Stoke vs Coventry City Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
England - FA Cup
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by Matthew Newman | in FA Cup Predictions
Stoke welcome Coventry to the bet365 Stadium on Saturday afternoon for an FA Cup third round match. The Potters are 8th and the Sky Blues 1st in the Championship respectively ahead of our prediction.
It has been an even split of points in the league this season for Stoke, picking up 20 both home and away. This is their 8th straight season at this level since getting relegated from the Premier League, well set to improve on their best finish of 14th.
They lost 0-1 against Coventry in the league on November 8, the visitors getting the winner in the 86th minute. That is the third season in a row in which there has been a single goal in that fixture.
Coventry have enjoyed a spectacular season under Frank Lampard, six points clear of Middlesbrough at the top of the Championship. They have scored plenty on their travels but they have scored five twice and four twice which accounts for 60% of their away goals in 29% of their away fixtures.
They are working though a stickier spell of late, winning just twice in their last eight games, both of those at home. They have three draws and two defeats since a 4-2 win at Middlesbrough in late November.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Stoke v Coventry City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.4 | 2.32 |
|
|
2.49 | 3.42 | 2.78 |
|
|
2.99 | 3.32 | 2.32 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.4 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.4 | 2.56 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Coventry City?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Coventry City match is: Less than 2.5 goals
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2026 between Stoke and Coventry City in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.41% for a win of Stoke against Coventry City with odds of 3.2 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Coventry City is 25.57% with odds of 3.5 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Coventry City vs Stoke with odds of 2.78 at Melbet.
Stoke - Coventry City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stoke Coventry City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Coventry City wins | 41.03% | 2.78 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 51.46% | 1.92 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.13% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Coventry City | 17.38% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Stoke vs Coventry City Form
Stoke and Coventry City Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
10 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - Championship
26 Dec 2025 - Championship
13 Dec 2025 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
22 Nov 2025 - Championship
4 Nov 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
20 Dec 2025 - Championship
9 Dec 2025 - Championship
6 Dec 2025 - Championship
25 Nov 2025 - Championship
Stoke vs Coventry City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
0 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Nov 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
17 Feb 2024 - Championship
Players list
T. Simkin
DefenderA. Phillips
M. Talovierov
B. Wilmot
MidfielderB. Lawal
T. Seko
T. Rigo
B. Pearson
ForwardL. Cisse
D. Mubama
M. Manhoef
B. Wilson
DefenderJ. Bidwell
J. Latibeaudiere
L. Kitching
L. Woolfenden
MidfielderJ. Eccles
K. Andrews
Y. Min-hyeok
R. Esse
J. Rudoni
ForwardH. Wright
Substitutes
J. Bonham
DefenderJ. Dixon
J. Griffin
MidfielderS. Nzonzi
R. Curley
B. Jun-ho
S. Thomas
F. Fawunmi
S. Gallagher
C. Rushworth
DefenderM. Brau
J. DaSilva
M. van Ewijk
M. Grimes
J. Allen
T. Sakamoto
E. Simms
E. Mason-Clark
Missing players
O. Dovin
DefenderB. Thomas
MidfielderV. Torp
ForwardB. Thomas-Asante
Stoke - Coventry City Key Points
- Stoke concede an average of 0.83 goals per game at home and only score 1.5.
- The last five times these teams have met in Stoke have all been under 2.5 goals.
- The league game between the pair earlier this season saw a single goal late in the contest.
- Six of Coventry’s last seven games have seen under 2.5 goals.
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Our Stoke vs Coventry City Prediction
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Coventry City
| Stoke vs Coventry City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 2.95 | 3.2 | +8.5% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0% |
| Coventry City wins | 2.35 | 2.78 | +18.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Coventry City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 36.0% (-6.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
