England - Premier League
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by Nella Wagah | in Premier League Predictions
One of the top picks in the Premier League this weekend will be the London derby as Tottenham Hotspur and Chelsea face off. Tottenham will go into the weekend sitting third on 17 points, while their visitors have dropped to ninth but are just three points behind. The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium will be the venue for this top clash, and below we have the match prediction.
The two London rivals will enter the game off the back of contrasting performances in the League Cup in midweek. Tottenham were dumped out by a resolute Newcastle United and will be looking for some league consolation.
On the other hand, Chelsea survived a late scare after losing a healthy lead at Wolverhampton Wanderers. The Blues, however, held on to advance with a 4-3 win. Both sides are dealing with long injury lists, as we will come to see in this preview. Last season Chelsea won both legs of this fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Tottenham v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.5 | 2.25 |
|
|
3 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.38 |
|
|
3 | 3.4 | 2.38 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Tottenham and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Tottenham vs Chelsea match is: Chelsea wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2025 between Tottenham and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.12% for a win of Tottenham against Chelsea with odds of 3.34 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Tottenham vs Chelsea is 17.05% with odds of 3.78 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Tottenham with odds of 2.6 at 22bet.
Tottenham - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Tottenham Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 45.83% | 2.6 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.75% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time : Tottenham / Full-time : Chelsea | 20.25% | 26 at Bet365 |
Tottenham vs Chelsea Form
Tottenham and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
|
11
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Tottenham and Chelsea Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
Tottenham vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Apr 2025 - Premier League
8 Dec 2024 - Premier League
2 May 2024 - Premier League
6 Nov 2023 - Premier League
26 Feb 2023 - Premier League
14 Aug 2022 - Premier League
Tottenham - Chelsea: Form Analysis
One thing that has lacked in Tottenham’s season is consistency, and manager Thomas Frank alluded to that in his post-match comments after the Everton game.
Spurs became the first to beat Everton at the Toffees' new home. Despite the 3-0 win, Frank called for a better showing in attack.
That was, however, not reflected in their next outing, a League Cup game, which ended in a 2-0 loss to Newcastle United. The North Londoners are left with just two wins in seven matches and are winless in three home league matches.
The last time they hosted Chelsea, it ended in defeat as well.
Spurs conceded eight goals in their last two home matches against Chelsea.
Off the back of their performance in this fixture last season, Chelsea will go into this game feeling they can add to Spurs’ woes. In the last eight away matches at Spurs, Chelsea have only lost once and won six times.
Such dominance, married with the Blues’ recent away form, should offer a big lift. Chelsea have three straight wins away from home.
A much-changed Chelsea squad survived a massive scare away to Wolves in the League Cup on Wednesday. They led 3-0 in the game but in the end escaped with a 4-3 victory.
Back to full strength, Enzo Maresca’s men will be looking to respond after their 2-1 loss to Sunderland last time out in teh league.
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Players list
G. Vicario
DefenderD. Udogie
C. Romero
M. Van de Ven
D. Spence
MidfielderP. Sarr
J. Palhinha
Richarlison
M. Kudus
X. Simons
ForwardB. Johnson
R. Sanchez
DefenderR. James
T. Adarabioyo
T. Chalobah
M. Cucurella
R. Lavia
MidfielderM. Caicedo
E. Fernandez
ForwardEstevao
J. Gittens
Joao Pedro
Substitutes
A. Kinsky
DefenderD. Udogie
C. Romero
Richarlison
X. Simons
W. Odobert
D. Scarlett
M. Tel
B. Johnson
F. Jorgensen
DefenderT. Adarabioyo
J. Hato
J. Acheampong
MidfielderR. Lavia
A. Santos
ForwardEstevao
J. Gittens
M. Guiu
Missing players
R. Dragusin
K. Takai
B. Davies
MidfielderD. Kulusevski
J. Maddison
Y. Bissouma
A. Gray
ForwardD. Solanke
L. Colwill
B. Badiashile
MidfielderD. Essugo
C. Palmer
ForwardD. Fofana
L. Delap
Tottenham & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Tottenham’s inconsistent results have in part been occasioned by injuries to almost half the squad. The team has about 10 players missing with various issues.
The defensive duo of Cristian Romero and goalkeeper Guglielmo Vicario are being touted for returns to the team, and this will be key.
Romero, who has featured in seven matches this season, providing one assist, has been missing since mid-October with a muscle injury.
Vicario, meanwhile, featured against Everton, keeping a fourth clean sheet, but had to be left out in midweek after feeling some pain. He should be okay for this game, though.
Tottenham Hotspur have up to 10 players missing with injury.
Chelsea manager Enzo Maresca will once again have slimmer attacking options for this game. Liam Delap, who hasn’t had a decent run in the team, is set to serve a one-match suspension.
The youngster was sent off at Wolves in midweek. Estevao’s fine start to life in London continued in midweek with yet another goal, and the Brazilian will definitely be in line for a start.
As for Cole Palmer, it is another week of battling a groin injury. This match comes too soon for the England international.
Most goals and assists
Tottenham
Chelsea
Richarlison
(7 Goals)
Estevao
(5 Goals)
,
Joao Pedro
(5 Goals)
, 
E. Fernandez
(5 Goals)
, 
P. Neto
(5 Goals)
M. Kudus
(5 Assists)
R. James
(10 Assists)
Tottenham - Chelsea Key Points
- Chelsea won six times in their last eight matches.
- Chelsea have three straight matches away from home.
- Spurs suffered defeat in three of their last four matches.
- In their last three home league matches, Tottenham are winless.
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Our Tottenham vs Chelsea Prediction
Chelsea have dominated this fixture in recent times and comes into this particular one with four straight wins over Tottenham Hotspur. Away to Spurs, Chelsea lost only once in the last eight visits. This run will build the Blues’ confidence in light of their recent performances as well.
The visitors are on six wins in their last eight matches and have won each of the last three away games. All this comes when Spurs are winless in three league matches at home. Our prediction for Tottenham Hotspur v Chelsea is that Chelsea wins.
Tottenham vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
The last time these teams faced off, Chelsea won 1-0. That was the first time in seven that the fixture produced less than two goals. Half of the last six meetings between these two produced at least four goals.
The numbers are even higher when Spurs are hosting. The last five meetings between these two hosted at Spurs saw 18 goals scored. Our second prediction here is for over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Tottenham Chelsea
| Tottenham vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham wins | 2.5 | 3.1 | +24.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.5 | -6.7% |
| Chelsea wins | 2.5 | 2.25 | -10.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 44.4% (4.4%)
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Tottenham vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions
This match will be played on Saturday, 1 October.
This match will be hosted at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
