Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicao Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting CP continues its title defence charge in Round 22 when it hosts Famalicao in the Liga Portugal. Os Leões are now just four points behind after back-to-back slip-ups from Porto, so nothing short of all three points will be on the agenda. But with Famalicenses still in contention for the Conference League spot, expect this to be a rocky game for Lisbon. Check our match prediction below.
Don't let Porto’s absolute brilliance this season fool you. Sporting Lisbon has been impeccable this season. The Lions have won 16 of their 21 games, drawn four, and only lost one game all season. Their persistence has put them just four points behind Porto, who seemed to have already run away with the league.
Sporting’s latest game was, in fact, a 1-1 draw that Os Leões only salvaged thanks to a 90+10-minute penalty. That's the stuff of champions, and in that kind of mood, you can only see Sporting doing the double over Famalicao. But as we mentioned, Famalicenses prove a nut too tough to crack.
Despite what's been a rocky season, Famalicao are 6th of 18 teams after 21 rounds. The away side is just seven points off the 4th position, and probably fancy their chances in Europe, especially after winning three of their last four league games.
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Sporting Lisbon v Famalicao Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 5.4 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.26 | 6 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.6 | 9.2 |
|
|
1.3 | 4.75 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5 | 9.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Famalicao?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicao match is: Sporting wins & over 1.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/02/2026 between Sporting Lisbon and Famalicao in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 74.65% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Famalicao with odds of 1.33 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicao is 10.28% with odds of 6 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Famalicao vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 10.5 at Melbet.
Sporting Lisbon - Famalicao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Famalicao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 74.65% | 1.33 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.59% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 36.86% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicao Form
Sporting Lisbon and Famalicao's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
82 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 |
|
5
|
56 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | +13 |
Sporting Lisbon and Famalicao Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
5 Feb 2026 - Taca de Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Feb 2026 - Taca de Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
16 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
27 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
27 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Dec 2025 - Taca de Portugal
29 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Oct 2024 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
27 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
30 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon against Famalicao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Virginia
DefenderQuaresma
G. Vagiannidis
G. Catamo
J. Simoes
D. Braganca
S. Faye
R. Nel
F. Goncalves
I. Zlobin
DefenderR. Soares
L. Realpe
MidfielderO. Mamageishvili
A. Joujou
M. Pena
G. Pastor Sanchez
R. Beney
R. Silva Almeida
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Famalicao
L. Suarez
(28 Goals)
J. De Haas
(5 Goals)
, 
Sorriso
(5 Goals)
F. Trincao
(11 Assists)
G. Dias
(7 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Famalicao Key Points
- Sporting has won its last nine meetings with Famalicao, seven times with more than one goal.
- Sporting has scored a staggering 55 goals in 21 games (the most), averaging 2.6 per game.
- Sporting CP has created the most big chances this season (82).
- Sporting CP has the joint most wins at home this season (8 wins in 10 games).
- At home, Sporting CP has scored a whopping 34 goals in 10 games (the most), which is 3.4 per game.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicao Prediction
We're not only backing Sporting CP to win, but are betting they'll do so with more than one goal. Porto has been the better side, but when it comes to scoring goals, no team in Portugal can lace Sporting Os Leões’ boots so far.
Sporting CP has scored 2.6 goals per game for the season, and 3.4 at home. Famalicao have impressed defensively this season, but we think Sporting’s hammer will be too strong to handle for Famalicenses. Hence, our Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicao prediction is that Sporting wins & over 1.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Famalicao
| Sporting Lisbon vs Famalicao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.33 | 1.33 | 0% |
| Draw | 5.3 | 6 | +13.2% |
| Famalicao wins | 9.25 | 10.5 | +13.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 75.2% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
