Spain vs Germany Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's World Cup
World - Women's World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Women's World Cup Predictions
Spain will take on the 2026 FIBA Women’s Basketball World Cup host, Germany, in their opening match of the competition on Friday. Spain have never lost a FIBA-listed match against this opponent, and our prediction is that they will come out on top in this one as well.
Spain are set to return to the Women’s Basketball World Cup after shockingly failing to qualify in 2022. They finished third, second, and third in the 2010 - 2018 editions of this competition, respectively.
After finishing as runners-up (67-65) to Belgium in the EuroBasket Women last year, Spain produced a solid World Cup qualifying campaign, winning four of their five matches (lost to the USA).
The Spaniards have won 12 of their last 15 matches across all competitions, as well as six in a row since 2011 against their upcoming opponents.
Germany have not featured at a Basketball World Cup since 1998. They finished 11th that year, but will be hoping for better this time, given that they are hosting the tournament.
Adding to the home team’s hopes is that they are coming off their best recent period of international basketball, finishing fifth at EuroBasket 2025 and seventh at the Paris Olympics in 2024.
However, Germany have lost their last four warm-up matches ahead of this tournament, and have also lost to this opponent by 5+ points in every previous meeting.
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Spain v Germany Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 3.25 |
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1.3 | 3.05 |
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1.3 | 3.05 |
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1.3 | 3.45 |
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|
1.28 | 3.5 |
|
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Who will win the Spain vs Germany Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Spain vs Germany match is: Spain -5.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Spain vs Germany game on 04/09/2026 of the current Women's World Cup season:
- Spain has a 74.19% chance to pick up the win against Germany according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.3.
- There is a probability of 25.81% ⭐ for Germany to win vs Spain with odds of 3.75 at Shangrila.
Spain vs Germany Form
Spain and Germany Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
27 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
22 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
19 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
27 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
27 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
19 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
29 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
Spain vs Germany Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
20 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
Spain - Germany Key Points
- Spain are seeded five places above Germany.
- Spain have won 12 of their last 15 matches in all competitions.
- Spain have won their last six matches against this opponent in all competitions.
- Germany have never lost to Spain by fewer than five points.
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Our Spain vs Germany Prediction
After surprisingly failing to qualify for the 2022 Basketball World Cup, Spain will be determined to make a deep run this year, and they will fancy their chances of a winning start, having never lost an FIBA-listed match to this opponent.
With home advantage and a solid run of form in major tournaments over the past two years, Germany could be the dark horse in this World Cup, but we doubt they will be good enough to defeat Spain in this one. Our Spain vs Germany prediction is Spain -5.5.
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Try your luck on this year's Women's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
