Santa Coloma vs Pen-y-Bont FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
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by Ian John | in Conference League Predictions
Andorra's Santa Coloma host Wales Pen-y-Bont FC in the second leg of their Conference League Qualification tie this week. The visiting Colomencs hold the advantage thanks to a narrow 1-0 win over the Bont from their first leg at the Cardiff City Stadium last week and with the home leg to come, they look a good bet to earn another victory to earn a place in the second qualifying round of the tournament.
Last weeks game was Pen-y-Bont's first competitive game of the season, and the Welsh side went down to a 1-0 defeat at home with Guillaume Lopez scoring an early first half goal for the Andorran side. That narrow lead ahead of the home leg means Santa Coloma hold a big advantage for the second leg.
Santa Coloma's win last week was also their first competitive game of the season and came after a disappointing end to their league campaign in May when they lost 1-0 at home to Ordino, then 2-0 away at Ranger's and then lost the Copa Constitucio final 3-2 to Atletic Escaldes.
Prior to last week's defeat at home, Pen-y-bont had beaten Trethomas Bluebirds 3-0 in a pre-season friendly, their first game since their victorious Welsh Premier League campaign which saw them beat Colwyn Bay 5-3 on penalties in the semi-final (aftera 0-0 draw) and then a 2-0 win over Haverfordwest County in the Final.
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Santa Coloma v Pen-y-Bont FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.54 | 3.8 | 6.2 |
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1.55 | 3.84 | 5.95 |
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|
1.51 | 3.92 | 6.4 |
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1.59 | 3.82 | 6.11 |
|
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1.53 | 3.9 | 6.13 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Santa Coloma and Pen-y-Bont FC?
Our prediction for the Santa Coloma vs Pen-y-Bont FC match is: Santa Coloma wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/07/2026 between Santa Coloma and Pen-y-Bont FC in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.25% for a win of Santa Coloma against Pen-y-Bont FC with odds of 1.65 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Santa Coloma vs Pen-y-Bont FC is 11.55% with odds of 11.5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Pen-y-Bont FC vs Santa Coloma with odds of 25 at Roobet.
Santa Coloma - Pen-y-Bont FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Santa Coloma Pen-y-Bont FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Santa Coloma wins | 70.25% | 1.65 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.28% | 2.43 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score: No | 75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Santa Coloma | 36.1% | 15 at Betsson |
Santa Coloma vs Pen-y-Bont FC Form
Santa Coloma and Pen-y-Bont FC Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
23 May 2026 - Copa Constitucio
16 May 2026 - Primera Divisio
10 May 2026 - Primera Divisio
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Constitucio
25 Apr 2026 - Primera Divisio
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 May 2026 - Copa Constitucio
10 May 2026 - Primera Divisio
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Constitucio
19 Apr 2026 - Primera Divisio
8 Mar 2026 - Primera Divisio
22 Feb 2026 - Primera Divisio
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
16 May 2026 - Primera Divisio
25 Apr 2026 - Primera Divisio
21 Mar 2026 - Primera Divisio
13 Mar 2026 - Copa Constitucio
1 Mar 2026 - Primera Divisio
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
23 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2026 - Cymru Premier
25 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
18 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
3 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
23 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2026 - Cymru Premier
3 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
28 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
14 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
18 Apr 2026 - Cymru Premier
21 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
3 Mar 2026 - Cymru Premier
21 Feb 2026 - Cymru Premier
7 Feb 2026 - Cymru Premier
Santa Coloma vs Pen-y-Bont FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Jul 2026 - Conference League
Santa Coloma - Pen-y-Bont FC Key Points
- Santa Coloma have lost just one of their last eight at home (W6, D1).
- Pen-y-Bont have scored just one goal in their last three away games.
- Santa Coloma have scored 28 goals in their last seven games at home.
- Pen-y-Bont have not won any of their last six away games (D1, L5).
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Our Santa Coloma vs Pen-y-Bont FC Prediction
Our prediction for the Santa Coloma vs. Pen-y-Bont Conference League Qualifier second leg is: Santa Coloma wins.
After a tough first leg in Wales, the Andorran side will be delighted to hold a one-goal advantage to take into the home leg here. The Welsh part-timers had a tough start to their season in that game and the trip to Andorra for the second leg will be an arduous one given their away record. Santa Coloma have a good record at home in their most recent games and backing them to land the win here is well supported in the data.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Santa Coloma Pen-y-Bont FC
| Santa Coloma vs Pen-y-Bont FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Coloma wins | 1.7 | 1.65 | -2.9% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 11.5 | +202.6% |
| Pen-y-Bont FC wins | 5 | 25 | +400.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Santa Coloma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 60.6% (1.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
