Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Sassuolo
03/05/2026 09:00
AC Milan

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

AC Milan are not yet guaranteed a top four finish in Serie A ahead of their away league match against Sassuolo. Heading into this encounter, Milan are six points ahead of fifth-placed Como, while Sassuolo are 10th, their Serie A stay assured. Read on for our prediction.

Sassuolo will be looking to break a four-game winless run against AC Milan. Having secured at least one more season in Serie A, they come into this encounter under no pressure but are pushing for a top 10 finish.

Neroverdi are fresh off a 0-0 draw with Fiorentina, marking a second unbeaten outing, and have won five of their last 10 matches. A run of five wins in the last seven home games will give Sassuolo the needed confidence here.

Milan are also coming off a 0-0 draw, theirs being against Juventus. The result didn’t occasion much celebration, as it marked the end of their title aspirations.

Now Milan, 12 points behind league leaders Inter Milan with four matches remaining, can only battle for a top-four slot. As things stand, two more wins will secure that.

However, that could be a far cry for the side with one win in the last four outings (2L, 1D). Milan and Sassuolo played out a 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture.

They also drew in their last two visits to Sassuolo.

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Sassuolo v AC Milan Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.6 4 1.75
Melbet
4.46 3.98 1.73
Betwinner
4.6 4 1.7
Bet365
4.1 3.75 1.67
Roobet
4.6 3.9 1.69
Check all Sassuolo vs AC Milan odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Sassuolo and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Sassuolo vs AC Milan match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between Sassuolo and AC Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.78% for a win of Sassuolo against AC Milan with odds of 4.9 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sassuolo vs AC Milan is 13.73% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 48.49% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Sassuolo with odds of 1.77 at 888Starz.

Sassuolo - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Sassuolo AC Milan Prediction Probability Odds
AC Milan wins 48.49% 1.77 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 58.53% 1.95 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 58.75%
Half-time / Full-time: AC Milan/AC Milan 21.15% 2.63 at Bet365

Sassuolo vs AC Milan Form

Sassuolo and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 AC Milan
70 38 20 10 8 +18
11 Sassuolo
49 38 14 7 17 -4

Sassuolo and AC Milan Last Matches

Sassuolo
Sassuolo Last matches
L D W L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Sassuolo

17 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Como 1907

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Sassuolo

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Cagliari

21 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Sassuolo

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Bologna
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Como 1907

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Cagliari

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Bologna

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Atalanta

20 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  5
Inter Milan
W W L D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Sassuolo

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Sassuolo

21 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Sassuolo

9 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Sassuolo

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Sassuolo

31 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  3
Sassuolo
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
L W L L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Juventus

19 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
AC Milan

11 Apr 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  3
Udinese

6 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
AC Milan

21 Mar 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  2
Torino FC

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan
D L W W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Juventus

11 Apr 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  3
Udinese

21 Mar 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  2
Torino FC

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Inter Milan

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Parma

18 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Como 1907
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
AC Milan

6 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
AC Milan

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  2
AC Milan

13 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  2
AC Milan

3 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  3
AC Milan

Sassuolo vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sassuolo

17 %

Draw

50 %

AC Milan

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.17
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.83
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
6 :  1
Sassuolo

14 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  3
AC Milan

30 Dec 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Sassuolo

29 Jan 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  5
Sassuolo

30 Aug 2022 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  0
AC Milan

Sassuolo against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Sassuolo

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

13
S. Turati
6
S. Walukiewicz
21
J. Idzes
80
T. Muharemovic
23
U. Garcia
90
I. Kone
18
N. Matic
42
K. Thorstvedt
10
D. Berardi
8
M. Nzola
45
A. Lauriente
10
R. Leao
18
C. Nkunku
2
P. Estupinan
12
A. Rabiot
30
A. Jashari
19
Y. Fofana
56
A. Saelemaekers
31
S. Pavlovic
46
M. Gabbia
23
F. Tomori
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Substitutes

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Goalkeeper

G. Satalino

A. Muric

G. Zacchi

Defender

W. Coulibaly

J. Idzes 40'

J. Doig

Pedro Felipe

F. Romagna

Midfielder

C. Frangella

E. Iannoni

A. Vranckx

L. Lipani

N. Matic 46'

Forward

A. Pinamonti

M. Nzola 84'

L. Moro

C. Volpato

D. Berardi 59'

A. Fadera

A. Lauriente 84'

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

P. Terracciano

M. Pittarella

Defender

K. De Winter

D. Bartesaghi

Z. Athekame

C. Nkunku 46'

Midfielder

S. Ricci

A. Jashari 67'

R. Loftus-Cheek

A. Saelemaekers 59'

Forward

S. Gimenez

R. Leao 59'

N. Fullkrug

C. Pulisic

Y. Fofana 59'

Missing players

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Defender

F. Cande

E. Pieragnolo

Midfielder

D. Boloca

D. Bakola

AC Milan
AC Milan
Midfielder

L. Modric

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sassuolo
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Pinamonti (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal R. Leao (9 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Lauriente (9 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (4 Assists)
USA C. Pulisic (4 Assists)
Italy S. Ricci (4 Assists)

Sassuolo - AC Milan Key Points

  1. When hosted by Sassuolo, the last two meetings between these teams ended in draws.
  2. AC Milan won once in their last four matches, the latest outing being a draw.
  3. Milan and Sassuolo played out a draw in their latest two league meetings.
  4. Sassuolo are winless in three of five matches, drawing two.
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Our Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction

AC Milan would, on paper, go into this game as the favorites. However, their recent matches against Sassuolo haven’t produced straightforward results in favor of the Rossoneri. Milan have won four and lost three of the latest 10 meetings between the two.

Their last two league H2Hs, though, ended in draws. Milan are coming here on one win in their last four matches, having drawn the most recent. Sassuolo are also coming off a draw. Our prediction for Sassuolo v AC Milan, based on such numbers, is for a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sassuolo AC Milan

Sassuolo vs AC Milan Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sassuolo wins 4.7 4.9 +4.3%
Draw 4.1 4.2 +2.4%
AC Milan wins 1.64 1.77 +7.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AC Milan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 7.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 61.0% and is now 56.5% (-4.5%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction