Stade Toulousain vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14
France - Top 14
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
Montpellier HR clash with Stade Toulousain in the 2025-26 Top 14 final at Stade de France on Saturday. The Rockroses ride a terrific 11-match winning streak across all competitions and are our favorites against a Stade Toulousain side that has lost four of its last eight matches in alternating fashion. This is why our prediction is going against the Reds and Blacks.
Romain Ntamack tallied a game-high 19 points from eight conversions and a penalty as Stade Toulousain demolished Racing 92 71–17 in the Top 14 semi-finals to reach a fourth successive Top 14 final.
The defending champions could clinch their fourth straight league title with a win on Saturday. However, they have been largely inconsistent recently, alternating between wins and losses in their last eight matches across all competitions (W4, L4).
Meanwhile, Montpellier HR are on the cusp of a historic cup and league double just over a month after thrashing Ulster Rugby to lift the European Challenge Cup. They edged Stade Francais 25–15 in the Top 14 semi-finals and could end their four-year wait for the domestic league crown with a win in Saturday's contest.
Les Cistes have won their last 11 matches across all competitions. Three of their last four defeats – including three of their last four against Stade Toulousain – have come by respectable margins.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Stade Toulousain v Montpellier Herault Rugby Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.19 | 30 | 4.6 |
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1.18 | 23 | 5.03 |
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1.18 | 23 | 5.03 |
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1.18 | 23 | 5.03 |
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1.18 | 23 | 5.03 |
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Stade Toulousain vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Form
Stade Toulousain and Montpellier Herault Rugby Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
19 Jun 2026 - Top 14
6 Jun 2026 - Top 14
30 May 2026 - Top 14
17 May 2026 - Top 14
9 May 2026 - Top 14
26 Apr 2026 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Jun 2026 - Top 14
30 May 2026 - Top 14
26 Apr 2026 - Top 14
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
6 Jun 2026 - Top 14
17 May 2026 - Top 14
9 May 2026 - Top 14
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
12 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
22 Mar 2026 - Top 14
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
20 Jun 2026 - Top 14
6 Jun 2026 - Top 14
30 May 2026 - Top 14
22 May 2026 - Challenge Cup
16 May 2026 - Top 14
9 May 2026 - Top 14
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
20 Jun 2026 - Top 14
30 May 2026 - Top 14
22 May 2026 - Challenge Cup
9 May 2026 - Top 14
3 May 2026 - Challenge Cup
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
6 Jun 2026 - Top 14
16 May 2026 - Top 14
25 Apr 2026 - Top 14
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
Stade Toulousain vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
20 Sept 2025 - Top 14
25 Jan 2025 - Top 14
21 Sept 2024 - Top 14
18 May 2024 - Top 14
27 Aug 2023 - Top 14
Players list
Substitutes
Stade Toulousain - Montpellier Herault Rugby Key Points
- Stade Toulousain have lost four of their last eight matches.
- Three of Stade Toulousain’s last four wins against Montpellier HR have come by respectable margins.
- Montpellier HR have won their last 11 matches.
- Three of Montpellier HR’s last four defeats have been by tight margins.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs Montpellier Herault Rugby Prediction
We expect a closely contested match as the two teams look to claim the coveted domestic league crown. Bookmakers are backing Stade Toulousain to win given their recent dominance and experience at this stage. However, Le Stade's patchy form, juxtaposed with Montpellier HR's terrific winning run, suggests this match is far from a foregone conclusion.
Additionally, Montpellier HR have remained competitive in recent losses. Hence, we back them to win or keep the margin respectable. Our Stade Toulousain vs Montpellier HR prediction : Montpellier HR +13.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
