Burnley vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Nella Wagah | in FA Cup Predictions
Burnley will welcome Championship side Millwall to Turf Moor in the third round of the FA Cup this Saturday. This marks the first cup meeting between the two sides in five years, and we have a prediction for the match below.
Burnley have had a tough season back in the Premier League and will be hoping for a break here. They are winless in the last 12 matches, suffering nine defeats, but are coming from quite an impressive performance.
The Clarets led in their last outing against Manchester United but fell behind before battling to a 2-2 draw. They only failed to score twice in the last seven games.
Millwall will not carry very fond memories of their matches against Burnley. They’ve only won once in the last five meetings and lost three of the other four.
Each of their three visits to Turf Moor also ended in defeat, and they will have their worries traveling here. Millwall’s recent run will, however, give them confidence that they can hold out for a win here.
They are unbeaten in four matches and won the latest 2-1 at home to Swansea. There will be some concern, though, in their way, as they head here winless in three on the road and having failed to score in the last two.
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Burnley v Millwall Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.9 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.76 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.44 | 4.13 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.7 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.65 | 4.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Millwall match is: Burnley win and under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2026 between Burnley and Millwall in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.81% for a win of Burnley against Millwall with odds of 1.9 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Millwall is 32.26% with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Burnley with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
Burnley - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Millwall Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 38.93% | 4.7 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.37% | 2.01 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Millwall | 16.35% | 9.5 at Bet365 |
Burnley vs Millwall Form
Burnley and Millwall Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
28 Nov 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jan 2026 - U21 Premier League Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
19 Dec 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
26 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
Burnley vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 May 2025 - Championship
3 Nov 2024 - Championship
21 Feb 2023 - Championship
Burnley vs Millwall last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
V. Hladky
DefenderB. Humphreys
L. Pires
A. Tuanzebe
MidfielderH. Mejbri
F. Luis
J. Banel
M. Edwards
A. Broja
J. Coleman
DefenderZ. Sturge
W. Harding
D. McNamara
R. Lamptey
J. Coburn
S. Kendall
A. Matthews
J. Howland
Missing players
C. Roberts
J. Worrall
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
Z. Flemming
ForwardM. Tresor
Z. Amdouni
Burnley - Millwall Key Points
- Burnley have won three of their last five meetings with Millwall.
- Three of Burnley’s last five matches ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Only two of Millwall’s last five matches had more than two goals.
- Each of Millwall’s last four away matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Millwall are winless in four of their last five away games, losing twice.
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Our Burnley vs Millwall Prediction
Burnley are coming here winless in their last 12 matches but will feel this is a game they can take a positive result from. They have beaten Millwall in three of their last five meetings and are coming from an impressive showing against Manchester United.
Millwall will carry into the game a four-match unbeaten run, but Burnley’s quality will be much higher. Both sides haven't been scoring a lot, though, and we expect a low-scoring match here. Our prediction for Burnley v Millwall is for a Burnley win and under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Millwall
| Burnley vs Millwall | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 1.67 | 1.9 | +13.8% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.85 | +11.6% |
| Millwall wins | 5.8 | 4.7 | -19.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Millwall is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 19.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 17.2% and is now 21.3% (4.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
