Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Conference League Predictions
It's ten years since Sparta Prague last made it to the last eight of a European competition. To make it into the last eight of the Conference League, the Maroons must get a home win over AZ in this last 16 tie. Read our match prediction below.
Iron Sparta trail AZ 2-1 from the first leg. They looked to be returning home with a draw but the Dutch side scored an 87th minute winner. Back on home soil, Sparta will be confident of winning the tie and taking on either Lech Poznan or Shakhtar next.
The Czech club were unbeaten at home in the league phase with two wins and a draw. Seven goals were scored with just one conceded. Both of their last two home matches have been won by a 5-2 scoreline.
A win over AZ will be their sixth successive home victory.
AZ will be thankful for their late goal in the first leg. The Cheese Farmers will be well aware though that they are not at their best on their travels in European competition.
Of their four away fixtures in this season's Conference League, three have been lost, including conceding four at AEK Larnaca and three at Crystal Palace. We tip Sparta to win this match.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Sparta Prague v AZ Alkmaar Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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5 | 4.2 | 1.6 |
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2.48 | 3.48 | 2.77 |
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2.48 | 3.48 | 2.77 |
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2.5 | 3.6 | 2.63 |
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2.44 | 3.6 | 2.74 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sparta Prague and AZ Alkmaar?
Our prediction for the Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar match is: Sparta Prague wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/03/2026 between Sparta Prague and AZ Alkmaar in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.23% for a win of Sparta Prague against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 5 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar is 11.94% with odds of 4.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.83% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague with odds of 2.84 at BC Game.
Sparta Prague - AZ Alkmaar Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sparta Prague AZ Alkmaar Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague wins | 48.23% | 5 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.43% | 1.65 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 64.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sparta Prague/Sparta Prague | 20.84% | 4 at Bet365 |
Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Form
Sparta Prague and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
3 Mar 2026 - Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
22 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
28 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
15 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Chance Liga
30 Nov 2025 - Chance Liga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga
3 Mar 2026 - Cup
22 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
8 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga
31 Jan 2026 - Chance Liga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
4 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
25 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
Sparta Prague against AZ Alkmaar Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Kerl
DefenderS. Pech
F. Panak
A. Sorensen
MidfielderS. Eneme
L. Haraslin
L. Moudry
ForwardG. Kuol
A. Rrahmani
D. Deen
H. Verhulst
DefenderM. Dekker
B. van Duijl
E. Dijkstra
R. Ichihara
MidfielderM. Sin
K. Boogaard
ForwardM. Meerdink
A. Oufkir
W. Patati
I. Sadiq
Missing players
R. Owusu Oduro
MidfielderJ. Clasie
ForwardL. Zeefuik
Most goals and assists
Sparta Prague - AZ Alkmaar Key Points
- Sparta have won three of their four home European games this season.
- Sparta have won their last five home games, the last couple both 5-22.
- AZ have lost three of their four away games in Europe this season.
- AZ conceded at least three goals in two of their European defeats this term.
- AZ have lost their last three away games, scoring just once.
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Our Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
AZ were lucky to get a lead from the first leg but they'd have wanted to it to be more than a single goal. The Dutch side struggle on their travels and have already lost three away games in this season's Conference League.
Sparta Prague have been in strong home form in Europe this season with two out of three games won and seven goals conceded. They have been scoring for fun at home of late. Our Sparta Prague v AZ Alkmaar prediction is Sparta Prague wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sparta Prague AZ Alkmaar
| Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Prague wins | 2.37 | 5 | +111.0% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 4.2 | +15.1% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 2.9 | 2.84 | -2.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sparta Prague is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 111.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.2% and is now 20.0% (-22.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.