Santos vs Atletico MG Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana

Predictions Odds Live

South America - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
09/09/2026 18:00
Atletico MG

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions

Santos will hope to make their home record provide a lead against Atletico in the first leg of the round of 16 in the 2026 Copa Sudamericana competition. This match on Wednesday at Estadio Urbano Caldeira in Santos between the ‘Black-and-White’ and the ‘Rooster’ could be a tight game with goals in short supply, which is why our match prediction is under 2.5 goals.

The winner of this two-legged tie will go on to the semi-finals, where they will face either Cienciano or Montevideo City Torque.

Santos finished second in Group D of this competition with seven points (W1, D4, L1) and qualified for the knockout round playoffs. They then defeated Universidad Central (8-3 aggregate) and Macara (2-1 aggregate) to qualify for this round.

A 3-2 away win at Internacional last weekend puts Santos in good spirits for this fixture, winning two of their last three (D1) games. Their home form hasn’t been encouraging, though, as they won just two of their last seven fixtures here (D4, L1).

Atletico topped group B in this competition with ten points (W3, D1, L2) to directly move into the round of 16, where they defeated Red Bull Bragantino (3-2 on aggregate). They were beaten 2-0 away at Sao Paulo in the Brazilian league last weekend, which ended a 14-game unbeaten run (W8, D6).

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Santos v Atletico MG Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.31 3.2 3.3
1xbet
2.38 3.36 3.31
Melbet
2.3 3.24 3.2
Betwinner
2.3 3.24 3.2
22bet
2.27 3.26 3.24
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What is the prediction for the football match between Santos and Atletico MG?

Our prediction for the Santos vs Atletico MG match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2026 between Santos and Atletico MG in Copa Sudamericana :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.6% for a win of Santos against Atletico MG with odds of 2.38 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Santos vs Atletico MG is 41.69% with odds of 3.36 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 27.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico MG vs Santos with odds of 3.35 at Shangrila.

Santos vs Atletico MG Form

Santos and Atletico MG Last Matches

Santos
Santos Last matches
D D L W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
2 :  3
Santos

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Palmeiras

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
0 :  1
Santos

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Santos

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
1 :  1
Mirassol

20 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

CSD Macara
0 :  0
Santos
W D L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Palmeiras

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
1 :  1
Mirassol

13 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
2 :  1
CSD Macara

9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
0 :  2
Atletico Paranense

1 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Remo

28 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Santos
4 :  2
Ucv FC
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
2 :  3
Santos

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
0 :  1
Santos

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Santos

20 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

CSD Macara
0 :  0
Santos

16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
0 :  3
Santos

4 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Remo
0 :  1
Santos
Atletico MG
Atletico MG Last matches
D D D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Atletico MG

1 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Cruzeiro

29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Vitoria

25 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Cruzeiro
1 :  1
Atletico MG

22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
0 :  0
Atletico MG

19 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Atletico MG
2 :  2
Bragantino
D D W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Cruzeiro

29 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  1
Vitoria

19 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Atletico MG
2 :  2
Bragantino

16 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  0
Gremio

1 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Atletico MG
0 :  0
Juventude

21 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Bahia
W D W D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Atletico MG

25 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Cruzeiro
1 :  1
Atletico MG

22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Internacional
0 :  0
Atletico MG

12 Aug 2026 - Copa Sudamericana

Bragantino
0 :  1
Atletico MG

8 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Remo
2 :  2
Atletico MG

4 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Juventude
0 :  1
Atletico MG

Santos vs Atletico MG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Santos

33 %

Draw

33 %

Atletico MG

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

11 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
1 :  0
Atletico MG

14 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Santos

16 Apr 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
2 :  0
Atletico MG

27 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
2 :  0
Santos

23 Apr 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
0 :  0
Atletico MG

5 Oct 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
1 :  2
Atletico MG
Santos vs Atletico MG Prediction

Santos vs Atletico MG last Lineups

Santos

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

77
G. Brazao
18
I. Vinicius
15
W. Arao
14
Luan Peres
31
G. Escobar
48
G. Henrique Pereira
28
C. Oliva
8
G. Morais Silva Bontempo
17
G. Caballero
32
B. Rollheiser
9
G. Barbosa
19
Reinier
11
Bernard
30
V. Hugo
28
T. Cuello
5
Alexsander
15
K. Castano
6
R. Lodi
21
A. Franco
40
Vitao
2
Natanael
1
G. Delfim

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Atletico MG

Substitutes

Santos
Santos
Goalkeeper

Diogenes

Defender

Samuel Pierri

J. Ananias Bento

J. Santos Paes da Costa

Midfielder

G. Menino

J. Schmidt

Thaciano

A. Melo

Miguelito

Forward

Davi Fernandes

Rony

R. Freitas

Atletico MG
Atletico MG
Goalkeeper

P. Cobra Rodrigues

R. Assuncao

Defender

K. Pascini

Pedro Lemos

V. Hugo

A. Preciado

Midfielder

M. Cisse

A. Minda

Fred

G. Scarpa

Forward

Dudu

M. Cassierra

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Santos
CD Huachipato Atletico MG
Top Goalscorer
Brazil G. Barbosa (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Bernard (3 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil G. Barbosa (2 Assists) , 
Argentina B. Rollheiser (2 Assists) , 
Brazil Neymar (2 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina T. Cuello (4 Assists)

Santos and Atletico MG Stats in Copa Sudamericana

Santos
Santos
Atletico MG
Atletico MG
40%
Wins
50%
10%
Losses
25%
50%
Draws
25%
2.8
Average goals per match
2.38
1.8
Goals scored per match
1.38
1
Goals conceded per match
1
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
20%
No goals conceded
38%
70%
BTTS
50%

Santos - Atletico MG Key Points

  1. Seven of Santos’ last 11 games have seen under 2.5 goals.
  2. Three of Atletico’s last five games have seen two or fewer goals.
  3. Four of Santos’ last five home matches have seen fewer than three goals.
  4. Seven of Atletico’s last nine away matches have also seen fewer than three goals.
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Our Santos vs Atletico MG Prediction

Santos had a middling run in the group stages, drawing four of their six games (W1, L1). With only six goals conceded, four of their six league games have produced fewer than three strikes. Atletico have been equally frugal, conceding only six goals in their six league games. Will this continue to be the case here?

The last five matches between these sides have produced two or fewer goals, and that’s likely to continue here. That’s why our Santos vs Atletico MG prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.