Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

Predictions Odds Live

Europe - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
28/01/2026 15:00
Atalanta

Prediction :

 

Both Teams To Score - Yes

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Champions League Predictions

We're in for a super dramatic final day in the UCL League Phase as Union Saint-Gilloise hosts Atalanta in Round 8. The 31st-place USG makes one final push to enter the playoff qualification zone, while the already qualified Atalanta eyes a top-8 spot. See our best picks in this match prediction!

Union, or Les Unionistes as fans call them, are down but not yet out. The Belgian team has picked up only six points, but is just two points off the qualification playoffs zone. They remain contenders only thanks to wins against PSV (3-1) in the first round and Galatasaray (1-0) in the fifth. However, back-to-back losses against Marseille and Bayern now threaten their qualification chances.

On the other hand, La Dea (The Goddess) has been one of the better teams in this UCL edition. They've won four of seven games with one draw and two understandable defeats to PSG in Round 1  and Athletic Bilbao in the latest Champions League game. That performance has earned the Italian team the 13th spot and also 13 points, which is just two shy of Real Madrid and Liverpool in 3rd and 4th, respectively.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Union Saint-Gilloise v Atalanta Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.45 3.75 2.08
Melbet
2.97 3.52 2.32
Betwinner
3.5 3.66 2.02
Bet365
2.88 3.6 2.35
Roobet
3 3.4 2.34
Check all Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Union Saint-Gilloise and Atalanta?

Our prediction for the Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta match is: Both Teams To Score - Yes.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/01/2026 between Union Saint-Gilloise and Atalanta in Champions League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.27% for a win of Union Saint-Gilloise against Atalanta with odds of 3.68 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta is 18.85% with odds of 3.82 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 37.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Union Saint-Gilloise with odds of 2.38 at Betway.

Union Saint-Gilloise - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:

Union Saint-Gilloise Atalanta Prediction Probability Odds
Union Saint-Gilloise wins 43.27% 3.68 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 56.11% 2.26 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score: No 54.76%
Half-time: Atalanta / Full-time: Union Saint-Gilloise 15.45% 27 at LSbet

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta Form

Union Saint-Gilloise and Atalanta's standings in the Champions League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
15 Atalanta
13 8 4 1 3 0
27 Union Saint-Gilloise
9 8 3 0 5 -9

Union Saint-Gilloise and Atalanta Last Matches

Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise Last matches
W D W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0 :  0
Union Saint-Gilloise

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Union Saint-Gilloise

17 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
1 :  0
Mechelen

14 Jan 2026 - Belgian Cup

FCV Dender EH
0 :  2
Union Saint-Gilloise

26 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Cercle Bruges
1 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

20 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  0
Zulte Waregem
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
1 :  0
Mechelen

20 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  0
Zulte Waregem

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  3
Marseille

6 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
1 :  1
Gent

3 Dec 2025 - Belgian Cup

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  1
Zulte Waregem

22 Nov 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Union Saint-Gilloise
2 :  0
Cercle Bruges
L D D W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League

Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0 :  0
Union Saint-Gilloise

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Union Saint-Gilloise

14 Jan 2026 - Belgian Cup

FCV Dender EH
0 :  2
Union Saint-Gilloise

26 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Cercle Bruges
1 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

14 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Charleroi
1 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

30 Nov 2025 - Jupiler Pro League

Anderlecht
1 :  0
Union Saint-Gilloise
Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
W W W D L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  0
Parma

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Athletic Bilbao

16 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  1
Atalanta

10 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Torino FC

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Atalanta

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Roma
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  0
Parma

21 Jan 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Athletic Bilbao

10 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Torino FC

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Roma

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Inter Milan

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cagliari
L W L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  1
Atalanta

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Atalanta

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  1
Atalanta

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
0 :  3
Atalanta

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Atalanta

Union Saint-Gilloise - Atalanta: Form Analysis

Even outside the UCL, things have been rocky for the Belgian team.

Union Saint-Gilloise just faced another setback in the league with a 0-0 away draw against OH Leuven. And that performance has now seen USG go winless in six of its last nine games.

Les Unionistes’ Champions League campaign has been even worse, with five losses out of seven.

However, USG has been fierce in front of home fans in recent games, losing only one of its last seven games, while winning five. Meanwhile, Atalanta have been cruising for the past three months.

After a string of performances involving one win in nine games, La Dea has now won ten of its last 14 games.

The latest victory in that run was a 4-0 thrashing of Parma at home, effectively bouncing back from the shock 3-2 defeat at the hands of Athletic Bilbao in the latest UCL game.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta Prediction

Union Saint-Gilloise against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11

Union Saint-Gilloise

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

37
K. Scherpen
27
L. Patris
5
K. Mac Allister
16
C. Burgess
26
R. Sykes
8
A. Zorgane
6
K. Van De Perre
25
A. Khalaili
11
G. Smith
30
R. Florucz
10
A. El Hadj
90
N. Krstovic
22
A. Lookman
10
L. Samardzic
47
L. Bernasconi
13
E. Silva
6
Y. Musah
77
D. Zappacosta
69
H. Ahanor
4
I. Hien
3
O. Kossounou
57
M. Sportiello

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Atalanta

Substitutes

Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise
Goalkeeper

V. Chambaere

Defender

F. Leysen

A. El Hadj 90'

S. Berradi

Midfielder

O. Niang

G. Smith 84'

N. Huygevelde

R. Schoofs

A. Zorgane 56'

Forward

S. Keita

Y. Hamoutahar

M. Fuseini

R. Florucz 56'

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Carnesecchi

F. Rossi

Defender

G. Scalvini

B. Djimsiti

S. Kolasinac

Midfielder

N. Zalewski

M. Pasalic

O. Kossounou 74'

M. de Roon

Y. Musah 51'

Forward

C. De Ketelaere

L. Samardzic 52'

K. Sulemana

A. Lookman 52'

G. Scamacca

N. Krstovic 62'

Missing players

Union Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise
Forward

P. David

K. Rodriguez

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

R. Bellanova

M. Bakker

Union Saint-Gilloise & Atalanta Squad Analysis

Several players from the defence, midfield, and attack have been integral to Atalanta's success so far.

Charles De Ketelaere has arguably been La Dea’s standout man. He boasts the highest SofaScore rating in the team (7.58) and also ranks third in key passes per game in the UCL, behind only Kylian Mbappe and Desiré Doué.

Moreover, De Ketelaere has two goals and two assists in the UCL, contributing to 40% of Atalanta's ten goals.

Another unplayable man has been the goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi. The Italian has kept the joint third-most clean sheets in the UCL, while helping the team concede the joint fifth-fewest goals.

As for USG, few would deny that Anan Khalaili hasn't been the Belgian team's best man in the UCL. Khalaili has the highest rating for USG so far in the Champions League, and he also records the second-highest tackles per game (4.7).

And if that wasn't enough, Khalaili has also scored the joint-most goals for Union in this campaign (2).

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Union Saint-Gilloise
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Israel A. Khalaili (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Serbia L. Samardzic (4 Goals)
Best assists
Ecuador K. Rodriguez (1 Assists) , 
Morocco S. Boufal (1 Assists) , 
Algeria A. Zorgane (1 Assists) , 
Belgium R. Schoofs (1 Assists) , 
Belgium A. El Hadj (1 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (2 Assists) , 
Netherlands M. de Roon (2 Assists)

Union Saint-Gilloise - Atalanta Key Points

  1. USG has scored in 11 of its last 13 home games.
  2. Atalanta scored in five of its seven UCL games so far.
  3. Atalanta scored in two of its three UCL away games in this campaign.
  4. Atalanta has scored in its last six games and in 14 of its last 15 games.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta Prediction

The stakes are incredibly high for both teams, even with Atalanta already qualified. For La Dea, finishing in the top-8 means they won't have to participate in the qualification playoffs, and thus, won't have to play two more grueling games.

Meanwhile, USG’s Champions League dreams will end here if they fail to win. And because of goal difference rules, Les Unionistes might even need multiple goals to secure a qualification playoff spot. Hence, our Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta prediction is Both Teams To Score - Yes.

Prediction :

 

Both Teams To Score - Yes

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta Alternative Predictions

Over 2.5 Goals

Odds 1.66
Everything points to another high-scoring affair in this game, from the qualification incentives to their form in front of goal. As we mentioned, USG may need multiple goals to qualify based on goal difference. And this applies to Atalanta even more because as many as seven teams can finish on 16 points by the end of Round 8. What's more, five of both teams' seven UCL games also finished with 3+ goals.
Welcome offer

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Union Saint-Gilloise Atalanta

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Atalanta Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Union Saint-Gilloise wins 3.41 3.68 +7.9%
Draw 3.61 3.82 +5.8%
Atalanta wins 2.25 2.38 +5.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Union Saint-Gilloise is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 7.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 29.3% and is now 27.2% (-2.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.