Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
England - Carabao Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Carabao Cup Predictions
A heavyweight clash in the EFL Cup is underway as Liverpool and Chelsea battle it out at Anfield in the third round. The last meeting between these two teams in the EFL Cup was tightly contested, with the match ending 0-0; hence our prediction for a low-scoring affair, with under 3.5 goals our preferred pick.
Liverpool have been a breath of fresh air, entering this clash on a four-match winning streak across all competitions. Their most recent success was a 2-0 home win over Brighton & Hove Albion in the Premier League.
The EFL Cup is next on the Reds' agenda, and they will be hoping for a more favourable outcome than last term. The previous edition saw them being eliminated by Crystal Palace in the fourth round after a 3-0 home loss.
Reaching this stage of the competition was easy, brushing aside Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 at home in the second round.
Chelsea were unfortunate in the Premier League as they lost 2-0 at home to Tottenham Hotspur. That outcome ended a two-match winning streak.
The Blues will aim to bounce back with a positive outcome and will use the EFL Cup as an opportunity to restore confidence. They have won their last two matches in the current edition.
Their latest match was a 6-3 home win over Leeds United in the second round.
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Liverpool v Chelsea Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.20 | 3.85 | 2.80 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.80 | 2.81 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.74 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.74 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.76 | 2.78 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Chelsea match is: under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/10/2026 between Liverpool and Chelsea in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.54% for a win of Liverpool against Chelsea with odds of 2.38 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Chelsea is 18.77% with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Liverpool with odds of 2.9 at Betsson.
Liverpool vs Chelsea Form
Liverpool and Chelsea Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
11 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
11 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
4 Sept 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 May 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Premier League
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
18 Sept 2026 - Premier League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Premier League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
27 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
18 Sept 2026 - Premier League
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
24 Aug 2026 - Premier League
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
Liverpool vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 May 2026 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
25 Feb 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Jan 2024 - Premier League
Liverpool vs Chelsea last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderJ. Gomez
K. Tsimikas
MidfielderW. Endo
J. McConnell
L. Koumas
T. Nyoni
ForwardF. Chiesa
R. Ngumoha
T. Sharman-Lowe
DefenderM. Palestra
W. Fofana
M. Gusto
MidfielderM. Nicoll-Jazuli
R. Lavia
V. Barco
ForwardD. Welbeck
Estevao
Missing players
J. Frimpong
C. Bradley
G. Leoni
A. Nallo
MidfielderD. Szoboszlai
F. Wirtz
ForwardH. Ekitike
V. Munoz
E. Martinez
DefenderR. James
P. Chavarria
ForwardJoao Pedro
E. Emegha
J. Gittens
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Chelsea
C. Gakpo
(1 Goals)
, 
D. Szoboszlai
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Mac Allister
(1 Goals)
D. Welbeck
(3 Goals)
Liverpool - Chelsea Key Points
- Liverpool have seen four of their last six matches end with under 3.5 goals.
- Chelsea have seen their last two matches end 2-0.
- Five of Liverpool's last six home meetings with Chelsea have ended with under 3.5 goals.
- Chelsea's last three away matches have ended with under 3.5 goals.
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Our Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction
Liverpool and Chelsea are meeting for the 11th time in the EFL Cup. The former has a slight upper hand with five wins in their last ten matches. Goals could be at a premium, with each of those encounters ending with under 3.5 goals.
Chelsea could struggle for a favourable outcome in this one, having failed to win at this venue in five outings. However, their last visit to Anfield in the EFL Cup ended in a 2-1 victory, a result that could inspire belief ahead of this meeting. Our Liverpool vs Chelsea prediction: under 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
