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Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Betting Tips - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

ATP - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

ATP 45 Italy
Lorenzo Sonego
20/10/2025 09:25
ATP 18 Spain
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Prediction :

 

Lorenzo Sonego wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Eighth seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will take on the unseeded Lorenzo Sonego to begin his campaign in Basel. They will face off in the first round, with the winner playing Jenson Brooksby or Alexandre Muller next. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Lorenzo Sonego is coming off a quarter-final finish in Stockholm. The Italian’s performance in Sweden was his best since a similar run to the last eight in Marseille back in February.

Also a quarter-finalist in Melbourne, Sonego has had a topsy-turvy year and has compiled a 20-26 record. The 30-year-old, who is debuting in Basel, starts a new week in 45th place in the live ranking.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has performed far better than his Italian opponent this year. The Spaniard has won 38 matches and registered three runner-up finishes in Acapulco, Washington and Delray.

He is on course for 40 wins in a season for the first time since 2019. The 26-year-old has, however, stuttered with his form in recent weeks. Yet to win consecutive matches since August, Davidovich Fokina has lost six of his last 10 outings.

He is coming off a quarter-final finish in Brussels that has bumped him up to 18th in the live ranking.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Sonego v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.5 1.53
William Hill
2.2 1.67
Betway
2.38 1.55
Ladbrokes
2.3 1.55
Unibet
2.33 1.61
Check all Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina odds

Who will win the Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina match is: Lorenzo Sonego wins the match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina game on 20/10/2025 of the current Swiss Indoors ATP Basel season:

  • Lorenzo Sonego has a 40.16% chance to win against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.5.
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 59.84% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Sonego ⭐ with odds of 1.67 at William Hill.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Sonego has a 40.16 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Lorenzo Sonego40.16 %
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina59.84 %

Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form

Lorenzo Sonego and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last Matches

Lorenzo Sonego Last matches
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

17 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Ugo Humbert
2 :  1
Lorenzo Sonego

16 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

15 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open

Arthur Fery
0 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Lorenzo Sonego
1 :  2
Yannick Hanfmann

26 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

19 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Marcos Giron
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last matches
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

17 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open

Raphael Collignon
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

15 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open

Marcos Giron
1 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

28 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

25 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Compare Lorenzo Sonego and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points

  1. Six of Davidovich Fokina’s last 10 matches ended in defeat.
  2. Sonego has won over 60 matches on indoor hard courts in his career.
  3. Davidovich Fokina has lost 35 times on indoor surfaces in his career.
  4. In his last three outings, Sonego has won twice.
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Our Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina have had inconsistency issues in their respective recent outings. As a result, we should expect a well-fought-out fixture that could end up with a third set being contested. 

Sonego looks likely to remain as the last man standing, being the better indoor performer. The Italian has won 62 matches on such surfaces in his career, which is over 50% of his total duels. Davidovich Fokina, on the other hand, has lost more indoor duels than he has won. Our prediction for Lorenzo Sonego v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is that Lorenzo Sonego wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Lorenzo Sonego wins

 
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When you place a bet on the match between Lorenzo Sonego and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.

It does not matter whether you bet on Lorenzo Sonego or Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

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