Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Rome
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Jelena Ostapenko is through to the quarter-finals at the Italian Open, where she will take on 26th seed Sorana Cirstea. This will be their second meeting of the season and eighth overall. Our prediction for this match is for Ostapenko to win.
Sorana Cirstea is enjoying her best-ever run in the Italian capital and will start fancying her chances of going all the way. The Romanian had never advanced past the fourth round before this year’s tournament.
To earn this feat, Cirstea, who is up to 26th in the live ranking, defeated 13th seed Linda Noskova in straight sets. The 36-year-old announced the 2026 season will be her last as a pro player, and she is going out with a bang.
So far, this year’s Cluj- The Napoca champion has compiled a 26-7 record. One of Cirstea’s victories came in the third round last week against world number one Aryna Sabalenka.
Jelena Ostapenko is set to contest a quarter-final tie in Rome for the fifth time. A semi-finalist in this event three seasons ago, the Latvian will start growing in confidence after reaching the last eight again.
Ostapenko defeated Anna Kalinskaya by the loss of three games in the last round. She has now won four consecutive matches and has improved to a 15-11 record.
Ostapenko’s run in Rome has catapulted her back to the WTA top 30, and she is now ranked 29th in the live ranking.
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Sorana Cirstea v Jelena Ostapenko Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.62 | 2.29 |
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1.63 | 2.28 |
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1.62 | 2.3 |
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1.6 | 2.22 |
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1.6 | 2.22 |
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Who will win the Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko match is: Jelena Ostapenko wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko game on 12/05/2026 of the current WTA Rome season:
- Sorana Cirstea has a 55.53% chance to win against Jelena Ostapenko according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.65.
- Jelena Ostapenko has a 44.47% probability of winning facing Sorana Cirstea ⭐ with odds of 2.33 at Tonybet.
Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sorana Cirstea has a 55.53 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Sorana Cirstea | 55.53 % |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 44.47 % |
Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko Form
Sorana Cirstea and Jelena Ostapenko Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
11 May 2026 - WTA Rome
9 May 2026 - WTA Rome
7 May 2026 - WTA Rome
26 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
17 Apr 2026 - WTA Rouen
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
11 May 2026 - WTA Rome
9 May 2026 - WTA Rome
7 May 2026 - WTA Rome
6 May 2026 - WTA Rome
26 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
6 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane
8 Jan 2024 - WTA Adelaide
Sorana Cirstea - Jelena Ostapenko Key Points
- Ostapenko has won over 120 matches on clay courts.
- Cirstea has lost seven times so far in 2026, twice on clay.
- Ostapenko has won four times previously against Cirstea.
- One of Ostapenko’s victories over Cirstea was achieved on a clay court.
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Our Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction
Our prediction for Sorana Cirstea v Jelena Ostapenko is that Jelena Ostapenko wins. This match pits two players who are well known to each other after battling seven times previously. Each player has won at least three times, with Ostapenko having the head-to-head advantage with four victories.
Cirstea won their most recent meeting earlier this season, but we do not have her reprising that outcome. This is because Ostapenko has improved since that meeting and is having another strong clay season. Ostapenko also defeated Cirstea in Rome in their only other clay court encounter.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Sorana Cirstea or Jelena Ostapenko, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
