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ATP Shanghai Masters 1000 Predictions & Betting tips

Read our coverage of the 2025 Shanghai Masters 1000 tournament. It's an important tournament in the lead up to the end-of-season ATP Finals. We'll be publishing previews throughout the event.

ATP Shanghai - Presentation and predictions for the 2025 Rolex Shanghai Masters 1000

 ATP Shanghai Prediction

The Asian tennis tour represents an important period in the ATP calendar. Following post-covid seasons marked by cancellations, the Asian tournaments made a comeback in 2023 to the delight of tennis fans across the continent. This season, after the ATP 500 in Beijing and Tokyo, is the prestigious Shanghai Masters 1000 which takes place from 1 to 12 October 2025.

After Jannik Sinner lifted the title in 2024, which players will stake their claim for the honours in 2025? Who are the top favourites among the field for this Shanghai Masters? How do you go about predicting the matches at this event? SportyTrader's tennis team will tell you all about it on this page.

Tournament Details

  • Venue: Shanghai (China)
  • Date of tournament: 1 to 12 October 2025
  • Surface: Hard (outdoor)
  • Prize Money: $9.193.540
  • Defending champion: Jannik Sinner (2024)

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Prediction on the winner: who will win the 2025 Shanghai Masters 1000?

Winner prediction ATP Shanghai Masters 1000

The world's top players will be competing at the 2025 ATP Shanghai Masters. Players such as Sinner, Alcaraz, Djokovic and Zverev are all on the draw for this Shanghai Masters tournament. In China, the battle for the title promises to be fierce!

With two Grand Slam titles each, Sinner and Alcaraz are our two favourites for the competition. The two stars are used to meeting in the final, and that could well be the case here again. If we had to choose, we would still favour defending champion Jannik Sinner. Carlos Alcaraz has never made it past the quarter-finals here, which makes us lean towards a victory for the Italian.

We therefore see Sinner pulling off a good result and retaining his crown in China. Our ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai prediction: Sinner wins the tournament!

ATP Shanghai prediction: Odds on the favourites for the title

These odds for the Shanghai ATP win are not yet available from bookmakers. Meanwhile, take advantage of the superb bonus offered by Bet365 to bet on the tournament of the moment!

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Our Tips for Making Successful Predictions for the Shanghai Masters

ATP Shanghai Tennis Predictions

What should you be considering when making your predictions for this Masters tournament? It's not just a case of looking at the player who has the shortest betting odds. Below we list the factors that you should take into consideration when making your Shanghai Masters bets.

Take into account the form of tennis players

To bet wisely on a match in the ATP tournament in Shanghai, you first need to assess the form of the players competing on the court. Before placing your bet, take the time to check the results of the latest matches played by both players and the content produced during those matches.

For example, if a player has won three matches in straight sets without conceding many games, you can be sure that he will be the favourite in your bets. This is especially true if his opponent in Shanghai is in poor form.

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Follow the head to head results

In tennis, as in any other individual sport, the mental aspect greatly influences performance and you absolutely must review the latest encounters between the two players in the match you want to bet on. Who has the better record? That's the question you need to answer before placing your bet.

To make an accurate prediction for this 2025 ATP Shanghai match, check the latest results from matches between the two players. There's no need to go back 15 years; the last two or three head-to-head matches will suffice. You were thinking of predicting a win for Rune against Medvedev, but then you realise that the Dane has lost his last four matches against the Russian? Think twice before placing your bet.

Consider the playing surface

Betting tips ATP Shanghai

As our experts regularly remind you in each tennis prediction, the playing surface is an essential part of any good match analysis. Grass, clay, hard court... each tournament uses a specific surface, on which players do not necessarily achieve the same results.

While some players excel on clay (Alcaraz, Tsitsipas, Ruud, etc.), others perform better on hard courts (Medvedev, Shelton, Draper, etc.) or grass. For the 2025 Shanghai Masters 1000, opt for players who are usually comfortable on hard courts, which is the surface used in China. They will be the most likely to shine in the tournament.

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Know the track record of players at the Shanghai Masters

Knowing each player's track record in Shanghai is also essential for betting successfully on the 2025 tournament. In tennis, every player has their favourite tournaments, where they tend to perform well. This can be explained by several factors, such as the location of the competition, the playing conditions, or even psychological and mental factors if the player has already excelled in the tournament.

Without necessarily ruling out the others, as there are firsts in everything, favour players who have already enjoyed success when betting on this season's ATP tournament in Shanghai. In terms of track records, we can see, for example, that Jannik Sinner, Hubert Hurkacz, Daniil Medvedev and Novak Djokovic are the only winners still active, so they are the ones to count on. Always apply this reasoning before betting with an online bookmaker.

Follow the ATP rankings

Finally, as a fifth big tip, we ask that you keep in mind the ATP Rankings and ATP Finals qualification contest when making a prediction in a Shanghai Masters 2025 match. Also look at the ATP Race as this records the ranking points earned this year. We're in the last few months of the year so there will be players who need a lot of ranking points if they want to reach the lucrative ATP Tour Finals.

Does a player need to shine to secure his place in Turin? Can another player still hope to participate if he performs well in Shanghai? Conversely, is one player certain not to participate? The answers to these questions determine an important element of the analysis: motivation. Remember that motivation plays a big part in tennis, so you need to be sure that everyone is committed to performing well in Shanghai. This is essential.

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Shanghai Masters predictions: statistics you need to know

ATP Shanghai statistics

As you are no doubt aware, statistics are very important in tennis betting. Whether you're predicting the winner of a match or placing an alternative bet (number of games, sets, winner of a set, etc.), you need to know the key figures for a competition. Below you’ll find the key statistics from last year’s ATP Shanghai tournament, which can help you to make the right bets in 2025. These figures were taken from the completed 2024 edition of the Shanghai Masters 1000:

  • Average games per match: 23.6 games
  • Matches won in two sets: 67%
  • Matches won in three sets: 33%
  • Matches where the winner won the 1st set: 80%
  • Matches with a 6-0 set: 1%
  • Matches with tiebreak in the 1st set: 29%
  • Matches with tie-break in the 2nd set: 21%
  • Matches with tiebreak in the 3rd set: 3%  (10% of matches in three sets)

Among other things, the above statistics show us that it could be worthwhile to focus on backing the favourites to win in straight sets. It could also be worth a look to back over 10.5 games in the first set as an alternate bet. You’ll generally get a favourable price on betting sites for these two markets, so be sure not to miss out!

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In short: how to make good predictions on the Shanghai ATP tennis tournament in 2025 ?

In Shanghai, as elsewhere, there's no secret to making a successful tennis prediction. There is, however, a formula you can follow which will increase your chances of having success. Namely, you will want to bear in mind the surface and the format of the tournament, the relevant statistical data and the recent performances of the players involved. On this fast surface, some players may have specific skill sets that give them an inherent advantage.

If you're not confident in your knowledge, don't hesitate to use our ATP Shanghai Masters 1000 predictions. They are written by our tennis experts and are available free of charge on this page, so make the most of it !

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Our current 2025 Shanghai Masters predictions

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

ATP Shanghai best odds to bet

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