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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
In a key battle that could determine the second position in Group E of the 2026 FIFA World Cup UEFA qualifiers, Turkey hosts Georgia on Tuesday. This match in Izmit between the second-placed Crescent-Stars and the third-placed Crusaders comes with our prediction of a home win and over 2.5 goals scored.
After three rounds, Turkey’s six points (W2, L1) keep them three points away from leaders Spain. Georgia (W1, L2) are three points further behind their hosts. Bulgaria is the fourth team in the group from which the leaders will progress to the World Cup, while the second-placed side could advance to the play-offs.
Turkey thrashed Bulgaria 6-1 away from home on Saturday to prove that their 6-0 defeat at home to Spain on matchday two was a minor blip. They have also won 3-2 on matchday one against Georgia, so goals could continue to flow.
Their home form has been impressive, as Turkey lost only one of their last eight home games (W5, D2, L1). That increases the pressure on Georgia, who were beaten 2-0 by Spain on Saturday for their second defeat of the campaign following the loss to Turkey in September.
Sandwiched between those losses is a 3-0 win at home against Bulgaria, but they have recently struggled on the road with three defeats in four (W1, L3).
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The Best Betting Odds for Turkiye v Georgia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 4.33 | 5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.55 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.5 | 5.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Turkiye and Georgia?
Our prediction for the Turkiye vs Georgia match is: Turkey to win and over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2025 between Turkiye and Georgia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.32% for a win of Turkiye against Georgia with odds of 1.69 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Turkiye vs Georgia is 11.12% with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Georgia vs Turkiye with odds of 5.8 at Unibet.
Turkiye - Georgia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Turkiye Georgia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Turkiye wins | 62.32% | 1.69 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.94% | 1.75 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | 1.73 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Turkiye | 27.58% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Turkiye vs Georgia Form
Turkiye and Georgia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
|
3
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -8 |
Turkiye and Georgia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
Turkiye vs Georgia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
18 Jun 2024 - Euro
Turkiye against Georgia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Turkiye
Georgia
K. Yildiz
(3 Goals)
K. Kvaratskhelia
(2 Goals)
Turkiye - Georgia Key Points
- Turkey won five of their last seven matches including friendlies, losing the other two.
- Seven of Turkey’s last eight matches saw over 2.5 goals scored.
- Turkey won five of their last eight home games (W5, D2, L1) with the lone defeat coming against Spain.
- Turkey won the last three head-to-head matches, with the recent two played since 2024.
- On the road, Georgia lost three of their four recent away games.
- Five of Georgia’s last eight matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
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Our Turkiye vs Georgia Prediction
The last two meetings between these teams since 2024 saw Turkey score three goals each time and win. Looking at their qualifiers, Turkey could continue to dish out goals. Their three qualifiers in this campaign produced 18 goals in total and promise more action here. Georgia have struggled on the road, losing three of their four recent trips, and will have to improve on many counts to be competitive here.
This match could continue to excite fans, and our Turkey vs Georgia prediction is Turkey to win and over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Turkiye Georgia
| Turkiye vs Georgia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turkiye wins | 1.44 | 1.62 | +12.5% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.33 | 0% |
| Georgia wins | 6.25 | 5 | -20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Turkiye is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 61.7% (-7.7%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Turkiye vs. Georgia game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Turkiye and Georgia when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on World Cup!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
