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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Round one of the Erste Open in Vienna sees fourth seed Lorenzo Musetti take on unseeded Stefanos Tsitsipas. It's a tough draw for Musetti against a player who is still a threat despite dropping down the rankings. Here's our match prediction.
Lorenzo Musetti is eighth in both the live rankings and ATP Race. The Italian will want a good run in this indoor hard court tournament as he tries to qualify for the ATP Tour Finals. Last week saw him get to the quarter-finals in Brussels losing to Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.
That was the fourth time in his last five tournaments that he's made it to at least the quarter-finals. His best recent run was a run to the final in Chengdu. This is his eighth match against Tsitipas and he trails 5-2. He lost their only hard court match played in 2021.
Stefanos Tsitsipas is 25th in the live rankings and four places lower in the ATP Race. He'd be a lot lower but for winning the Dubai tournament.The Greek is playing Musetti for the third time this year and lost both of their clay court matches but both saw over 22.5 games played.
Tsitsipas has lost four of his last six matches. We tip over 22.5 games to be played.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stefanos Tsitsipas v Lorenzo Musetti Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.2 | 1.36 |
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2.9 | 1.4 |
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3.2 | 1.35 |
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3 | 1.35 |
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3.05 | 1.38 |
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Who will win the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: over 22.5 games to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 21/10/2025 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 35.06% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to 22bet ⭐ with the odds of 3.22.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 64.94% probability of winning facing Stefanos Tsitsipas ⭐ with odds of 1.52 at BC Game.
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 35.06 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | 35.06 % |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 64.94 % |
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
15 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
19 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open
11 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
9 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
17 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open
16 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open
8 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
29 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
16 May 2023 - ATP Italian Open
22 Apr 2023 - ATP Barcelona
24 May 2022 - ATP French Open
22 May 2021 - ATP Lyon Open
Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Five of the last eight best-of-three matches played by Tsitsipas have seen over 22.5 games played.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Tsitsipas has played at least one in five of his last seven matches.
- Over 22.5 games have been played in each of the last five best-of-three set matches played between Musetti and Tsitsipas.
- Three of Musetti's last five matches have had over 22.5 games played in them with five 7-5 or 7-6 sets.
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Our Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
Lorenzo Musetti has twice beaten Stefanos Tsitsipas this year. He bids for a hat-trick here but a first success on a hard court. This is an important couple of weeks for the Italian as he tries to qualify for the Tour Finals. He's in consistent form, continually going deep in tournaments.
Stefanos Tsitsipas won the Dubai tournament earlier this year but has struggled for consistency. He has had several wins over Musetti and some close matches. Our Stefanos Tsitsipas v Lorenzo Musetti prediction is over 22.5 games to be played.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
