Portugal - Portugal Super Cup
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Benfica haven't had much rest in preseason, but that will not be a consideration when they face off with archrivals Sporting. The two are set to clash in the Super Cup, officially kicking off another season in Portugal. We have below a prediction for the match.
Sporting will be looking to extend their good domestic run after winning the league and cup last term. However, it will be interesting to see how they cope without their talisman, Viktor Gyokeres, who has since left for Arsenal.
While looking to rise from the key departure, Sporting will also remember the pain the Super Cup has caused them in the past. In last season’s Super Cup, Sporting lost 4-3, having led 3-0.
Benfica will hope for a repeat of the same, looking to extend Sporting's Super Cup drought. While they will be plotting for a win here, Benfica haven't beaten Sporting in the last seven meetings.
The last time Benfica won this fixture was in 2023, but four of the last seven ended in draws. There hasn’t been enough time to rest between last season and now, with the new Primeira Liga campaign starting next week.
Benfica had a respectable showing at the Club World Cup, which should give them the needed edge.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.25 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.1 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.25 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.15 | 2.43 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/07/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon in Portugal Super Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.29% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 3 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon is 21.96% with odds of 3.42 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 2.5 at Tonybet.
Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
11 Jan 2025 - Portugal League Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
2 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon
A. Di Maria
(4 Goals)
O. Kokcu
(2 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Benfica scored more than a goal in just one of the last seven meetings with Sporting.
- Four of the last five meetings between these teams had under 2.5 goals.
- Sporting’s last three competitive matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Five of Benfica’s last seven games had under three goals scored.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
This fixture will miss one man who has been a key figure in it for some time now—Viktor Gyokeres. The former Sporting forward, who has been a thorn to Benfica, is off to Arsenal, and Benfica can sigh in relief. The Swede’s absence could mean a reduction of goals in this fixture, which has lately been producing few goals.
Four of the last five meetings between these teams had under 2.5 goals. Benfica only scored more than once on one occasion in the last seven meetings with Sporting. Both teams’ recent matches have also been returning less than three goals. Our prediction for Sporting Lisbon v Benfica is for under 2.5.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sporting Lisbon vs. Benfica Lisbon game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica Lisbon? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Portugal Super Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
