Grimsby Town vs Weston Super Mare Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Joseph King | in FA Cup Predictions
The FA Cup is back this weekend with the third round as Grimsby Town hosts Weston-super-Mare at Blundell Park. Who’ll come out on top in this clash between the Mariners and the Seagulls? Check out our match prediction below!
Grimsby Town, who famously eliminated Manchester United in the EFL Cup back in August, will experience a role reversal on Saturday. They come into this FA Cup fixture as the ‘Goliath’ while their opponents Weston-super-Mare will be playing the part of the ‘David’.
In the 2022-23 season, Grimsby put together a historic Cinderella run, making the quarter-finals of the FA Cup for the first time in club history. This is the furthest they have gotten since that run, however. They were eliminated in the second round in 2023-24 and the first round last season.
After a stretch of just one win in nine matches, Grimsby Town have strung together back-to-back victories for the first time since the beginning of November. The hosts are left sitting 12th in the League Two standings.
Weston in the FA Cup third round for the first time in their club’s 139-year history after beating Chelmsford City 2-0 back in December. They come into this match on back-to-back wins as well, the most recent of which was a 4-1 home victory over Farnborough in the National League South.
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Grimsby Town v Weston Super Mare Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 5.6 | 9.2 |
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1.35 | 5.2 | 8.4 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.75 | 11 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.75 | 8 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.8 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Grimsby Town and Weston Super Mare?
Our prediction for the Grimsby Town vs Weston Super Mare match is: Grimsby Town -1 European handicap.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2026 between Grimsby Town and Weston Super Mare in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.86% for a win of Grimsby Town against Weston Super Mare with odds of 1.35 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Grimsby Town vs Weston Super Mare is 16.11% with odds of 5.8 at Roobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Weston Super Mare vs Grimsby Town with odds of 11 at Betwinner.
Grimsby Town - Weston Super Mare Prediction and Best Odds:
| Grimsby Town Weston Super Mare Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Grimsby Town wins | 46.86% | 1.35 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.33% | 2.42 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score: No | 66.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Grimsby Town/Grimsby Town | 20.17% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
Grimsby Town vs Weston Super Mare Form
Grimsby Town and Weston Super Mare Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League Two
29 Dec 2025 - League Two
26 Dec 2025 - League Two
20 Dec 2025 - League Two
13 Dec 2025 - League Two
9 Dec 2025 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - League Two
26 Dec 2025 - League Two
13 Dec 2025 - League Two
6 Dec 2025 - FA Cup
27 Nov 2025 - League Two
15 Nov 2025 - League Two
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - League Two
20 Dec 2025 - League Two
9 Dec 2025 - League Two
22 Nov 2025 - League Two
8 Nov 2025 - League Two
25 Oct 2025 - League Two
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - National League South
30 Dec 2025 - National League South
26 Dec 2025 - National League South
20 Dec 2025 - National League South
16 Dec 2025 - National League South
13 Dec 2025 - FA Trophy
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - National League South
30 Dec 2025 - National League South
20 Dec 2025 - National League South
25 Nov 2025 - National League South
22 Nov 2025 - National League South
18 Nov 2025 - National League South
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - National League South
16 Dec 2025 - National League South
13 Dec 2025 - FA Trophy
6 Dec 2025 - FA Cup
29 Nov 2025 - National League South
15 Nov 2025 - FA Trophy
Players list
J. Smith
DefenderC. McJannett
T. Warren
S. Lavelle
R. Staunton
MidfielderE. Khouri
D. Burns
G. McEachran
ForwardJ. Soonsup-Bell
J. Walker
C. Vernam
M. Harris
DefenderM. Smith
S. Avery
D. Bernard
L. Coulson
Emlyn Lewis
MidfielderL. Spokes
C. Cummins
W. Dawes
ForwardL. Britton
Substitutes
S. Auton
DefenderD. Tharme
H. Rodgers
MidfielderT. Sellars-Fleming
K. Green
G. Turi
ForwardC. Oduor
J. Amaluzor
J. Kabia
D. Martin
D. Ellison
MidfielderG. Robesten
J. Cane
ForwardB. Bak
O. Dewsbury
S. Wilson
Grimsby Town - Weston Super Mare Key Points
- Grimsby have the best xG differential in League Two at +14.9.
- The hosts have created 16 clear cut scoring chances in their last six games.
- Weston have lost their last three away matches across all competitions.
- The visitors have conceded 10 goals in their last three away matches.
- Grimsby Town have kept three clean sheets in a row.
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Our Grimsby Town vs Weston Super Mare Prediction
Weston’s struggles on the road could come back to bite them here. Grimsby Town have some of the best underlying numbers in League Two but inconsistency and wasteful finishing has ultimately cost them. Still, the Mariners have pulled out some big results in cup competitions over the last few years which is sure to benefit them here.
Against a sixth-division side making this stage in the FA Cup for the first time, the hosts should have enough about them to comfortably get over the line. Our Grimsby Town vs Weston-super-Mare prediction: Grimsby Town -1 European handicap.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Grimsby Town Weston Super Mare
| Grimsby Town vs Weston Super Mare | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grimsby Town wins | 1.41 | 1.35 | -4.3% |
| Draw | 4.6 | 5.8 | +26.1% |
| Weston Super Mare wins | 6.13 | 11 | +79.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Grimsby Town is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 70.9% and is now 74.1% (3.2%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Grimsby Town vs. Weston Super Mare game
You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the battle between Grimsby Town and Weston Super Mare when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on FA Cup!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
