Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Liga Portugal Predictions
A faltering Sporting CP will welcome in-form Vitoria Guimaraes in their continued push for a top-two finish. Guimaraes have been in good form and looks set to finish in the top half. Read on for our prediction of the match.
A few weeks back Sporting was challenging strongly for the league title, but all that has since fizzled out. The Lions are coming off a torrid run of three league matches where they drew twice and lost once.
More shockingly, those draws were against the bottom two sides: 1-1 against AFS and 2-2 with Tondela. Earlier they had lost 1-0 to Benfica, and Sporting heads into this match winless in five in all competitions.
Vitoria Guimaraes have hit form at the right time and will be looking to extend the same here. They take into this game a four-match unbeaten run, having won three.
The most recent of them was at home to Rio Ave, which ended 2-0. With that result, the visitors recorded a third win in five league outings.
Having also beaten Sporting in their last meeting, a cup game, Guimaraes will feel they can stretch their good run. In a January meeting, the Conquerors grabbed two late goals to stun Sporting 2-1, canceling out a first-half Luis Suarez goal.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Sporting Lisbon v Vitoria SC Guimaraes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.28 | 6 | 9.2 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.45 | 11 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.45 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.8 | 9.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes match is: draw or Vitoria Guimaraes.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2026 between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.88% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 1.29 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes is 20.02% with odds of 6.45 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 11 at Melbet.
Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 57.88% | 1.29 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.34% | 1.48 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 25.62% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Form
Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
82 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 |
|
9
|
42 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | -12 |
Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
3 Mar 2026 - Taca de Portugal
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
30 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
9 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon against Vitoria SC Guimaraes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Virginia
DefenderO. Diomande
G. Vagiannidis
R. Mangas
MidfielderL. Guilherme
G. Kochorashvili
R. Nel
G. Quenda
N. Santos
J. Castillo Reyes
DefenderMaga
R. Abascal
MidfielderG. Nogueira
O. Camara
T. Arcanjo
N. Oliveira
A. Ndoye
F. Blanco
Missing players
I. Fresneda
MidfielderJ. Simoes
ForwardF. Ioannidis
Gui
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
L. Suarez
(28 Goals)
Samu
(7 Goals)
F. Trincao
(11 Assists)
Samu
(3 Assists)
, 
N. Saviolo
(3 Assists)
,
G. Nogueira
(3 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Key Points
- Sporting are winless in their last five matches.
- Sporting lost to Guimaraes in their most recent meeting.
- At home, Sporting have lost two of their last three matches.
- Vitoria Guimaraes have won three of their last four matches.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction
Sporting Lisbon may have had a dominant run in this fixture, but they come here shaken after a spate of uninspiring results. Two straight draws and a loss in the league have squeezed them out of title contention.
Added to their winless outings in the Champions League, they are without a win in five. At this point Sporting may consider saving their best for the coming cup final. That should work perfectly for Guimaraes. Our prediction for Sporting Lisbon v Vitoria Guimaraes is a double chance: draw or Vitoria Guimaraes.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Vitoria SC Guimaraes
| Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.25 | 1.29 | +3.2% |
| Draw | 5.9 | 6.45 | +9.3% |
| Vitoria SC Guimaraes wins | 12.5 | 11 | -12.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 77.5% (-2.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
