Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Sevilla will play host to Atletico Madrid in one of the La Liga matches lined up for this Saturday. This match, hosted by Sevilla, has them sitting just above the drop zone, while Atletico are fourth. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Sevilla, seemingly, will have to do with another season in the relegation scrap. They suffered the 15th defeat of the season last time out, beaten by the bottom-placed Real Oviedo.
That third straight defeat left Sevilla sitting just two points above the bottom three. Palanganas have managed just one win in their last nine matches (4L, 4D). At home, though, they’ve lost once in five matches (1W, 3D).
Atletico Madrid will be preoccupied with their coming game against Barcelona in the Champions League return leg. The visitors are coming off a 2-0 win against Barca in the UCL quarter-finals and are looking to carry the momentum here.
They have lost the last two league matches, though, putting their top four chances in danger as well. Despite their recent troubles, this shouldn’t be a game to worry Los Rojiblancos.
They’ve beaten Sevilla in each of the last three meetings and lost this fixture just twice in the last 10 meetings. Atletico will also want to use this chance to better their away record, having only won three of their last 10 in all competitions.
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Sevilla v Atletico Madrid Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.31 | 3.4 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.34 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.34 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid match is: Atletico Madrid wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.3% for a win of Sevilla against Atletico Madrid with odds of 2.34 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid is 28.2% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla with odds of 3.35 at 888Starz.
Sevilla - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sevilla Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 41.5% | 3.35 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 51.22% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 16.02% | 5 at Bet365 |
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Form
Sevilla and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
69 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 |
|
13
|
43 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 |
Sevilla and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
12 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
3 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
23 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
Sevilla against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
O. Nyland
DefenderG. Suazo
F. Gattoni
F. Cardoso
MidfielderB. Mendy
J. Jordan
D. Sow
A. Januzaj
ForwardC. Ejuke
Peque
A. Sanchez
N. Maupay
S. Esquivel Gamez
DefenderN. Molina
M. Ruggeri
C. Lenglet
M. Llorente
G. Spina
MidfielderJ. Morcillo
A. Monserrate
A. Griezmann
ForwardA. Lookman
J. Alvarez
G. Simeone
Missing players
C. Azpilicueta
Marcao
T. Nianzou
J. Carmona
J. Oblak
DefenderJ. Gimenez
D. Hancko
MidfielderKoke
N. Gonzalez
J. Cardoso
P. Barrios
Most goals and assists
Sevilla
Atletico Madrid
A. Adams
(10 Goals)
A. Sorloth
(13 Goals)
R. Vargas
(6 Assists)
G. Simeone
(6 Assists)
Sevilla - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Sevilla are winless in five matches, losing three.
- Atletico won two of the last three meetings with Sevilla.
- Atletico have beaten Sevilla in each of their last three meetings.
- At home, Sevilla lost four and drew three of their last 10 matches.
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Our Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Atlético Madrid have lost their last two league matches but will come into this game re-energized. They claimed a well-deserved crucial win in midweek, beating Barcelona 2-0 in the Champions League. Diego Simeone’s charges will surely be looking to add to Sevilla’s woes.
The hosts have failed to win any of their last five matches, losing each of the last three. At home, Sevilla have managed just four wins in their 15 league outings, while failing to win any of the last four games there. Our prediction for Sevilla v Atletico Madrid is that Atletico Madrid wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sevilla Atletico Madrid
| Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla wins | 3.85 | 2.34 | -39.2% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.5 | +1.4% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.92 | 3.35 | +74.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 74.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.1% and is now 29.9% (-22.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
