Stoke vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

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England - Championship

Stoke
30/11/2024 10:00
Burnley

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions

Stoke will take on Burnley at the bet365 Stadium on Saturday in a Championship match. The Potters are 14th ahead of our prediction on this game while the visiting Clarets are sat in 3rd.

The home side are unbeaten in six on their own patch, though four of those have been draws. The most recent of those was a scoreless tie with Preston in midweek. 

A 6-1 win over Portsmouth has skewed their goal-scoring figures this season, only finding the net nine times in their other eight home games. This looks a tough ask for them when it comes to scoring a goal.

Burnley have been exceptionally strong on the road this season, particularly their defence. Just four goals conceded in nine games is the best in the division but they have managed to find the net just nine times in those matches. 

A 0-1 loss at Millwall is their only defeat in their last 14 games, keeping a clean sheet in their last six. They are on track to only concede 16 goals all season at their current rate!

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Stoke vs Burnley Form

Stoke and Burnley's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Burnley
100 46 28 16 2 +53
18 Stoke
51 46 12 15 19 -17

Stoke and Burnley Last Matches

Stoke
Stoke Last matches
L W W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Preston North End

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

QPR
1 :  1
Stoke

9 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  1
Millwall

6 Nov 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  2
Stoke

2 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Derby County

29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
3 :  2
Stoke
W D D W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Preston North End

9 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  1
Millwall

2 Nov 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Derby County

22 Oct 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  2
Bristol City

19 Oct 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  1
Norwich

2 Oct 2024 - Championship

Stoke
6 :  1
Portsmouth
L D L L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

QPR
1 :  1
Stoke

6 Nov 2024 - Championship

Blackburn
0 :  2
Stoke

29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
3 :  2
Stoke

26 Oct 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
2 :  0
Stoke

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Stoke

28 Sept 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  0
Stoke
Burnley
Burnley Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Nov 2024 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  0
Coventry City

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Burnley

22 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup

Burnley
5 :  0
Luton Town

18 Nov 2024 - Professional Development League

Sheffield Wednesday Reserve
3 :  2
Burnley

10 Nov 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  0
Swansea

8 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup

Reading
1 :  3
Burnley
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Nov 2024 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  0
Coventry City

22 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup

Burnley
5 :  0
Luton Town

10 Nov 2024 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  0
Swansea

29 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
5 :  0
Coventry City

26 Oct 2024 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
QPR

15 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League

Burnley
3 :  1
Barnsley FC
D L D W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2024 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Burnley

18 Nov 2024 - Professional Development League

Sheffield Wednesday Reserve
3 :  2
Burnley

8 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup

Reading
1 :  3
Burnley

7 Nov 2024 - Championship

West Brom
0 :  0
Burnley

3 Nov 2024 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Burnley

23 Oct 2024 - Championship

Hull
1 :  1
Burnley

Stoke vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stoke

0 %

Draw

25 %

Burnley

75 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.25
Total goals
25%
BTTS
0.25
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

30 Dec 2022 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  1
Burnley

22 Apr 2018 - Premier League

Stoke
1 :  1
Burnley

12 Dec 2017 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  0
Stoke

4 Apr 2017 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  0
Stoke

Stoke against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11

Stoke

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

1
V. Johansson
22
J. Tchamadeu
16
B. Wilmot
26
A. Phillips
23
B. Gibson
17
E. Bocat
42
M. Manhoef
12
T. Seko
6
W. Burger
10
B. Joon-ho
28
T. Cannon
9
J. Rodriguez
7
J. Sarmiento
30
L. Koleosho
11
J. Anthony
29
J. Laurent
24
J. Cullen
12
B. Humphreys
5
M. Esteve
6
C. Egan Riley
14
C. Roberts
1
J. Trafford

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Burnley

Substitutes

Stoke
Stoke
Goalkeeper

J. Bonham

Defender

M. Rose

Midfielder

S. Sidibe

A. Moran

W. Burger 64'

L. Koumas

B. Wilmot 74'

L. Gooch

J. Thompson

Forward

A. Vidigal

E. Tezgel

Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper

V. Hladky

Defender

L. Pires

J. Egan

Midfielder

H. Massengo

H. Mejbri

J. Cullen 88'

Z. Flemming

J. Rodriguez 71'

J. Brownhill

J. Sarmiento 71'

Forward

A. Hountondji

N. Redmond

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Stoke
CD Huachipato Burnley
Top Goalscorer
England L. Baker (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Brownhill (18 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands M. Manhoef (5 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Anthony (8 Assists)

Stoke - Burnley Key Points

  1. Five of Stoke’s last six league games have seen under 2.5 goals.
  2. Burnley are averaging 0.35 goals against per Championship match this season.
  3. Only two teams have a lower xG at home than Stoke’s 1.26.
  4. 11 straight Burnley games have seen under 2.5 goals.
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Our Stoke vs Burnley Prediction

Whenever Burnley is in action, the natural instinct is to turn to unders. They have been exceptional at the back this season, both at home and on the road, but it has been a bit of a struggle for them to find the net at the other end.

They have done it enough to sit 3rd in the division and on their recent record, a single goal may well be enough to see off Stoke who were shut out at home against Preston in midweek. Our Stoke vs Burnley prediction is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Stoke vs Burnley Prediction