Uganda vs Congo Republic Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Uganda
09/09/2024 12:00
Congo Republic

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions

The second round of matches in Group K of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers will see Uganda taking on Congo at the Mandela National Stadium in Kampala on Monday. The Cranes are in second place in the group, while the Red Devils lead the standings. Check out our match prediction below.

Uganda looked as though they were going to pull off an against-the-odds victory over South Africa in their opening match of qualifying but conceded a late goal which saw the match end in a 2-2 draw. 

With that result, the Cranes are now aiming to avoid a third consecutive match without a victory. Over their last five games, they have a record of one win, two draws and two losses. 

Over the years, Uganda have reached the AFCON main draw on seven occasions but not since the 2018-19 competition when they were knocked out in the last 16 by Senegal. 

Meanwhile, Congo made a winning start to their AFCON qualifiers, beating South Sudan 1-0 at home with Hatayspor’s Chandrel Massanga scoring the only goal of the match early in the first half.

That victory brought an end to a five-match winless run for the Red Devils, which included three defeats and two draws dating back to March last year.

Congo have only won one of their last 10 away matches in all competitions and have failed to beat their upcoming opponent in their last three attempts, drawing once and losing twice.

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The Best Betting Odds for Uganda v Congo Republic Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Betway
1.91 2.9 4.33
Ladbrokes
1.83 2.9 4.33
Bwin
1.87 2.87 4.2
Betobet
1.83 3.05 5
22bet
1.93 3.1 3.84

What is the prediction for the football match between Uganda and Congo Republic?

Our prediction for the Uganda vs Congo Republic match is: Both teams to score!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2024 between Uganda and Congo Republic in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.31% for a win of Uganda against Congo Republic with odds of 2.03 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uganda vs Congo Republic is 21.12% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Congo Republic vs Uganda with odds of 5 at Betobet.

Uganda - Congo Republic Prediction and Best Odds:

Uganda Congo Republic Prediction Probability Odds
Uganda wins 43.31% 2.03 at LSbet
Under 2.5 50.1% 1.57 at 22bet
Both Team To Score 47.62% 2.4 at Betway
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Uganda 17.56% 4.5 at Betfair

Uganda vs Congo Republic Form

Uganda and Congo Republic's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Uganda
Uganda
13 6 4 1 1 3
3
Congo Republic
Congo Republic
4 6 1 1 4 -8

Uganda and Congo Republic Last Matches

Uganda
Uganda Last matches
W L D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2024 - AFCON

South Africa
2 :  2
Uganda

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Uganda
1 :  2
Algeria

7 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Uganda
1 :  0
Botswana

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Ghana
2 :  2
Uganda

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Comoros
4 :  0
Uganda

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Somalia
0 :  1
Uganda
L L L W W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Uganda
1 :  2
Algeria

7 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Uganda
1 :  0
Botswana

18 Jun 2023 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  2
Algeria

24 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Uganda
0 :  1
Tanzania

22 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship

Uganda
1 :  3
Côte d'Ivoire

8 Jun 2022 - AFCON

Uganda
1 :  1
Niger
L L W L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2024 - AFCON

South Africa
2 :  2
Uganda

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Ghana
2 :  2
Uganda

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Comoros
4 :  0
Uganda

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Somalia
0 :  1
Uganda

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Guinea
2 :  1
Uganda

7 Sept 2023 - AFCON

Niger
0 :  2
Uganda
Congo Republic
Congo Republic Last matches
L D L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Congo Republic
1 :  0
South Sudan

11 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Congo Republic
0 :  6
Morocco

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Congo Republic
0 :  3
Niger

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Gabon
1 :  1
Congo Republic

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Zambia
4 :  2
Congo Republic

10 Sept 2023 - AFCON

Gambia
2 :  2
Congo Republic
W D L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Congo Republic
1 :  0
South Sudan

11 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Congo Republic
0 :  6
Morocco

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Congo Republic
0 :  3
Niger

18 Jun 2023 - AFCON

Congo Republic
0 :  2
Mali

23 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Congo Republic
1 :  2
South Sudan

20 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship

Congo Republic
0 :  0
Niger
L L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Gabon
1 :  1
Congo Republic

17 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Zambia
4 :  2
Congo Republic

10 Sept 2023 - AFCON

Gambia
2 :  2
Congo Republic

27 Mar 2023 - AFCON

South Sudan
0 :  1
Congo Republic

16 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship

Cameroon
1 :  0
Congo Republic

4 Jun 2022 - AFCON

Mali
4 :  0
Congo Republic

Uganda - Congo Republic Key Points

  1. Four of Uganda’s last five matches have ended with both teams scoring.
  2. Uganda have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven home games.
  3. Four of Congo’s last six away matches have ended with both teams scoring.
  4. Congo have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 away matches.
  5. The last match between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw.
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Our Uganda vs Congo Republic Prediction

While Uganda put on an impressive display against South Africa last time out, they were fairly poor defensively and could have conceded a fair few more goals than the two that they did let in. 

Congo, meanwhile, shut out South Sudan, but their record on the road is far from impressive, with just one clean sheet maintained in their last 10 outings. This one could go either way, but we feel that both sides will find the back of the net at least once. Our Uganda vs Congo prediction: Both teams to score! 

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Uganda Congo Republic

Uganda vs Congo Republic Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Uganda wins 1.88 1.91 +1.6%
Draw 2.8 2.9 +3.6%
Congo Republic wins 4.75 4.33 -8.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Uganda is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 53.2% and is now 52.4% (-0.8%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Uganda vs Congo Republic Prediction