Stoke vs Coventry City Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup

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England - FA Cup

Stoke
10/01/2026 09:00
Coventry City

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Matthew Newman in FA Cup Predictions

Stoke welcome Coventry to the bet365 Stadium on Saturday afternoon for an FA Cup third round match. The Potters are 8th and the Sky Blues 1st in the Championship respectively ahead of our prediction.

It has been an even split of points in the league this season for Stoke, picking up 20 both home and away. This is their 8th straight season at this level since getting relegated from the Premier League, well set to improve on their best finish of 14th.

They lost 0-1 against Coventry in the league on November 8, the visitors getting the winner in the 86th minute. That is the third season in a row in which there has been a single goal in that fixture.

Coventry have enjoyed a spectacular season under Frank Lampard, six points clear of Middlesbrough at the top of the Championship. They have scored plenty on their travels but they have scored five twice and four twice which accounts for 60% of their away goals in 29% of their away fixtures.

They are working though a stickier spell of late, winning just twice in their last eight games, both of those at home. They have three draws and two defeats since a 4-2 win at Middlesbrough in late November.

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The Best Betting Odds for Stoke v Coventry City Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.1 3.5 2.15
Betfred
3.2 3.4 2.2
William Hill
3 3.25 2.15
Unibet
3.05 3.45 2.23
Betway
3.1 3.3 2.2
Check all Stoke vs Coventry City odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Coventry City?

Our prediction for the Stoke vs Coventry City match is: Less than 2.5 goals

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2026 between Stoke and Coventry City in FA Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.36% for a win of Stoke against Coventry City with odds of 3.25 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Coventry City is 25.51% with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Coventry City vs Stoke with odds of 2.27 at Shangrila.

Stoke vs Coventry City Form

Stoke and Coventry City Last Matches

Stoke
Stoke Last matches
W L D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  2
Stoke

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Stoke

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Sheffield United

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Preston North End

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Swansea
L W L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Sheffield United

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Preston North End

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Swansea

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
Hull

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  0
Charlton Athletic

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  1
Coventry City
L L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Norwich
0 :  2
Stoke

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Hull
0 :  1
Stoke

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Stoke

10 Dec 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  0
Stoke

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Sheffield United
4 :  0
Stoke

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Leicester
2 :  1
Stoke
Coventry City
Coventry City Last matches
W D W L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  2
Coventry City

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  1
Coventry City

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
0 :  2
Ipswich Town

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  0
Swansea

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Coventry City

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  0
Bristol City
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
0 :  2
Ipswich Town

26 Dec 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  0
Swansea

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
1 :  0
Bristol City

29 Nov 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
3 :  1
Charlton Athletic

22 Nov 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
3 :  2
West Brom

4 Nov 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
3 :  1
Sheffield United
W L D D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Birmingham
3 :  2
Coventry City

1 Jan 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  1
Coventry City

20 Dec 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Coventry City

9 Dec 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
1 :  1
Coventry City

6 Dec 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
3 :  0
Coventry City

25 Nov 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  4
Coventry City

Stoke vs Coventry City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stoke

25 %

Draw

0 %

Coventry City

75 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
25%
BTTS
0.75
Goals scored (home team)
1.25
Goals scored (away team)
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5

8 Nov 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  1
Coventry City

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
3 :  2
Stoke

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  0
Coventry City

17 Feb 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  1
Coventry City

Stoke vs Coventry City last Lineups

Stoke

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

25
T. Simkin
40
M. Talovierov
26
A. Phillips
16
B. Wilmot
18
B. Lawal
19
T. Rigo
4
B. Pearson
29
M. Cisse
10
B. Joon-ho
7
S. Thomas
9
D. Mubama
9
E. Simms
10
E. Mason-Clark
5
J. Rudoni
7
T. Sakamoto
6
M. Grimes
28
J. Eccles
3
J. DaSilva
15
L. Kitching
4
B. Thomas
27
M. Van Ewijk
19
C. Rushworth

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Coventry City

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Stoke
CD Huachipato Coventry City
Top Goalscorer
Wales S. Thomas (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ghana B. Thomas-Asante (10 Goals) ,  England E. Simms (10 Goals)
Best assists
Wales S. Thomas (5 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands M. Van Ewijk (6 Assists)

Stoke - Coventry City Key Points

  1. Stoke concede an average of 0.83 goals per game at home and only score 1.5.
  2. The last five times these teams have met in Stoke have all been under 2.5 goals.
  3. The league game between the pair earlier this season saw a single goal late in the contest.
  4. Six of Coventry’s last seven games have seen under 2.5 goals.
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Our Stoke vs Coventry City Prediction

Coventry were on a streak of 11 wins in 12 games when they last came to Stoke. That league game was their 8th win in that sequence, with the only defeat coming at Wrexham. They have only won two of their last eight and both of those were at home. Stoke keep things tight at home and this fixture has tended to be tight in recent years so our Stoke vs Coventry prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stoke vs Coventry City Prediction