England - Championship
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Stoke vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Matthew Newman in Championship Predictions
Stoke will take on Burnley at the bet365 Stadium on Saturday in a Championship match. The Potters are 14th ahead of our prediction on this game while the visiting Clarets are sat in 3rd.
The home side are unbeaten in six on their own patch, though four of those have been draws. The most recent of those was a scoreless tie with Preston in midweek.
A 6-1 win over Portsmouth has skewed their goal-scoring figures this season, only finding the net nine times in their other eight home games. This looks a tough ask for them when it comes to scoring a goal.
Burnley have been exceptionally strong on the road this season, particularly their defence. Just four goals conceded in nine games is the best in the division but they have managed to find the net just nine times in those matches.
A 0-1 loss at Millwall is their only defeat in their last 14 games, keeping a clean sheet in their last six. They are on track to only concede 16 goals all season at their current rate!
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The Best Betting Odds for Stoke v Burnley Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.3 | 2.38 |
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3.2 | 3.2 | 2.25 |
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3.4 | 3.28 | 2.18 |
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3.4 | 3.28 | 2.18 |
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3.2 | 3.25 | 2.3 |
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3.2 | 3.25 | 2.27 |
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3.4 | 3.28 | 2.18 |
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3.25 | 3.3 | 2.24 |
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3 | 3.2 | 2.3 |
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3.1 | 3.35 | 2.25 |
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3 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
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3.07 | 3.27 | 2.38 |
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3.25 | 3.1 | 2.25 |
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3.39 | 3.33 | 2.27 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Burnley?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Burnley match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/11/2024 between Stoke and Burnley in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.8% for a win of Stoke against Burnley with odds of 3.4 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Burnley is 46.84% with odds of 3.35 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Stoke with odds of 2.38 at Bet365.
Stoke - Burnley Prediction and Best Odds:
Stoke Burnley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Draw | 46.84% | 3.35 at Unibet |
Under 2.5 | 73.54% | 2.17 at Vbet |
Both Team To Score | 44.79% | 1.96 at Betsson |
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 22.59% | 4.8 at Unibet |
Stoke vs Burnley Form
Stoke and Burnley's standings in the Championship
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4
|
38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 17 |
17
|
22 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -5 |
Stoke and Burnley Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Oct 2024 - Championship
19 Oct 2024 - Championship
2 Oct 2024 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
6 Nov 2024 - Championship
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
5 Oct 2024 - Championship
28 Sep 2024 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
18 Nov 2024 - Professional Development League
10 Nov 2024 - Championship
8 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2024 - Championship
22 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
10 Nov 2024 - Championship
29 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League
26 Oct 2024 - Championship
15 Oct 2024 - Professional Development League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Championship
18 Nov 2024 - Professional Development League
8 Nov 2024 - U23 Premier League Cup
7 Nov 2024 - Championship
3 Nov 2024 - Championship
23 Oct 2024 - Championship
Stoke vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
25 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Dec 2022 - Championship
22 Apr 2018 - Premier League
12 Dec 2017 - Premier League
4 Apr 2017 - Premier League
Stoke against Burnley Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Stoke - Burnley Key Points
- Five of Stoke’s last six league games have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Burnley are averaging 0.35 goals against per Championship match this season.
- Only two teams have a lower xG at home than Stoke’s 1.26.
- 11 straight Burnley games have seen under 2.5 goals.
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Our Stoke vs Burnley Prediction
Whenever Burnley is in action, the natural instinct is to turn to unders. They have been exceptional at the back this season, both at home and on the road, but it has been a bit of a struggle for them to find the net at the other end.
They have done it enough to sit 3rd in the division and on their recent record, a single goal may well be enough to see off Stoke who were shut out at home against Preston in midweek. Our Stoke vs Burnley prediction is for under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stoke Burnley
Stoke vs Burnley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Stoke wins | 2.75 | 3.1 | +12.7% |
Draw | 3.4 | 3.3 | -2.9% |
Burnley wins | 2.3 | 2.38 | +3.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 30.3% (0.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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