Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

Europe - Conference League

Sparta Prague
19/03/2026 16:00
AZ Alkmaar

Prediction :

 

Sparta Prague wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Conference League Predictions

It's ten years since Sparta Prague last made it to the last eight of a European competition. To make it into the last eight of the Conference League, the Maroons must  get a home win over AZ in this last 16 tie. Read our match prediction below.

Iron Sparta trail AZ 2-1 from the first leg. They looked to be returning home with a draw but the Dutch side scored an 87th minute winner. Back on home soil, Sparta will be confident of winning the tie and taking on either Lech Poznan or Shakhtar next.

The Czech club were unbeaten at home in the league phase with two wins and a draw. Seven goals were scored with just one conceded. Both of their last two home matches have been won by a 5-2 scoreline.

A win over AZ will be their sixth successive home victory.

AZ will be thankful for their late goal in the first leg. The Cheese Farmers will be well aware though that they are not at their best on their travels in European competition.

Of their four away fixtures in this season's Conference League, three have been lost, including conceding four at AEK Larnaca and three at Crystal Palace. We tip Sparta to win this match.

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Sparta Prague v AZ Alkmaar Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
5 4.2 1.6
Melbet
2.48 3.48 2.77
Betwinner
2.48 3.48 2.77
Bet365
2.5 3.6 2.63
Roobet
2.44 3.6 2.74
Check all Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Sparta Prague and AZ Alkmaar?

Our prediction for the Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar match is: Sparta Prague wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/03/2026 between Sparta Prague and AZ Alkmaar in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.23% for a win of Sparta Prague against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 5 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar is 11.94% with odds of 4.2 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.83% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Prague with odds of 2.84 at BC Game.

Sparta Prague - AZ Alkmaar Prediction and Best Odds:

Sparta Prague AZ Alkmaar Prediction Probability Odds
Sparta Prague wins 48.23% 5 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 69.43% 1.65 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score 64.58%
Half-time / Full-time : Sparta Prague/Sparta Prague 20.84% 4 at Bet365

Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Form

Sparta Prague and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches

Sparta Prague
Sparta Prague Last matches
D W D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga

Sparta Prague
5 :  2
1. FC Slovacko Uherske Hradiste

12 Mar 2026 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Sparta Prague

8 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga

Slavia Prague
3 :  1
Sparta Prague

3 Mar 2026 - Cup

Mlada Boleslav
0 :  0
Sparta Prague

28 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga

Sparta Prague
5 :  2
Banik Ostrava

22 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga

Viktoria Plzen
0 :  0
Sparta Prague
L D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga

Sparta Prague
5 :  2
1. FC Slovacko Uherske Hradiste

28 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga

Sparta Prague
5 :  2
Banik Ostrava

15 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga

Sparta Prague
2 :  0
Hradec Kralove

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Sparta Prague
3 :  0
Aberdeen

14 Dec 2025 - Chance Liga

Sparta Prague
2 :  2
Slovan Liberec

30 Nov 2025 - Chance Liga

Sparta Prague
2 :  4
FK Pardubice
W W D D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2026 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Sparta Prague

8 Mar 2026 - Chance Liga

Slavia Prague
3 :  1
Sparta Prague

3 Mar 2026 - Cup

Mlada Boleslav
0 :  0
Sparta Prague

22 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga

Viktoria Plzen
0 :  0
Sparta Prague

8 Feb 2026 - Chance Liga

FK Zlin
0 :  3
Sparta Prague

31 Jan 2026 - Chance Liga

Dukla Prague
0 :  3
Sparta Prague
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
4 :  0
Heracles

12 Mar 2026 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Sparta Prague

7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

4 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Telstar

1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
2 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

26 Feb 2026 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
4 :  0
FC Noah
D W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
4 :  0
Heracles

12 Mar 2026 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Sparta Prague

4 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Telstar

26 Feb 2026 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
4 :  0
FC Noah

22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
3 :  1
Sparta Rotterdam

8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar
1 :  1
Ajax
L W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
2 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

19 Feb 2026 - Conference League

FC Noah
1 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Excelsior
1 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

25 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
0 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
3 :  1
AZ Alkmaar

Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sparta Prague

0 %

Draw

0 %

AZ Alkmaar

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

12 Mar 2026 - Conference League

AZ Alkmaar
2 :  1
Sparta Prague
Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Sparta Prague against AZ Alkmaar Lineups: Starting 11

Sparta Prague

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

44
J. Surovcik
17
O. Sonne
16
E. Uchenna
30
J. Zeleny
3
P. Kaderabek
38
H. Sochurek
6
K. Kairinen
18
A. Irving
10
J. Kuchta
7
J. Mercado
29
M. Vojta
27
R. Daal
9
T. Parrott
17
I. Jensen
26
K. Smit
10
S. Mijnans
6
P. Koopmeiners
34
M. De Wit
5
A. Penetra
3
W. Goes
30
D. Kasius
41
J. Zoet

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

AZ Alkmaar

Substitutes

Sparta Prague
Sparta Prague
L. Azaka C. Rodriguez Goalkeeper

D. Kerl

Defender

S. Pech

F. Panak

P. Kaderabek 66'

A. Sorensen

Midfielder

S. Eneme

K. Kairinen 81'

L. Haraslin

A. Irving 54'

L. Moudry

Forward

G. Kuol

J. Kuchta 81'

A. Rrahmani

M. Vojta 66'

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Goalkeeper

D. Deen

H. Verhulst

Defender

M. Dekker

B. van Duijl

E. Dijkstra

D. Kasius 66'

R. Ichihara

Midfielder

M. Sin

K. Smit 76'

K. Boogaard

Forward

M. Meerdink

T. Parrott 76'

A. Oufkir

W. Patati

I. Jensen 82'

I. Sadiq

R. Daal 81'

Missing players

Sparta Prague
Sparta Prague
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Goalkeeper

R. Owusu Oduro

Midfielder

J. Clasie

Forward

L. Zeefuik

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sparta Prague
CD Huachipato AZ Alkmaar
Top Goalscorer
Slovakia L. Haraslin (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands S. Mijnans (6 Goals)
Best assists
Czech Republic J. Kuchta (2 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands K. Smit (4 Assists)

Sparta Prague - AZ Alkmaar Key Points

  1. Sparta have won three of their four home European games this season.
  2. Sparta have won their last five home games, the last couple both 5-22.
  3. AZ have lost three of their four away games in Europe this season.
  4. AZ conceded at least three goals in two of their European defeats this term.
  5. AZ have lost their last three away games, scoring just once.
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Our Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

AZ were lucky to get a lead from the first leg but they'd have wanted to it to be more than a single goal. The Dutch side struggle on their travels and have already lost three away games in this season's Conference League.

Sparta Prague have been in strong home form in Europe this season with two out of three games won and seven goals conceded. They have been scoring for fun at home of late. Our Sparta Prague v AZ Alkmaar prediction is Sparta Prague wins.

Prediction :

 

Sparta Prague wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sparta Prague AZ Alkmaar

Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sparta Prague wins 2.37 5 +111.0%
Draw 3.65 4.2 +15.1%
AZ Alkmaar wins 2.9 2.84 -2.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sparta Prague is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 111.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 42.2% and is now 20.0% (-22.2%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.