Europe - Euro U21
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Euro U21 Predictions
Spain U21 and Italy U21 have snapped up the top two slots in Group A of the UEFA U21 Championship after winning the opening two rounds. The two are set to face off in Round 3 of the competition, with Spain sitting atop the group, lifted by their superior goal difference. They will only be battling for the chance to finish top in the group, with one eye on the potential opponents in the quarter-finals. Read on for our prediction of the match.
This clash presents a battle between the two most successful U21 nations in Europe. Each of the two nations has five titles, but Spain, having won more recently, will feel like the favorite. They won their latest in 2019, while Italy’s last triumph was in 2004.
In terms of head-to-head records, their numbers are well balanced, each winning four times in their 11 meetings and three ending in draws.
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The Best Betting Odds for Spain -21 v Italy -21 Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 3.7 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.75 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.65 | 5.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Spain -21 and Italy -21?
Our prediction for the Spain -21 vs Italy -21 match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/06/2025 between Spain -21 and Italy -21 in Euro U21 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.91% for a win of Spain -21 against Italy -21 with odds of 2.75 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Spain -21 vs Italy -21 is 27.86% with odds of 3.92 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy -21 vs Spain -21 with odds of 5.1 at Unibet.
Spain -21 vs Italy -21 Form
Spain -21 and Italy -21's standings in the Euro U21
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|
2
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Spain -21 and Italy -21 Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
11 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
6 Jun 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
25 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
21 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
19 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
6 Jun 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
21 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
19 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
15 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
15 Oct 2024 - Euro U21
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
25 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
10 Sep 2024 - Euro U21
6 Sep 2024 - Euro U21
21 Nov 2023 - Euro U21
8 Jul 2023 - Euro U21
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
11 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
24 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
21 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
19 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
15 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
24 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
21 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
19 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
15 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
15 Oct 2024 - Euro U21
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
10 Sep 2024 - Euro U21
25 Jun 2023 - Euro U21
22 Jun 2023 - Euro U21
31 May 2021 - Euro U21
27 Mar 2021 - Euro U21
Spain -21 vs Italy -21 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Mar 2021 - Euro U21
27 Jun 2017 - Euro U21
Spain -21 - Italy -21: Form Analysis
Spain went close to winning their sixth Euro U21 title in the last edition, only losing to England in the final. If they are setting targets to improve on that, then it means going for the title.
That comes much later; at the moment, the immediate ambition is topping this group. A draw would deliver that, but with the array of talent in this team, beating Italy is never a far-fetched dream.
Spain flirted with defeat last time out, coming from behind with goals in the final five minutes to beat Romania 2-1. They had earlier beaten Slovakia 3-2, and it emerges that they need to work on defending better.
At least one of Spain and Italy will lose their perfect start.
Italy has been clinical in defence and Spain would want to take cues. While they haven't been as outgoing in attack as they’ve been in defence, Italy will still be positive coming here.
They beat Slovakia and Romania by identical 1-0 score lines. This isn’t a run; it’s just a pick at the current finals. The Azzurrini did well in the qualifiers, conceding only four times in 10 games to book a spot at this tournament.
Having exited early in the last edition, Italy will consider this already an improvement. The last time they reached the final (2013), they had also won the opening two group matches.
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Spain -21 vs Italy -21 last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Spain -21 & Italy -21 Squad Analysis
Spain has already been dealt an injury blow at this competition. Barcelona defender Gerard Martin will be out of this match and the tournament too after fracturing his arm.
He was set for a regular runout at this competition, having played 28 times for Barcelona last season. In those 11 matches, though, his impact was massive, with four goal contributions. With advancing assured after two wins, pressure eases and we can bank on the Spain head coach Santi Denia to make changes.
He is expected to give some game time to Raul Moro, Jesus Rodriguez and Laberto Moleiro.
Focusing on the quarter-finals could have key players rested.
Italy will be looking at their utility man, Wilfried Gnonto, for goals. The Leeds United forward had a superb run in the Championship, with 15 goal contributions. His magic is already felt here, as he got the assist for the winner against Slovakia. Maybe for his importance to the team, he could be left out to rest as the focus shifts to preparing for the knockouts.
Most goals and assists
Spain -21
Italy -21
C. Tarrega
(1 Goals)
,
M. Pubill
(1 Goals)
,
M. Fernandez
(1 Goals)
,
R. Fernandez
(1 Goals)
,
M. Jauregizar
(1 Goals)
T. Baldanzi
(1 Goals)
,
C. Casadei
(1 Goals)
D. Lopez
(1 Assists)
,
Juanlu
(1 Assists)
,
C. Mosquera
(1 Assists)
M. Ruggeri
(1 Assists)
,
D. Gnonto
(1 Assists)
Spain -21 - Italy -21 Key Points
- Italy lost only once in their last 10 matches.
- Spain won just three of their last seven matches.
- The last time these teams met, it ended in a draw.
- Four of Italy’s last seven matches ended in draws.
- Spain has suffered two defeats only in the last 10 matches.
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Our Spain -21 vs Italy -21 Prediction
These two sides haven't suffered a lot of defeats in their recent matches, and either side will be tough to beat here. Italy has only lost once in the last 10 in all competitions, and with their solidity in defence, this isn’t a surprise.
On the other hand, Spain has lost just twice in 10 matches. They will also be here feeling like favorites to win. In the end, we see these teams sharing spoils, and they may feel satisfied that way, having both secured knockout tickets. Our prediction for Spain U21 v Italy U21 is for a draw.
Spain -21 vs Italy -21 - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Spain has had to chase the game in their last two outings, but having secured the quarter-final ticket, they may want to change tactics. We don’t expect an all-out attack, which exposes them defensively.
Italy, on their part, is more reserved, strong in defence and not so many forward forays. They’ll also want a comfortable outing ahead of the knockouts. As we don’t expect a very attacking game, our second prediction is for under 2.5 goals.
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Spain -21 vs Italy -21 match : Frequently asked questions
The Spain U21 v Italy U21 match will be played on Tuesday, 17th June.
The Spain U21 v Italy U21 match will be played at the City Arena Stadium.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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