Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan will this Sunday host Sevilla, at home to Athletic Bilbao in a La Liga game. This round 21 encounter finds the two sides three points apart, with Sevilla in 14th and Athletic in 10th. Read on for our prediction of the match.
While Sevilla are expected to be contesting for Europe, they come here just two points off the relegation region. With 11 losses so far in the league, Sevilla jointly holds the record for most defeats.
They did well against Elche last time out, pulling from 2-0 down to draw 2-2. That result saw them avoid a fifth straight defeat, and they’ll be thankful to Akor Adams, who came straight from AFCON to score a brace.
Athletic had an even bigger positive coming into this round. They staged an impressive comeback away from home to shock Atalanta in the Champions League.
Nico Serrano put up a man-of-the-match performance with two assists and a goal to win 3-2 and overturn the match. That was Athletic’s first win in regular time in the last nine.
Of the issues that will worry the team more is their performance in defence. Los Leones have conceded at least two goals in their last four matches, but in general it is 14 goals they have let in across those results.
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Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.05 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.98 | 2.69 |
|
|
2.91 | 3 | 2.66 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.9 | 3 |
|
|
2.78 | 3 | 2.68 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Athletic Bilbao wins and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.21% for a win of Sevilla against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 3.01 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao is 16.69% with odds of 3.09 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 55.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla with odds of 3 at Bet365.
Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sevilla Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 55.11% | 3 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 50.36% | 2.12 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Athletic Bilbao | 26.47% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
45 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 |
|
13
|
43 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 |
Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
12 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
24 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
7 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
29 Sept 2024 - LaLiga
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
27 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
Sevilla against Athletic Bilbao Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Flores Lopez
O. Nyland
DefenderA. Gallo Lopez
F. Gattoni
F. Cardoso
MidfielderM. Bueno
Oso
J. Jordan
M. Sierra
A. Costa
C. Ejuke
A. Padilla
DefenderI. Monreal
A. Boiro
J. de Luis
A. Gorosabel
MidfielderS. Sanchez Camilo
U. Gomez
A. Rego Mora
M. Vesga
N. Williams
N. Serrano
A. Hierro
Missing players
C. Azpilicueta
Marcao
T. Nianzou
MidfielderA. Januzaj
B. Mendy
ForwardA. Sanchez
R. Vargas
A. Gonzales
A. Laporte
I. Lekue
Y. Alvarez
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
ForwardG. Guruzeta
I. Williams
M. Sannadi
Most goals and assists
Sevilla
Athletic Bilbao
A. Adams
(10 Goals)
G. Guruzeta
(10 Goals)
R. Vargas
(6 Assists)
Y. Berchiche
(6 Assists)
, 
I. Williams
(6 Assists)
Sevilla - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Two of Sevilla’s last three matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- Athletic are unbeaten in five against Sevilla, winning four.
- Sevilla lost three of their last five home games against Athletic.
- Athletic’s last four away matches all produced over 2.5 goals.
- Five goals were scored when these two sides last met.
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Our Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Both Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla approach this game having endured tough runs. On a positive note, the two sides avoided defeat in their latest matches, with Sevilla drawing as Athletic won. Two constants in those matches were that both came along with over 2.5 goals and that both teams scored.
That stat was also seen in their first meeting of the season back in August. Head-to-head though, Athletic have the upper hand in this game. Our prediction for Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao is that Athletic Bilbao wins and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sevilla Athletic Bilbao
| Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla wins | 3.15 | 3.01 | -4.4% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.09 | -4.9% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 2.56 | 3 | +17.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Athletic Bilbao is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.1% and is now 33.3% (-5.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
