Egypt vs Côte d'Ivoire Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Devesh Jaganath | in AFCON Predictions
The final team to continue their 2025 Africa Cup of Nations journey will be revealed on Friday night when Egypt take on the Ivory Coast in the fourth quarter-final at the Adrar Stadium in Agadir. The winner of this match between the Pharaohs and the Elephants will meet either Mali or Senegal in the semi-finals on January 14 in Tangier. Check out our match prediction below!
No nation can match the seven AFCON titles that Egypt have accumulated, but the last time they were crowned kings of the continent was 15 years ago. The North Africans are determined to bring an end to that run here in Morocco, and they have the head-to-head advantage in this clash, having won 12 of their 22 (D3 L7) previous matches against this opponent.
Few can forget how the Ivory Coast appointed Emerse Fae as head coach midway through the 2023 AFCON and somehow still went on to lift the title. The Elephants are now looking to join the exclusive club of back-to-back continental champions, a feat not accomplished since their upcoming opponent did so three times in a row between 2006 and 2010. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Egypt v Côte d'Ivoire Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 2.75 | 2.34 |
|
|
3.89 | 2.77 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.76 | 2.77 | 2.34 |
|
|
3.5 | 2.7 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.7 | 2.66 | 2.34 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Egypt and Côte d'Ivoire?
Our prediction for the Egypt vs Côte d'Ivoire match is: Amad Diallo over 0.5 shots on target.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2026 between Egypt and Côte d'Ivoire in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.06% for a win of Egypt against Côte d'Ivoire with odds of 3.94 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Egypt vs Côte d'Ivoire is 38.44% with odds of 2.85 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Côte d'Ivoire vs Egypt with odds of 2.45 at Bet365.
Egypt - Côte d'Ivoire Prediction and Best Odds:
| Egypt Côte d'Ivoire Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 38.44% | 2.85 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 60.37% | 1.75 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 62.5% | 1.6 at LSbet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.78% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Egypt vs Côte d'Ivoire Form
Egypt and Côte d'Ivoire Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2026 - AFCON
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
22 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2026 - AFCON
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
22 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
2 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - AFCON
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - AFCON
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
Egypt vs Côte d'Ivoire Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Jan 2022 - AFCON
Egypt - Côte d'Ivoire: Form Analysis
Egypt got to the knockout stage of the 2025 AFCON by winning Group B, recording victories over Zimbabwe and South Africa, before drawing against Angola with a completely changed-up team.
The Pharaohs then survived a massive scare in the Round of 16 against Benin, where they were held 1-1 in regulation time, but found two goals in the dying moments of extra time to progress 3-1.
The North African outfit has scored six goals in their four matches in this competition while conceding just twice. Notably, half of their goals in this tournament have come after the 90-minute mark.
Egypt eliminated the Ivory Coast from the 2021 AFCON in the last match between these sides!
Therefore, this matchup is about revenge for the Ivory Coast, and so far, they have been in great shape in the lead-up. They topped the group of death with wins over Mozambique and Gabon, and played to a draw against Cameroon.
The Elephants then produced arguably their best performance of the competition in the Round of 16, where they dominated Burkina Faso and secured their spot in the last eight with a 3-0 victory.
The champs have scored eight and conceded three in this competition. They are unbeaten in their last 10 competitive matches since March and have kept an incredible eight clean sheets in this period.
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Egypt against Côte d'Ivoire Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Shoubir
A. El Shenawy
DefenderA. Eid
M. Ismail
K. Sobhi
MidfielderM. Lasheen
M. Saber
M. Shehata
ForwardS. Mohsen
I. Adel
O. Faisal
M. Fathi
Zizo
Trezeguet
M. Mohamed
M. Kone
A. Lafont
DefenderE. Agbadou
A. Zohouri
O. Diomande
W. Boly
C. Operi
MidfielderJ. Gbamin
J. Seri
S. Fofana
B. Toure
J. Krasso
O. Diakite
V. Bayo
W. Zaha
Egypt & Côte d'Ivoire Squad Analysis
While Mohamed Salah has no shortage of titles to his name, the one that has eluded him is the AFCON crown. However, he looks determined to change that this year and is the team’s leading scorer with three goals in this competition.
Hossam Hassan has switched between four and three at the back formations in this competition to allow Omar Marmosh a more attacking role. The Manchester City forward scored in the opening match and should lead the line in this one.
The Pharaohs’ victory over Benin in the last 16 came at a cost, with Mohamed Hamdy sustaining a devastating ACL tear, which ended his AFCON campaign. Ahmed Fatouh is the most likely to replace the Pyramids man in midfield.
Mo Salah is three goals away from becoming Egypt’s all-time top scorer!
For the Ivory Coast, Amad Diallo has been the standout performer for the team in his AFCON debut campaign. The Manchester United man has contributed three goals and an assist in his four matches so far.
TSG Hoffenheim’s Bazoumana Toure has come off the bench to score in the Elephants’ last two games, making a solid case to replace Evann Guessand alongside Diallo and Yan Diomande in the attacking trio here.
Vakoun Bayo picked up a knee injury after the team’s draw against Cameroon in the group stage. The Udinese forward has not left the squad as yet, but is unlikely to feature in this match.
Most goals and assists
Egypt
Côte d'Ivoire
M. Salah
(4 Goals)
A. Diallo
(3 Goals)
E. Ashour
(2 Assists)
C. Operi
(2 Assists)
Egypt - Côte d'Ivoire Key Points
- Amad Diallo has attempted 15 shots at goal in four appearances in this competition.
- Amad Diallo has recorded four shots on target in three games in this competition.
- Amad Diallo has scored in all three of his starts in this competition.
- Egypt have conceded 16 shots on target in their four games in this competition.
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Our Egypt vs Côte d'Ivoire Prediction
While Egypt lead the head-to-head standings in this contest, they have not been entirely convincing in this competition, having needed late goals to get by Zimbabwe and Benin, and a touch of fortune to overcome South Africa.
In terms of the eye test, the Ivory Coast have been one of the most impressive teams in this competition, and much of that has stemmed from the performance of Amad Diallo, who has been a livewire in attack. The Man United attacker has scored in all three of his starts, and we’re expecting another big performance from him in this one. Our Egypt vs Ivory Coast prediction is Amad Diallo over 0.5 shots on target.
Egypt vs Côte d'Ivoire Alternative Predictions
Both teams to score
Two of these sides' four games in this competition ended with both teams scoring. Additionally, both these sides have only failed to score in two of their last 10 matches across all competitions.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Egypt Côte d'Ivoire
| Egypt vs Côte d'Ivoire | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt wins | 2.91 | 3.94 | +35.4% |
| Draw | 3.01 | 2.85 | -5.3% |
| Côte d'Ivoire wins | 2.66 | 2.45 | -7.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.2% and is now 35.1% (1.9%)
Egypt vs Côte d'Ivoire - FAQs
The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations quarter-final between Egypt and the Ivory Coast will take place on January 10 at 19:00 GMT.
The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations quarter-final between Egypt and the Ivory Coast will be played at the Adrar Stadium in Agadir.
The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations quarter-final between Egypt and the Ivory Coast will be broadcast on Supersport across most of sub-Saharan Africa. UK and US viewers can tune in to Channel 4 and beIN Sports, respectively.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our AFCON 2025 livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
