Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

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Portugal - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
16/05/2026 15:30
Gil Vicente

Prediction :

 

BTTS: No

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Sporting Lisbon will be fighting for their dear lives on Saturday to avoid giving away the final direct Champions League slot to Benfica on the final day. Although they allowed a goal to Gil Vicente in their earlier game this season, it was only after a red card. This time we see the Lions finishing the job without conceding a goal in our Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente match prediction.

The Lions enter the season finale with 79 points, holding a slim two-point lead over Benfica. To guarantee a direct spot in the Champions League group stage, they must secure a victory or draw at the José Alvalade Stadium.

Sporting have been an offensive juggernaut, scoring a league-high 86 goals, but it’s their defensive discipline at home that will be tested. Since they only need a point, they cannot accept a defeat on Saturday or else a win for Benfica will see their rivals steal the 2nd and final direct UCL slot.

However, with 14 clean sheets this season, they should be fine against a lacklustre Vicente side, especially in their own home. Gil Vicente have only won one of their last five games, while going goalless in two of their last four. We’re confident Sporting can see out the win without a restart from the middle.
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Sporting Lisbon v Gil Vicente Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.21 6.8 12
Melbet
1.16 8.1 15
Betwinner
1.16 8 14.5
Bet365
1.19 7.5 9.5
Roobet
1.2 6.8 11
Check all Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Gil Vicente?

Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente match is: BTTS: No.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/05/2026 between Sporting Lisbon and Gil Vicente in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.84% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Gil Vicente with odds of 1.24 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente is 30.03% with odds of 8.1 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 18.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Gil Vicente vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 15 at Melbet.

Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente Prediction and Best Odds:

Sporting Lisbon Gil Vicente Prediction Probability Odds
Sporting Lisbon wins 51.84% 1.24 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 66.98%
Both Team To Score 63.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon 25.12% 4.3 at LSbet

Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente Form

Sporting Lisbon and Gil Vicente's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Sporting Lisbon
82 34 25 7 2 +65
6 Gil Vicente
50 34 13 11 10 +9

Sporting Lisbon and Gil Vicente Last Matches

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
L D D D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

4 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

29 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  2
Tondela

26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon
W W L L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

29 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  2
Tondela

19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

7 Apr 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
0 :  1
Arsenal

3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  2
Santa Clara

17 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  0
Bodoe/Glimt
W W D D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

15 Apr 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon
Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente Last matches
W D L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  3
Arouca

3 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  0
Gil Vicente

27 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  1
Casa Pia Lisbon

18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

13 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
2 :  2
Gil Vicente

3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
3 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD
L D W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  3
Arouca

27 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  1
Casa Pia Lisbon

18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
3 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  2
FC Alverca SAD

2 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  2
Benfica Lisbon
W L D L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  0
Gil Vicente

13 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
2 :  2
Gil Vicente

21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
1 :  0
Gil Vicente

8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
2 :  2
Gil Vicente

22 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
3 :  1
Gil Vicente

7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  2
Gil Vicente

Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sporting Lisbon

67 %

Draw

33 %

Gil Vicente

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Gil Vicente

27 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

22 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

12 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

4 Dec 2023 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Gil Vicente
Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente Prediction

Sporting Lisbon against Gil Vicente Lineups: Starting 11

Sporting Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Silva
13
G. Vagiannidis
72
Quaresma
25
G. Inacio
20
M. Araujo
42
M. Hjulmand
5
H. Morita
10
G. Catamo
17
F. Trincao
8
P. Goncalves
97
L. Suarez
89
G. Varela
11
J. Fernandes
10
L. Esteves
77
Murilo
95
S. Garcia Gonzalez
5
F. Caseres
3
G. Konan
39
J. Buatu
4
M. Elimbi Gilbert
2
Ze Carlos
99
D. Figueira

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Gil Vicente

Substitutes

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Goalkeeper

J. Virginia

Defender

R. Mangas

G. Vagiannidis 90'

Midfielder

S. Blopa

F. Trincao 90'

D. Braganca

H. Morita 73'

L. Guilherme

P. Goncalves 73'

E. Felicissimo

G. Kochorashvili

Forward

R. Nel

G. Quenda

G. Catamo 74'

Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente
Goalkeeper

Lucao

Defender

A. Espigares

Hevertton

Ze Carlos 77'

Midfielder

Z. Carlos

F. Caseres 81'

S. Bermejo

Murilo 81'

Forward

M. Fernandez

C. Eduardo

A. Moreira

J. Fernandes 45'

H. Hernandez

G. Varela 77'

Missing players

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Defender

Z. Debast

I. Fresneda

O. Diomande

Midfielder

J. Simoes

Forward

F. Ioannidis

Gil Vicente
Gil Vicente
Midfielder

M. Bamba

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
CD Huachipato Gil Vicente
Top Goalscorer
Colombia L. Suarez (28 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Murilo (11 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal F. Trincao (11 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal L. Esteves (8 Assists)

Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente Key Points

  1. Sporting CP has kept 14 clean sheets, the joint third-most.
  2. Sporting CP have conceded the second joint-fewest goals this season (24).
  3. Vicente only managed to equalize in the first fixture after a Sporting CP red card.
  4. Gil Vicente are goalless in two of their last three away games.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente Prediction

While Gil Vicente is a capable side, Sporting Lisbon’s Champions League motivation at home is too significant to ignore. The Lions have been clinical in high-pressure home games, and after the red-card scare in the first meeting, they are likely to be much more disciplined defensively.

Given Sporting CP's defensive records this season and Gil Vicente's lack of a competitive objective, we expect a professional, shut-out performance from the hosts. Hence, our Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente prediction is BTTS: No.

Prediction :

 

BTTS: No

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Gil Vicente

Sporting Lisbon vs Gil Vicente Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sporting Lisbon wins 1.25 1.24 -0.8%
Draw 6 8.1 +35.0%
Gil Vicente wins 12.5 15 +20.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 80.6% (0.6%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.