Learner Tien vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Vienna
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Round two of the indoor hard court Erste Bank Open will see fifth seed Alex de Minaur take on unseeded Learner Tien. De Minaur has won ten of his last 12 matches (one via retirement) while Learner Tien has been beaten in three of his last five. Our prediction is a win for Alex de Minaur.
In the last eight, the victor will face either fourth seed Flavio Cobolli, Grigor Dimitrov or Matteo Berrettini.
Alex de Minaur is the world number ten and is yet to lose an indoor hard court match this year. He won the tournament played in Rotterdam and then had a win over Alexander Zverev in the recent Laver Cup in London. Round one of this tournament saw him defeat qualifier Tomas Machac, despite only winning one game in the first set..
In recent weeks, de Minaur has reached the final in Beijing and the last eight in Shanghai.
Learner Tien defeated Luca Van Assche in the first round, losing only four games. That took his 2026 indoor hard court record to 3-3.
He has been in poor form of late with only two wins in five matches. His last deep run was a semi-final in Montreal (outdoor hard court) in early August.
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Learner Tien v Alex De Minaur Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.91 | 1.86 |
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1.97 | 1.88 |
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1.95 | 1.86 |
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1.95 | 1.86 |
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1.94 | 1.86 |
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Who will win the Learner Tien vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Learner Tien vs Alex De Minaur match is: Alex de Minaur wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Learner Tien vs Alex De Minaur game on 28/10/2026 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Learner Tien has a 44.64% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.97.
- Alex De Minaur has a 55.36% probability of winning facing Learner Tien ⭐ with odds of 1.91 at Bet365.
Learner Tien vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Learner Tien has a 44.64 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Learner Tien | 44.64 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 55.36 % |
Learner Tien vs Alex De Minaur Form
Learner Tien and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
11 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
1 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
18 Sept 2026 - Davis Cup
7 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
26 Oct 2026 - ATP Vienna
15 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
2 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
Learner Tien - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- De Minaur is tenth in the latest rankings, eight places above his opponent.
- De Minaur is unbeaten in seven matches played on indoor hard courts this year.
- De Minaur has won one indoor hard court tournament in 2026
- De Minaur has reached the semi-finals in this tournament in each of the past two years.
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Our Learner Tien vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Alex de Minaur is attempting to reach the quarter-finals of the Erste Bank Open for the third successive year. In both 2024 and 2025, the Australian was beaten in the semi-finals of this tournament. He has been in good form of late, but did need a deciding set in round one..
Learner Tien has been finding it hard to get wins in recent tournaments. The American doesn't look to be in the form that won him the Metz indoor hard court tournament last year. Our Learner Tien v Alex de Minaur prediction is Alex de Minaur wins.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Learner Tien vs. Alex De Minaur game!

When you place a bet on the match between Learner Tien and Alex De Minaur you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Learner Tien or Alex De Minaur, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.