Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Vienna
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
A win for Tommy Paul will take him into his second successive indoor hard court quarter-final. To achieve that, the seventh-seeded American must defeat unseeded Luciano Darderi who has only won two indoor hard court matches in his career. Our prediction here is Paul wins.
In the last eight, the victor will face either second seed Carlos Alcaraz or an unseeded player.
Last week saw Tommy Paul make it to the last four in Lyon's indoor hard court tournament. He continued his good form on this surface with a first round victory over unseeded Andrey Rublev in straight sets. He has now won six of his last eight matches.
Paul leads Darderi 2-1 in previous meetings, this is their first match on an indoor hard court.
Darderi did win against Paul earlier this year, but that was played on a clay court. A different result is expected on this surface.
Round one saw Darderi beat Matteo Arnaldi in straight sets. That took his 2026 record on indoor hard courts to 1-1 after a loss in Almaty to James Duckworth. Darderi had lost three of his last four matches on all surfaces before his win over Arnaldi.
On this surface, Darderi has a career record of two wins and ten defeats.
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Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.24 | 4.00 |
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1.24 | 4.30 |
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1.23 | 4.20 |
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1.23 | 4.20 |
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1.23 | 4.20 |
|
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Who will win the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi match is: Tommy Paul wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi game on 29/10/2026 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Tommy Paul has a 66.28% chance to win against Luciano Darderi according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.25.
- Luciano Darderi has a 33.72% probability of winning facing Tommy Paul ⭐ with odds of 4.3 at 1xbet.
Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tommy Paul has a 66.28 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | 66.28 % |
| Luciano Darderi | 33.72 % |
Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Form
Tommy Paul and Luciano Darderi Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
24 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
23 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
21 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
16 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
14 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
26 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
21 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open
10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
30 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open
7 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
10 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
7 Aug 2024 - ATP National Bank Open
28 Jul 2024 - Olympic Tournament
Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi Key Points
- Paul was nine places above Darderi in the latest rankings.
- Paul leads Darderi 2-1 in previous meetings.
- Paul was a semi-finalist in Lyon's indoor hard court tournament last week.
- In his career, Darderi has lost ten of his 12 indoor hard court matches.
- Darderi has lost seven of his last eight indoor hard court matches in straight sets.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Luciano Darderi Prediction
Round one saw a rare win for Luciano Darderi on an indoor hard court. His win over Arnaldi was his first since 2024. Only two of his 12 matches played on this surface in his career have been won. He trails his opponent 2-1 in previous meetings.
Tommy Paul is in good form on indoor hard courts with a run to the semi-finals in Lyon last week. He had a tough first round match in Vienna against Andrey Rublev, but won it without dropping a set. Our Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi prediction is Tommy Paul wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
