals were scored in three of their respective last four games, and our prediction will be in the same line.
Heading into their 11th meeting with Germany, the USA will be targeting a fifth win in this series. The last time they faced off was in 2023, Germany winning 3-1.
At some point between 2002 and 2006, the USA lost three straight matches against Germany. Coming here, though, they avoided a third straight defeat in a 3-2 win over Senegal in a friendly.
Germany have had smooth preparations for the global showpiece so far and will want to finish on a high. Though this will be a tough outing, the European nation is presented with a chance to record a ninth straight win.
Their opponents are winless in 10 meetings with European opposition, so Germany have their first sign there. In the previous friendly this current window, Germany thrashed hapless Finland 4-0, bidding home fans farewell in style.
That was the fifth time in eight matches that the former world champions scored 3+ goals. In four of their last seven meetings with the USA, Germany scored at least three goals.
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USA v Germany Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.3 | 4.2 | 1.65 |
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|
4.68 | 4.3 | 1.65 |
|
|
4.62 | 3.97 | 1.71 |
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|
4.1 | 3.75 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.5 | 4.2 | 1.65 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between USA and Germany?
Our prediction for the USA vs Germany match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/06/2026 between USA and Germany in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.22% for a win of USA against Germany with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between USA vs Germany is 9.44% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Germany vs USA with odds of 1.72 at Shangrila.
USA - Germany Prediction and Best Odds:
| USA Germany Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Germany wins | 58.34% | 1.72 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.84% | |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Germany | 29.47% | 5.25 at LSbet |
USA vs Germany Form
USA and Germany Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
USA vs Germany Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
USA against Germany Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Turner
C. Brady
DefenderM. Arfsten
A. Trusty
M. McKenzie
J. Scally
G. Reyna
S. Berhalter
C. Roldan
T. Weah
B. Aaronson
R. Pepi
A. Zendejas
H. Wright
J. Urbig
A. Nuebel
DefenderM. Thiaw
D. Raum
A. Ruediger
W. Anton
A. Stiller
J. Leweling
P. Gross
L. Goretzka
N. Amiri
M. Beier
N. Woltemade
D. Undav
USA - Germany Key Points
- Germany scored 4+ in three of their last four matches.
- Three of the USA’s last four matches had over 3.5 goals.
- On average, 4.4 goals have been netted in Germany’s last five games.
- A total of 23 goals were netted in the last five matches hosted by the USA.
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Our USA vs Germany Prediction
Germany facing the USA has over the years been a classic, and we expect the same here as the Germans eye a seventh win in 11 against the USA. Four times in their previous 10 meetings, Germany scored at least three goals while the USA achieved this feat twice.
Apart from that, the two nations have been involved in high-scoring matches lately. Germany scored four in their last outing as the USA edged a five-goal thriller in their latest. Our prediction for the USA v Germany is for more than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis USA Germany
| USA vs Germany | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA wins | 3.8 | 4.7 | +23.7% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.4 | +11.4% |
| Germany wins | 1.72 | 1.72 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Germany is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.1% and is now 58.1% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
