Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
AC Milan are not yet guaranteed a top four finish in Serie A ahead of their away league match against Sassuolo. Heading into this encounter, Milan are six points ahead of fifth-placed Como, while Sassuolo are 10th, their Serie A stay assured. Read on for our prediction.
Sassuolo will be looking to break a four-game winless run against AC Milan. Having secured at least one more season in Serie A, they come into this encounter under no pressure but are pushing for a top 10 finish.
Neroverdi are fresh off a 0-0 draw with Fiorentina, marking a second unbeaten outing, and have won five of their last 10 matches. A run of five wins in the last seven home games will give Sassuolo the needed confidence here.
Milan are also coming off a 0-0 draw, theirs being against Juventus. The result didn’t occasion much celebration, as it marked the end of their title aspirations.
Now Milan, 12 points behind league leaders Inter Milan with four matches remaining, can only battle for a top-four slot. As things stand, two more wins will secure that.
However, that could be a far cry for the side with one win in the last four outings (2L, 1D). Milan and Sassuolo played out a 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture.
They also drew in their last two visits to Sassuolo.
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Sassuolo v AC Milan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.6 | 4 | 1.75 |
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4.46 | 3.98 | 1.73 |
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4.6 | 4 | 1.7 |
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4.1 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
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4.6 | 3.9 | 1.69 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sassuolo and AC Milan?
Our prediction for the Sassuolo vs AC Milan match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between Sassuolo and AC Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.78% for a win of Sassuolo against AC Milan with odds of 4.9 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sassuolo vs AC Milan is 13.73% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.49% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Sassuolo with odds of 1.77 at 888Starz.
Sassuolo - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sassuolo AC Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 48.49% | 1.77 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.53% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 58.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: AC Milan/AC Milan | 21.15% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
Sassuolo vs AC Milan Form
Sassuolo and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
70 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | +18 |
|
11
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -4 |
Sassuolo and AC Milan Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
17 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2026 - Serie A
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
20 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
9 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Apr 2026 - Serie A
11 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
11 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
13 Feb 2026 - Serie A
3 Feb 2026 - Serie A
Sassuolo vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia
14 Apr 2024 - Serie A
30 Dec 2023 - Serie A
29 Jan 2023 - Serie A
30 Aug 2022 - Serie A
Sassuolo against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
G. Satalino
A. Muric
G. Zacchi
DefenderW. Coulibaly
J. Doig
Pedro Felipe
F. Romagna
MidfielderC. Frangella
E. Iannoni
A. Vranckx
L. Lipani
A. Pinamonti
L. Moro
C. Volpato
A. Fadera
P. Terracciano
M. Pittarella
DefenderK. De Winter
D. Bartesaghi
Z. Athekame
S. Ricci
R. Loftus-Cheek
S. Gimenez
N. Fullkrug
C. Pulisic
Missing players
F. Cande
E. Pieragnolo
MidfielderD. Boloca
D. Bakola
L. Modric
Most goals and assists
Sassuolo - AC Milan Key Points
- When hosted by Sassuolo, the last two meetings between these teams ended in draws.
- AC Milan won once in their last four matches, the latest outing being a draw.
- Milan and Sassuolo played out a draw in their latest two league meetings.
- Sassuolo are winless in three of five matches, drawing two.
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Our Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction
AC Milan would, on paper, go into this game as the favorites. However, their recent matches against Sassuolo haven’t produced straightforward results in favor of the Rossoneri. Milan have won four and lost three of the latest 10 meetings between the two.
Their last two league H2Hs, though, ended in draws. Milan are coming here on one win in their last four matches, having drawn the most recent. Sassuolo are also coming off a draw. Our prediction for Sassuolo v AC Milan, based on such numbers, is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sassuolo AC Milan
| Sassuolo vs AC Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo wins | 4.7 | 4.9 | +4.3% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.2 | +2.4% |
| AC Milan wins | 1.64 | 1.77 | +7.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.0% and is now 56.5% (-4.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.