St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayern Munich could take another decisive step towards the Bundesliga title with a win over relegation-threatened St Pauli on matchday 29 on Saturday. This match in Hamburg between the 16th-placed ‘Neighbourhood Kickers’ and the top-placed Bavarians comes with our prediction of an away win and BTTS.
Ahead of this round, St Pauli’s 25 points (W6, D7, L15) put them two points adrift of safety while being four points away from a direct relegation spot. Bayern have 73 points (W23, D4, L1) and have a nine-point lead over the nearest challengers Borussia Dortmund.
St Pauli drew 1-1 away at Union last matchday to make it four games without a win (D2, L2) in the league. They had successive wins just before that, so hopes of avoiding the relegation are still intact.
The hosts are still a tough team at home, although they lost 2-1 to Freiburg in their latest match here. That was preceded by a run of six unbeaten league home matches (W3, D3).
Bayern won 2-1 away at Real Madrid on Wednesday in the Champions League quarter-finals first leg. In the league, they won 3-2 away at Freiburg last match for their seventh win in the last eight league games.
On the road, the Bavarians are yet to lose in the Bundesliga this season but have drawn twice in their last five trips (W3).
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St. Pauli v Bayern Munich Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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7 | 5.2 | 1.42 |
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7.2 | 5 | 1.4 |
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7.2 | 5 | 1.4 |
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7 | 4.75 | 1.42 |
|
|
7.2 | 4.8 | 1.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between St. Pauli and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich match is: Bayern Munich wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between St. Pauli and Bayern Munich in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.25% for a win of St. Pauli against Bayern Munich with odds of 7.5 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich is 27.2% with odds of 5.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs St. Pauli with odds of 1.45 at 888Starz.
St. Pauli - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| St. Pauli Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 57.55% | 1.45 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.28% | |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bayern Munich | 22.27% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Form
St. Pauli and Bayern Munich's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
89 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 |
|
18
|
26 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 |
St. Pauli and Bayern Munich Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
B. Voll
DefenderD. Nemeth
J. Robatsch
A. Dzwigala
MidfielderC. Metcalfe
L. Oppie
M. Kaars
T. Hara
A. Ceesay
J. Urbig
DefenderJ. Stanisic
A. Davies
J. Tah
D. Upamecano
MidfielderB. Ndiaye
A. Pavlovic
ForwardL. Diaz
H. Kane
Missing players
S. Spari
DefenderM. Saliakas
E. Smith
MidfielderJ. Irvine
R. Jones
S. Ulreich
MidfielderD. Daiber
Most goals and assists
St. Pauli
Bayern Munich
D. Sinani
(5 Goals)
H. Kane
(36 Goals)
J. Fujita
(3 Assists)
M. Olise
(20 Assists)
St. Pauli - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Eight of Bayern’s last nine competitive matches produced BTTS.
- Bayern won eight of their last 13 Bundesliga matches whilst also conceding goals.
- Four of St Pauli’s last five home league games saw both teams score goals.
- Bayern’s last two Bundesliga games against St Pauli ended in wins with BTTS.
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Our St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Bayern are marching towards the Bundesliga title and are unlikely to put their foot down. They have an upcoming UEFA Champions League quarter-final second leg against Real Madrid, where they carry a slender 2-1 lead. That should give some hope for St Pauli, whose season is still under relegation threat. They are currently in the relegation play-off spot but could move out of it with a win and results helping them elsewhere.
A home win could be a stretch, but our St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich prediction is Bayern Munich wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St. Pauli Bayern Munich
| St. Pauli vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli wins | 12.9 | 7.5 | -41.9% |
| Draw | 6.14 | 5.4 | -12.1% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.29 | 1.45 | +12.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 69.0% (-8.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
