Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Devesh Jaganath in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sunday's final fixture in the Primeira Liga will take us to the Jose Alvalade Stadium, where Sporting Lisbon will be playing host to Arouca. Leoes and Os Lobos are sixth and fourth in the league standings after the first week, respectively. Let's get into the match prediction
Sporting Lisbon will be making the first home appearance of their title defence this weekend, following a 2-0 victory over Casa Pia on the road last week.
The Green and Whites ended last season with what turned out to be a league-winning 2-0 victory over Vitoria on the final day. They are now unbeaten in their last 22 league games dating back to mid-December 2024.
Sporting had the joint-best home record in the division last term, earning 44 points in 17 games. They have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 league matches at this venue.
Meanwhile, Arouca’s primary goal for this season will be to return to the top half of the table after only managing 38 points (W9 D11 L14) in the top flight last term.
Os Lobos made a positive start to this season, though, recording a 3-1 victory over AVS last week, with Alfonso Trezza bagging an opening-day brace either side of a Nais Djouahra strike.
The visitors ended last season winless in their final four away league games and conceded two or more goals in three of those matches. They only won four away league games across the entire of last season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Lisbon v Arouca Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.24 | 6 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.1 | 10.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca match is: Sporting Lisbon wins & over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2025 between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.78% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Arouca with odds of 1.27 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca is 25.35% with odds of 6.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 12 at Betfred.
Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Form
Sporting Lisbon and Arouca's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|
5
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Sporting Lisbon and Arouca Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
10 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
8 Oct 2023 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2023 - Liga Portugal
24 Jan 2023 - Portugal League Cup
Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
O. Diomande
MidfielderD. Braganca
ForwardN. Santos
M. Araujo
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Arouca
F. Trincao
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Hjulmand
(1 Goals)
A. Trezza
(2 Goals)
F. Trincao
(1 Assists)
,
P. Goncalves
(1 Assists)
A. Trezza
(1 Assists)
, 
T. Fukui
(1 Assists)
, 
H. Lee
(1 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Arouca Key Points
- Sporting Lisbon have scored two or more goals in five of their last six league games.
- Six of Sporting Lisbon's last eight home league games ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Sporting Lisbon are unbeaten in their last 22 league matches.
- Arouca have conceded two or more goals in three of their last four away league games.
- Seven of Arouca’s last 10 away league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Arouca Prediction
Last season was an eventful one for Sporting Lisbon and one that also came with several lessons - the main one being that building a solid lead in the league standings early in the season is crucial.
Casa Pia got this season off to an impressive start last week, but given their away form across the entire of last term, combined with Sporting's incredible record on their home patch, we are expecting a comfortable victory for the hosts in this one. Our Sporting Lisbon vs Casa Pia prediction is Sporting Lisbon wins & over 2.5.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sporting Lisbon vs. Arouca game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Sporting Lisbon and Arouca? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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